Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
FXE Invesco CurrencyShares® Euro Currency Trust | Currency | 25% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | Gold, Precious Metals | 25% |
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | Cryptocurrency | 25% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds, Long-Term Bond | 25% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 4 of the basic 5, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jan 11, 2024, corresponding to the inception date of IBIT
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.72% | -3.54% | -3.95% | -2.09% | 15.95% | 16.96% | 10.34% | 12.24% |
Portfolio 4 of the basic 5 | 0.61% | -2.86% | -3.26% | -7.72% | 8.48% | — | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.10% | -3.35% | 0.07% | -1.23% | -1.44% | -2.81% | -5.87% | -1.39% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 1.75% | -10.65% | 10.47% | 22.97% | 52.25% | 33.69% | 22.00% | 14.11% |
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | 0.57% | -1.42% | -22.18% | -42.10% | -20.00% | — | — | — |
FXE Invesco CurrencyShares® Euro Currency Trust | 0.17% | -0.91% | -1.28% | -0.93% | 8.11% | 3.81% | 0.34% | 0.09% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jan 12, 2024, 4 of the basic 5's average daily return is +0.07%, while the average monthly return is +1.46%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 4.0 years.
Historically, 57% of months were positive and 43% were negative. The best month was Feb 2024 with a return of +10.3%, while the worst month was Apr 2024 at -5.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 5 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, 4 of the basic 5 closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 25, 2024 with a return of +3.6%, while the worst single day was Aug 5, 2024 at -3.6%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.22% | -1.63% | -4.37% | 0.61% | -3.26% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 4.10% | -2.54% | 2.70% | 5.75% | 2.26% | 2.48% | 0.86% | -0.11% | 5.46% | -0.24% | -2.49% | -0.48% | 18.77% |
| 2024 | -2.47% | 10.29% | 6.36% | -5.42% | 4.96% | -2.74% | 4.77% | -1.00% | 3.97% | 1.64% | 9.28% | -3.38% | 27.82% |
Benchmark Metrics
4 of the basic 5 has an annualized alpha of 13.55%, beta of 0.38, and R² of 0.15 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since January 12, 2024.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (84.58%) than losses (41.08%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- Beta of 0.38 may look defensive, but with R² of 0.15 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index — low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R² of 0.15 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index — capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 13.55%
- Beta
- 0.38
- R²
- 0.15
- Upside Capture
- 84.58%
- Downside Capture
- 41.08%
Expense Ratio
4 of the basic 5 has an expense ratio of 0.30%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
4 of the basic 5 ranks 12 for risk / return — in the bottom 12% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.63 | 0.92 | -0.29 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 0.93 | 1.41 | -0.48 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.12 | 1.21 | -0.10 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.85 | 1.41 | -0.56 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 2.38 | 6.61 | -4.23 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 9 | -0.13 | -0.10 | 0.99 | -0.06 | -0.13 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 85 | 1.89 | 2.31 | 1.35 | 2.70 | 9.90 |
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | 6 | -0.44 | -0.37 | 0.96 | -0.35 | -0.75 |
FXE Invesco CurrencyShares® Euro Currency Trust | 55 | 1.07 | 1.71 | 1.20 | 1.57 | 4.16 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
4 of the basic 5 provided a 1.33% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.33% | 1.34% | 1.65% | 1.22% | 0.67% | 0.37% | 0.37% | 0.57% | 0.66% | 0.61% | 0.65% | 0.65% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.53% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
FXE Invesco CurrencyShares® Euro Currency Trust | 0.77% | 0.94% | 2.28% | 1.49% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 4 of the basic 5. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 4 of the basic 5 was 12.08%, occurring on Mar 26, 2026. The portfolio has not yet recovered.
The current 4 of the basic 5 drawdown is 9.75%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -12.08% | Jan 29, 2026 | 40 | Mar 26, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -8.27% | Oct 21, 2025 | 24 | Nov 21, 2025 | 44 | Jan 28, 2026 | 68 |
| -6.83% | Mar 14, 2024 | 34 | May 1, 2024 | 13 | May 20, 2024 | 47 |
| -5.99% | Dec 18, 2024 | 16 | Jan 13, 2025 | 63 | Apr 14, 2025 | 79 |
| -5.58% | Jun 6, 2024 | 21 | Jul 8, 2024 | 32 | Aug 21, 2024 | 53 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | TLT | GLD | FXE | IBIT | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.14 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 0.40 | 0.39 |
| TLT | 0.14 | 1.00 | 0.12 | 0.26 | 0.03 | 0.27 |
| GLD | 0.12 | 0.12 | 1.00 | 0.38 | 0.12 | 0.49 |
| FXE | 0.15 | 0.26 | 0.38 | 1.00 | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| IBIT | 0.40 | 0.03 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 1.00 | 0.87 |
| Portfolio | 0.39 | 0.27 | 0.49 | 0.40 | 0.87 | 1.00 |