Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
4GLD.DE Xetra-Gold ETF | Gold, Precious Metals | 8% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 72% | |
IUSQ.DE iShares MSCI ACWI UCITS ETF (Acc) | Global Equities | 10% |
SXR8.DE iShares Core S&P 500 UCITS ETF USD (Acc) | S&P 500 | 10% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of €10,000 in Francisco, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every year.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jul 18, 2012, corresponding to the inception date of BTC-USD
Returns By Period
As of Apr 3, 2026, the Francisco returned -15.72% Year-To-Date and 64.39% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.56% | -2.80% | -2.10% | -0.42% | 8.95% | 14.67% | 10.82% | 12.14% |
Portfolio Francisco | -2.70% | -2.54% | -15.72% | -31.16% | -12.01% | 31.68% | 9.55% | 64.39% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
IUSQ.DE iShares MSCI ACWI UCITS ETF (Acc) | -13.59% | -2.02% | -0.62% | 2.46% | 13.61% | 14.89% | 10.08% | 11.33% |
SXR8.DE iShares Core S&P 500 UCITS ETF USD (Acc) | 0.21% | -2.54% | -2.80% | -0.13% | 10.46% | 16.02% | 12.15% | 13.67% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.00% | 0.05% | -20.96% | -42.79% | -22.71% | 32.15% | 3.26% | 66.10% |
4GLD.DE Xetra-Gold ETF | 1.01% | -8.29% | 8.08% | 23.55% | 40.41% | 30.36% | 22.45% | 14.22% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jul 19, 2012, Francisco's average daily return is +0.23%, while the average monthly return is +8.81%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 0.7 years.
Historically, 57% of months were positive and 43% were negative. The best month was Nov 2013 with a return of +459.0%, while the worst month was Dec 2013 at -39.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 6 months.
On a daily basis, Francisco closed higher 39% of trading days. The best single day was Nov 18, 2013 with a return of +79.8%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -30.6%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -2.37% | -14.40% | 1.64% | -0.78% | -15.72% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 8.38% | -13.49% | -5.48% | 5.32% | 8.50% | -0.63% | 9.62% | -6.46% | 5.22% | -0.52% | -11.98% | -2.57% | -7.37% |
| 2024 | 3.11% | 32.49% | 12.35% | -9.79% | 7.49% | -3.85% | 1.83% | -8.02% | 5.34% | 11.04% | 34.48% | -2.06% | 106.52% |
| 2023 | 28.11% | 2.02% | 15.94% | 1.08% | -2.91% | 7.94% | -3.47% | -8.00% | 4.57% | 22.72% | 5.44% | 8.79% | 109.82% |
| 2022 | -12.25% | 8.62% | 6.15% | -8.12% | -14.46% | -24.68% | 15.33% | -8.98% | -2.07% | 3.39% | -11.49% | -5.04% | -46.50% |
| 2021 | 13.92% | 27.17% | 25.70% | -3.14% | -30.18% | -1.64% | 15.68% | 9.86% | -4.36% | 34.08% | -5.31% | -14.94% | 58.99% |
Benchmark Metrics
Francisco has an annualized alpha of 102.75%, beta of 0.62, and R² of 0.03 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since July 19, 2012.
- This portfolio captured 347.58% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 23.95% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- Beta of 0.62 may look defensive, but with R² of 0.03 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index — low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R² of 0.03 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index — capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 102.75%
- Beta
- 0.62
- R²
- 0.03
- Upside Capture
- 347.58%
- Downside Capture
- 23.95%
Expense Ratio
Francisco has an expense ratio of 0.03%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Francisco ranks 1 for risk / return — in the bottom 1% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.38 | 0.43 | -0.81 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -0.33 | 0.73 | -1.07 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.96 | 1.12 | -0.15 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -1.06 | 0.65 | -1.71 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.99 | 2.68 | -4.67 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
IUSQ.DE iShares MSCI ACWI UCITS ETF (Acc) | 45 | 0.49 | 0.92 | 1.18 | 1.42 | 10.55 |
SXR8.DE iShares Core S&P 500 UCITS ETF USD (Acc) | 46 | 0.61 | 0.92 | 1.14 | 2.37 | 8.02 |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 39 | -0.51 | -0.49 | 0.94 | -1.08 | -1.96 |
4GLD.DE Xetra-Gold ETF | 81 | 1.70 | 2.18 | 1.32 | 2.66 | 9.96 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Francisco. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Francisco was 71.11%, occurring on Jan 14, 2015. Recovery took 707 trading sessions.
The current Francisco drawdown is 33.20%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -71.11% | Dec 5, 2013 | 406 | Jan 14, 2015 | 707 | Dec 21, 2016 | 1113 |
| -68.93% | Apr 10, 2013 | 7 | Apr 16, 2013 | 201 | Nov 4, 2013 | 208 |
| -66.66% | Dec 19, 2017 | 407 | Jan 29, 2019 | 644 | Nov 3, 2020 | 1051 |
| -59.81% | Nov 9, 2021 | 406 | Dec 19, 2022 | 422 | Feb 14, 2024 | 828 |
| -43.46% | Apr 14, 2021 | 98 | Jul 20, 2021 | 87 | Oct 15, 2021 | 185 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 1.84, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | 4GLD.DE | BTC-USD | SXR8.DE | IUSQ.DE | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.02 | 0.17 | 0.63 | 0.62 | 0.21 |
| 4GLD.DE | 0.02 | 1.00 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| BTC-USD | 0.17 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.98 |
| SXR8.DE | 0.63 | 0.03 | 0.10 | 1.00 | 0.92 | 0.17 |
| IUSQ.DE | 0.62 | 0.04 | 0.10 | 0.92 | 1.00 | 0.17 |
| Portfolio | 0.21 | 0.08 | 0.98 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 1.00 |