Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | Technology | 10% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 5% | |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Technology | 40% |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | Semiconductors, Technology Equities | 20% |
USD ProShares Ultra Semiconductors | Leveraged Equities, Semiconductors | 20% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | S&P 500 | 5% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Time and Tested, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jul 18, 2012, corresponding to the inception date of BTC-USD
Returns By Period
As of Apr 2, 2026, the Time and Tested returned -2.06% Year-To-Date and 60.51% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Time and Tested | 0.87% | 0.24% | -2.06% | 0.35% | 78.96% | 69.76% | 46.63% | 60.51% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 0.11% | -3.33% | -3.55% | -1.41% | 17.60% | 18.47% | 11.96% | 14.19% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | -1.99% | -2.31% | -23.70% | -44.66% | -19.07% | 33.89% | 3.18% | 66.03% |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.09% | 0.32% | 8.94% | 16.35% | 83.82% | 44.85% | 26.17% | 31.69% |
USD ProShares Ultra Semiconductors | 1.08% | -1.70% | -3.87% | -2.71% | 144.73% | 92.19% | 44.90% | 50.94% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.93% | -1.47% | -4.88% | -6.08% | 60.69% | 85.17% | 66.71% | 70.07% |
AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | 3.47% | 13.90% | 1.56% | 28.14% | 111.25% | 31.09% | 21.81% | 54.37% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jul 19, 2012, Time and Tested's average daily return is +0.14%, while the average monthly return is +4.20%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 1.4 years.
Historically, 67% of months were positive and 33% were negative. The best month was Nov 2013 with a return of +35.9%, while the worst month was Apr 2022 at -26.2%. The longest winning streak lasted 11 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, Time and Tested closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +20.9%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -18.4%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6.30% | -6.96% | -3.70% | 2.84% | -2.06% | ||||||||
| 2025 | -6.84% | -2.58% | -11.94% | -0.54% | 22.78% | 20.51% | 11.85% | -2.14% | 9.19% | 15.80% | -10.81% | 2.19% | 48.36% |
| 2024 | 15.95% | 25.62% | 10.77% | -7.22% | 21.34% | 10.63% | -6.48% | -0.14% | 2.65% | 3.35% | 3.97% | -1.70% | 103.46% |
| 2023 | 27.16% | 9.79% | 18.85% | -4.06% | 29.08% | 9.47% | 8.04% | -0.15% | -10.33% | -4.87% | 18.09% | 12.02% | 173.84% |
| 2022 | -17.05% | 0.03% | 4.76% | -26.22% | 4.31% | -21.82% | 21.57% | -15.17% | -19.29% | 6.73% | 23.61% | -14.07% | -50.65% |
| 2021 | 1.39% | 7.74% | 1.28% | 5.38% | 3.28% | 15.89% | 1.15% | 9.00% | -7.40% | 18.63% | 22.88% | -6.23% | 94.69% |
Benchmark Metrics
Time and Tested has an annualized alpha of 31.91%, beta of 1.79, and R² of 0.57 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since July 19, 2012.
- This portfolio captured 330.36% of S&P 500 Index gains and 129.85% of its losses — amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 31.91% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 1.79 means this portfolio moves significantly more than S&P 500 Index — expect amplified gains in rallies and amplified losses in downturns.
- Alpha
- 31.91%
- Beta
- 1.79
- R²
- 0.57
- Upside Capture
- 330.36%
- Downside Capture
- 129.85%
Expense Ratio
Time and Tested has an expense ratio of 0.26%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Time and Tested ranks 52 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.76 | 0.88 | +0.88 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.39 | 1.37 | +1.02 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.32 | 1.21 | +0.11 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.96 | 1.39 | -0.43 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 2.17 | 6.43 | -4.26 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 54 | 0.98 | 1.49 | 1.23 | 1.53 | 7.13 |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 39 | -0.43 | -0.36 | 0.96 | -1.14 | -2.03 |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 94 | 2.28 | 2.89 | 1.41 | 5.34 | 18.94 |
USD ProShares Ultra Semiconductors | 88 | 1.89 | 2.43 | 1.34 | 4.65 | 12.68 |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 81 | 1.47 | 2.17 | 1.27 | 3.02 | 7.54 |
AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | 85 | 1.73 | 2.48 | 1.32 | 4.02 | 8.17 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Time and Tested provided a 0.22% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.22% | 0.21% | 0.18% | 0.21% | 0.42% | 0.19% | 0.29% | 0.65% | 0.85% | 0.56% | 0.54% | 1.09% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 1.18% | 1.13% | 1.24% | 1.46% | 1.69% | 1.25% | 1.54% | 1.88% | 2.06% | 1.78% | 2.02% | 2.10% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.28% | 0.31% | 0.44% | 0.60% | 1.18% | 0.51% | 0.69% | 1.50% | 1.88% | 1.43% | 0.80% | 2.14% |
USD ProShares Ultra Semiconductors | 0.48% | 0.39% | 0.10% | 0.05% | 0.30% | 0.00% | 0.14% | 0.72% | 0.93% | 0.32% | 0.46% | 0.39% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.05% | 0.12% | 0.27% | 0.46% | 0.29% | 0.45% | 1.20% |
AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Time and Tested. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Time and Tested was 63.43%, occurring on Oct 15, 2022. Recovery took 241 trading sessions.
The current Time and Tested drawdown is 13.81%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -63.43% | Nov 30, 2021 | 320 | Oct 15, 2022 | 241 | Jun 13, 2023 | 561 |
| -43.51% | Oct 2, 2018 | 85 | Dec 25, 2018 | 304 | Oct 25, 2019 | 389 |
| -41.23% | Feb 20, 2020 | 26 | Mar 16, 2020 | 80 | Jun 4, 2020 | 106 |
| -39.29% | Jan 7, 2025 | 90 | Apr 6, 2025 | 79 | Jun 24, 2025 | 169 |
| -29.21% | Jul 11, 2024 | 28 | Aug 7, 2024 | 92 | Nov 7, 2024 | 120 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 6 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.92, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | BTC-USD | AMD | VOO | NVDA | USD | SMH | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.15 | 0.51 | 1.00 | 0.61 | 0.75 | 0.77 | 0.70 |
| BTC-USD | 0.15 | 1.00 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.32 |
| AMD | 0.51 | 0.10 | 1.00 | 0.46 | 0.56 | 0.59 | 0.61 | 0.67 |
| VOO | 1.00 | 0.12 | 0.46 | 1.00 | 0.55 | 0.69 | 0.71 | 0.64 |
| NVDA | 0.61 | 0.11 | 0.56 | 0.55 | 1.00 | 0.78 | 0.74 | 0.87 |
| USD | 0.75 | 0.12 | 0.59 | 0.69 | 0.78 | 1.00 | 0.93 | 0.87 |
| SMH | 0.77 | 0.12 | 0.61 | 0.71 | 0.74 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 0.85 |
| Portfolio | 0.70 | 0.32 | 0.67 | 0.64 | 0.87 | 0.87 | 0.85 | 1.00 |