Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | Gold, Precious Metals | 45% |
SPXL Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares | Leveraged Equities, S&P 500 | 10% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | S&P 500 | 45% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Impossible-Portfolio, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is never rebalanced.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Sep 9, 2010, corresponding to the inception date of VOO
Returns By Period
As of Apr 3, 2026, the Impossible-Portfolio returned -7.59% Year-To-Date and 18.50% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Impossible-Portfolio | -0.14% | -8.18% | -7.59% | -4.18% | 29.04% | 29.27% | 15.96% | 18.50% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 0.11% | -3.33% | -3.55% | -1.41% | 17.60% | 18.47% | 11.96% | 14.19% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | -1.92% | -8.27% | 8.35% | 21.03% | 49.02% | 32.51% | 21.53% | 13.97% |
SPXL Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares | 0.24% | -11.17% | -13.85% | -11.42% | 32.41% | 38.15% | 17.57% | 25.75% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Sep 10, 2010, Impossible-Portfolio's average daily return is +0.07%, while the average monthly return is +1.48%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 3.9 years.
Historically, 66% of months were positive and 34% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +18.3%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -24.8%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Impossible-Portfolio closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +16.0%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -17.0%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.88% | -0.99% | -11.53% | 1.56% | -7.59% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 5.25% | -3.00% | -10.30% | -3.85% | 10.88% | 9.39% | 3.82% | 3.97% | 7.93% | 4.40% | 0.35% | -0.18% | 30.12% |
| 2024 | 2.11% | 9.20% | 6.65% | -7.84% | 9.08% | 6.32% | 1.93% | 3.73% | 4.02% | -2.03% | 10.86% | -5.64% | 43.27% |
| 2023 | 10.88% | -5.44% | 6.61% | 2.35% | 0.00% | 10.54% | 5.74% | -3.76% | -9.26% | -3.38% | 15.96% | 7.89% | 41.17% |
| 2022 | -10.80% | -5.71% | 6.69% | -16.69% | -1.29% | -15.10% | 15.48% | -8.16% | -15.94% | 12.27% | 9.59% | -9.73% | -37.96% |
| 2021 | -2.53% | 3.63% | 7.67% | 10.18% | 1.80% | 3.24% | 4.69% | 5.73% | -9.38% | 13.89% | -1.77% | 9.09% | 54.18% |
Benchmark Metrics
Impossible-Portfolio has an annualized alpha of -0.16%, beta of 1.43, and R² of 0.91 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since September 10, 2010.
- This portfolio captured 165.01% of S&P 500 Index gains and 145.66% of its losses — amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
- Alpha
- -0.16%
- Beta
- 1.43
- R²
- 0.91
- Upside Capture
- 165.01%
- Downside Capture
- 145.66%
Expense Ratio
Impossible-Portfolio has an expense ratio of 0.30%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Impossible-Portfolio ranks 23 for risk / return — below 23% of portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.88 | 0.88 | -0.01 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.38 | 1.37 | +0.01 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.20 | 1.21 | -0.01 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.42 | 1.39 | +0.03 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 5.60 | 6.43 | -0.84 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 54 | 0.98 | 1.49 | 1.23 | 1.53 | 7.13 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 80 | 1.77 | 2.19 | 1.32 | 2.57 | 9.28 |
SPXL Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares | 35 | 0.60 | 1.17 | 1.18 | 1.04 | 4.10 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Impossible-Portfolio provided a 0.61% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.61% | 0.58% | 0.63% | 0.75% | 0.79% | 0.57% | 0.72% | 0.93% | 1.03% | 1.19% | 0.91% | 0.95% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 1.18% | 1.13% | 1.24% | 1.46% | 1.69% | 1.25% | 1.54% | 1.88% | 2.06% | 1.78% | 2.02% | 2.10% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SPXL Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares | 0.78% | 0.69% | 0.74% | 0.98% | 0.32% | 0.11% | 0.22% | 0.84% | 1.02% | 3.88% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Impossible-Portfolio. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Impossible-Portfolio was 50.38%, occurring on Mar 23, 2020. Recovery took 176 trading sessions.
The current Impossible-Portfolio drawdown is 13.33%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -50.38% | Feb 20, 2020 | 23 | Mar 23, 2020 | 176 | Dec 1, 2020 | 199 |
| -45.03% | Jan 4, 2022 | 195 | Oct 12, 2022 | 354 | Mar 12, 2024 | 549 |
| -33.1% | Feb 20, 2025 | 34 | Apr 8, 2025 | 59 | Jul 3, 2025 | 93 |
| -29.9% | Sep 21, 2018 | 65 | Dec 24, 2018 | 122 | Jun 20, 2019 | 187 |
| -19.35% | Jan 29, 2026 | 42 | Mar 30, 2026 | — | — | — |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 3 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.41, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | GLD | VOO | SPXL | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.04 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.96 |
| GLD | 0.04 | 1.00 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.20 |
| VOO | 1.00 | 0.04 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.96 |
| SPXL | 1.00 | 0.04 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.96 |
| Portfolio | 0.96 | 0.20 | 0.96 | 0.96 | 1.00 |