Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
VGT Vanguard Information Technology ETF | Technology Equities | 50% |
SCHG Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF | Large Cap Growth Equities | 50% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Contra-Loan, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 17, 2026, the Contra-Loan returned 13.33% Year-To-Date and 21.98% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -1.21% | 0.23% | 8.39% | 10.39% | 24.03% | 18.94% | 12.24% | 13.61% |
Portfolio Contra-Loan | -1.08% | 1.23% | 13.33% | 16.60% | 34.33% | 25.99% | 17.27% | 21.98% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
SCHG Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF | -1.47% | -2.14% | 2.70% | 5.35% | 19.99% | 22.35% | 14.13% | 18.58% |
VGT Vanguard Information Technology ETF | -0.75% | 4.28% | 24.23% | 28.20% | 49.31% | 29.37% | 20.28% | 25.32% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Dec 11, 2009, Contra-Loan's average daily return is +0.08%, while the average monthly return is +1.53%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 3.8 years.
Historically, 64% of months were positive and 36% were negative. The best month was Apr 2026 with a return of +15.7%, while the worst month was Apr 2022 at -12.5%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, Contra-Loan closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +12.5%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -13.0%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -1.34% | -3.38% | -4.50% | 15.65% | 12.16% | -4.02% | 13.33% | ||||||
| 2025 | 0.62% | -3.53% | -8.68% | 1.41% | 9.39% | 7.80% | 3.78% | 0.97% | 5.95% | 5.42% | -3.47% | -0.07% | 19.67% |
| 2024 | 2.33% | 5.87% | 1.76% | -4.80% | 7.05% | 7.44% | -1.23% | 1.41% | 2.48% | -0.58% | 7.02% | 0.22% | 32.12% |
| 2023 | 9.82% | -0.37% | 8.95% | 0.55% | 7.41% | 6.50% | 3.20% | -1.57% | -5.90% | -1.61% | 12.22% | 4.66% | 51.43% |
| 2022 | -8.39% | -4.20% | 3.98% | -12.54% | -2.27% | -8.66% | 13.15% | -5.41% | -10.91% | 5.93% | 4.70% | -8.10% | -30.74% |
| 2021 | -0.71% | 0.94% | 1.11% | 6.39% | -1.43% | 6.79% | 3.35% | 3.69% | -5.57% | 8.54% | 1.71% | 1.96% | 29.29% |
Benchmark Metrics
Contra-Loan has an annualized alpha of 4.06%, beta of 1.15, and R2 of 0.90 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since December 11, 2009.
- This portfolio captured 128.42% of S&P 500 Index gains and 103.41% of its losses - amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 4.06% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Alpha
- 4.06%
- Beta
- 1.15
- R²
- 0.90
- Upside Capture
- 128.42%
- Downside Capture
- 103.41%
Expense Ratio
Contra-Loan has an expense ratio of 0.07%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Contra-Loan ranks 26 for risk / return — below 26% of Portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Contra-Loan and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.83 | 1.94 | -0.11 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.39 | 2.64 | -0.26 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.31 | 1.35 | -0.04 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.10 | 2.65 | -0.55 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 6.77 | 11.88 | -5.11 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SCHG Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF | 32 | 1.25 | 1.73 | 1.22 | 1.22 | 4.02 |
VGT Vanguard Information Technology ETF | 66 | 2.23 | 2.78 | 1.37 | 3.02 | 9.29 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Contra-Loan provided a 0.35% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.35% | 0.38% | 0.50% | 0.55% | 0.73% | 0.53% | 0.67% | 0.97% | 1.28% | 1.00% | 1.18% | 1.25% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
SCHG Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF | 0.38% | 0.36% | 0.39% | 0.46% | 0.55% | 0.42% | 0.52% | 0.82% | 1.27% | 1.01% | 1.04% | 1.22% |
VGT Vanguard Information Technology ETF | 0.33% | 0.40% | 0.60% | 0.65% | 0.91% | 0.64% | 0.82% | 1.11% | 1.29% | 0.99% | 1.31% | 1.28% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Contra-Loan. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Contra-Loan was 34.65%, occurring on Oct 14, 2022. Recovery took 291 trading sessions.
The current Contra-Loan drawdown is 4.93%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bear market2022 | -34.65%Oct 2022 | 9mo 20d | 1y 1mo | 1y 11moDec 2021 - Dec 2023 |
COVID crash2020 | -32.12%Mar 2020 | 1mo 2d | 2mo 19d | 3mo 21dFeb 2020 - Jun 2020 |
2025 selloff2025 | -25.32%Apr 2025 | 3mo 22d | 2mo 19d | 6mo 11dDec 2024 - Jun 2025 |
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018 | -22.56%Dec 2018 | 2mo 21d | 3mo 10d | 6mo 1dOct 2018 - Apr 2019 |
2011 correction2011 | -18.33%Oct 2011 | 5mo 4d | 4mo 1d | 9mo 5dMay 2011 - Feb 2012 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 2 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.02 | 1.01 | 1.01 | 1.01 | 1.01 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.01, placing it in the bottom quartile across portfolios — positions are highly correlated. Consider adding assets from different classes or sectors to reduce risk.
Contra-Loan correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.92 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.93 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.94 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.92 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Dec 11, 2009 | 0.93 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. SCHG has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.95, while VGT has the lowest at 0.89.
Asset Correlations Table
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