Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
IBTM iShares iBonds Dec 2032 Term Treasury ETF | Intermediate Core Bond | 40% |
VWCE.DE Vanguard FTSE All-World UCITS ETF | Global Equities | 30% |
DTLA.L iShares USD Treasury Bond 20+yr UCITS ETF USD (Acc) | Government Bonds, Long-Term Bond | 15% |
8PSG.DE Invesco Physical Gold ETC | Gold, Precious Metals | 7.50% |
CMOD.L Invesco Bloomberg Commodity UCITS ETF | Commodities | 7.50% |
Find the right asset allocation for All Weather (Ray Dalio)
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in All Weather (Ray Dalio), comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | -0.93% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 24.33% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
Portfolio All Weather (Ray Dalio) | 0.47% | -0.73% | 4.56% | 5.78% | 14.52% | 10.35% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
8PSG.DE Invesco Physical Gold ETC | 0.69% | -4.84% | 1.53% | 4.30% | 31.64% | 31.51% | 18.60% | — |
CMOD.L Invesco Bloomberg Commodity UCITS ETF | -1.06% | -8.02% | 19.22% | 20.80% | 27.62% | 13.33% | 9.74% | — |
DTLA.L iShares USD Treasury Bond 20+yr UCITS ETF USD (Acc) | 0.44% | 1.10% | -0.86% | 0.88% | 4.30% | -1.20% | -6.37% | — |
IBTM iShares iBonds Dec 2032 Term Treasury ETF | -0.22% | 0.15% | -0.36% | -0.07% | 3.66% | 3.05% | — | — |
VWCE.DE Vanguard FTSE All-World UCITS ETF | 1.71% | 0.00% | 10.00% | 11.71% | 26.52% | 19.75% | 10.87% | — |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jul 8, 2022, All Weather (Ray Dalio)'s average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.68%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 8.5 years.
Historically, 67% of months were positive and 33% were negative. The best month was Nov 2023 with a return of +5.7%, while the worst month was Sep 2022 at -6.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 14 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, All Weather (Ray Dalio) closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Nov 10, 2022 with a return of +2.9%, while the worst single day was Apr 9, 2025 at -2.2%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.25% | 2.27% | -3.61% | 3.18% | 1.47% | -0.91% | 4.56% | ||||||
| 2025 | 2.19% | 1.22% | 0.20% | 0.63% | 0.79% | 2.65% | 0.09% | 1.69% | 2.83% | 1.69% | 1.06% | 0.51% | 16.66% |
| 2024 | -0.24% | -0.12% | 2.37% | -2.53% | 2.17% | 1.86% | 1.87% | 1.88% | 2.15% | -2.38% | 1.51% | -2.36% | 6.11% |
| 2023 | 4.51% | -3.54% | 3.68% | 0.89% | -1.70% | 1.32% | 1.02% | -1.55% | -3.90% | -2.00% | 5.70% | 4.42% | 8.57% |
| 2022 | 4.01% | -3.54% | -6.41% | -0.65% | 5.30% | -1.36% | -3.09% |
Benchmark Metrics
All Weather (Ray Dalio) has an annualized alpha of 4.55%, beta of 0.19, and R2 of 0.16 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since July 08, 2022.
- This portfolio participated in 58.50% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 43.74% of its upside - more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- Beta of 0.19 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.16 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R2 of 0.16 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index - capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 4.55%
- Beta
- 0.19
- R²
- 0.16
- Upside Capture
- 43.74%
- Downside Capture
- 58.50%
Expense Ratio
All Weather (Ray Dalio) has an expense ratio of 0.12%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
All Weather (Ray Dalio) ranks 70 for risk / return — better than 70% of Portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for All Weather (Ray Dalio) and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.32 | 1.86 | +0.46 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.40 | 2.53 | +0.86 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.42 | 1.34 | +0.08 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 3.02 | 2.53 | +0.48 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 12.88 | 11.37 | +1.51 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8PSG.DE Invesco Physical Gold ETC | 39 | 1.33 | 1.77 | 1.25 | 1.88 | 4.79 |
CMOD.L Invesco Bloomberg Commodity UCITS ETF | 58 | 1.73 | 2.23 | 1.32 | 3.07 | 8.68 |
DTLA.L iShares USD Treasury Bond 20+yr UCITS ETF USD (Acc) | 14 | 0.34 | 0.55 | 1.06 | 0.45 | 1.12 |
IBTM iShares iBonds Dec 2032 Term Treasury ETF | 24 | 0.84 | 1.28 | 1.14 | 1.03 | 2.81 |
VWCE.DE Vanguard FTSE All-World UCITS ETF | 70 | 2.05 | 2.97 | 1.36 | 2.86 | 11.93 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
All Weather (Ray Dalio) provided a 1.58% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.58% | 1.55% | 1.58% | 1.36% | 0.55% |
| Portfolio components: | |||||
8PSG.DE Invesco Physical Gold ETC | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CMOD.L Invesco Bloomberg Commodity UCITS ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
DTLA.L iShares USD Treasury Bond 20+yr UCITS ETF USD (Acc) | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IBTM iShares iBonds Dec 2032 Term Treasury ETF | 3.95% | 3.87% | 3.96% | 3.39% | 1.38% |
VWCE.DE Vanguard FTSE All-World UCITS ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the All Weather (Ray Dalio). A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the All Weather (Ray Dalio) was 12.28%, occurring on Oct 21, 2022. Recovery took 297 trading sessions.
The current All Weather (Ray Dalio) drawdown is 1.13%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bear market2022 | -12.28%Oct 2022 | 2mo 20d | 1y 1mo | 1y 4moAug 2022 - Dec 2023 |
2025 selloff2025 | -5.72%Apr 2025 | 6d | 20d | 26dApr 2025 - Apr 2025 |
2026 pullback2026 | -4.58%Mar 2026 | 25d | 1mo 10d | 2mo 5dMar 2026 - May 2026 |
2025 pullback2025 | -4.49%Jan 2025 | 3mo 13d | 1mo 9d | 4mo 22dOct 2024 - Feb 2025 |
2024 pullback2024 | -2.81%Apr 2024 | 24d | 20d | 1mo 14dApr 2024 - May 2024 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.52, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.67 | 1.55 | 1.52 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.52, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
All Weather (Ray Dalio) correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.57 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.43 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jul 8, 2022 | 0.45 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. VWCE.DE has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.67, while DTLA.L has the lowest at 0.07.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what All Weather (Ray Dalio) is missing
See which holdings overlap, where All Weather (Ray Dalio) is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification