Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds, Long-Term Bond | 40% |
IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF | Small Cap Blend Equities | 40% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | Gold, Precious Metals | 20% |
Find the right asset allocation for 20-40-40 GLD-TLT-IW;
Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 20-40-40 GLD-TLT-IW;, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 13, 2026, the 20-40-40 GLD-TLT-IW; returned 7.59% Year-To-Date and 7.17% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | 0.31% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 24.33% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
Portfolio 20-40-40 GLD-TLT-IW; | 0.31% | 2.10% | 7.59% | 6.53% | 22.58% | 12.20% | 3.37% | 7.17% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.06% | -9.52% | -2.47% | -2.25% | 22.21% | 28.89% | 17.08% | 12.15% |
IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF | 0.87% | 2.99% | 19.22% | 16.00% | 41.75% | 17.23% | 6.07% | 11.27% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.24% | 1.40% | 0.27% | 0.45% | 3.88% | -1.38% | -6.53% | -1.75% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Nov 18, 2004, 20-40-40 GLD-TLT-IW;'s average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.69%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 8.4 years.
Historically, 62% of months were positive and 38% were negative. The best month was Dec 2008 with a return of +10.2%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -12.6%. The longest winning streak lasted 8 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, 20-40-40 GLD-TLT-IW; closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Nov 10, 2022 with a return of +4.7%, while the worst single day was Mar 18, 2020 at -5.4%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.64% | 3.92% | -6.05% | 4.26% | 1.86% | -0.82% | 7.59% | ||||||
| 2025 | 2.56% | 0.51% | -1.15% | -0.37% | 0.75% | 3.36% | 0.08% | 3.91% | 5.05% | 1.97% | 1.61% | -0.86% | 18.63% |
| 2024 | -2.74% | 1.40% | 3.47% | -4.71% | 3.45% | 0.24% | 6.69% | 0.52% | 2.10% | -1.89% | 4.58% | -6.28% | 6.16% |
| 2023 | 8.13% | -3.68% | 1.44% | -0.42% | -1.81% | 2.89% | 1.87% | -3.57% | -6.42% | -3.49% | 8.01% | 8.48% | 10.48% |
| 2022 | -5.70% | 1.01% | -1.44% | -8.14% | -1.52% | -4.15% | 4.66% | -3.18% | -7.85% | 1.73% | 5.25% | -3.19% | -21.20% |
| 2021 | -0.17% | -0.83% | -1.59% | 2.43% | 1.68% | 0.91% | 0.55% | 0.69% | -2.97% | 2.97% | -0.77% | 0.71% | 3.50% |
Benchmark Metrics
20-40-40 GLD-TLT-IW; has an annualized alpha of 4.95%, beta of 0.34, and R2 of 0.37 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since November 18, 2004.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (49.50%) than losses (39.55%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- Beta of 0.34 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.37 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R2 of 0.37 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior - treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 4.95%
- Beta
- 0.34
- R²
- 0.37
- Upside Capture
- 49.50%
- Downside Capture
- 39.55%
Expense Ratio
20-40-40 GLD-TLT-IW; has an expense ratio of 0.22%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
20-40-40 GLD-TLT-IW; ranks 35 for risk / return — below 35% of Portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 20-40-40 GLD-TLT-IW; and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.72 | 1.86 | -0.14 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.38 | 2.53 | -0.15 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.31 | 1.34 | -0.03 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.61 | 2.53 | +0.07 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 8.94 | 11.37 | -2.44 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 26 | 0.87 | 1.24 | 1.18 | 0.98 | 2.81 |
IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF | 70 | 1.99 | 2.75 | 1.33 | 3.57 | 12.63 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 13 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 1.06 | 0.38 | 0.92 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
20-40-40 GLD-TLT-IW; provided a 2.17% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.17% | 2.19% | 2.18% | 1.89% | 1.66% | 0.97% | 1.02% | 1.41% | 1.61% | 1.48% | 1.59% | 1.66% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF | 0.87% | 1.04% | 1.15% | 1.35% | 1.48% | 0.94% | 1.04% | 1.26% | 1.40% | 1.26% | 1.38% | 1.54% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.56% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 20-40-40 GLD-TLT-IW;. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 20-40-40 GLD-TLT-IW; was 28.68%, occurring on Oct 25, 2023. Recovery took 466 trading sessions.
The current 20-40-40 GLD-TLT-IW; drawdown is 1.31%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 bear market2023 | -28.68%Oct 2023 | 1y 11mo | 1y 10mo | 3y 10moNov 2021 - Sep 2025 |
Financial crisis2007–2009 | -20.05%Nov 2008 | 1mo 28d | 9mo 25d | 11mo 23dSep 2008 - Sep 2009 |
COVID crash2020 | -18.58%Mar 2020 | 9d | 1mo 12d | 1mo 21dMar 2020 - Apr 2020 |
2016 correction2016 | -10.84%Jan 2016 | 10mo | 4mo 16d | 1y 2moMar 2015 - Jun 2016 |
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018 | -9.30%Dec 2018 | 5mo 17d | 1mo 27d | 7mo 14dJul 2018 - Feb 2019 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 3 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.78, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.40 | 1.43 | 1.48 | 1.59 | 1.74 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.74, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
20-40-40 GLD-TLT-IW; correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.69 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.64 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.64 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.59 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Nov 18, 2004 | 0.59 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. IWM has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.85, while TLT has the lowest at -0.24.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what 20-40-40 GLD-TLT-IW; is missing
See which holdings overlap, where 20-40-40 GLD-TLT-IW; is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification