Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds, Long-Term Bond | 25% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | Gold, Precious Metals | 25% |
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | Cryptocurrency | 25% |
FXE Invesco CurrencyShares® Euro Currency Trust | Currency | 25% |
Find the right asset allocation for 4 of the basic 5
Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
Open Portfolio OptimizerPerformance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 4 of the basic 5, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -2.64% | -0.21% | 7.86% | 7.85% | 23.05% | 19.90% | 11.79% | 13.33% |
Portfolio 4 of the basic 5 | -2.51% | -9.83% | -8.70% | -8.51% | -3.73% | — | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
FXE Invesco CurrencyShares® Euro Currency Trust | -0.80% | -2.17% | -1.64% | -0.69% | 1.79% | 4.09% | -0.35% | 0.09% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | -3.65% | -8.65% | -0.02% | 2.54% | 29.84% | 29.53% | 17.47% | 12.80% |
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | -5.22% | -24.88% | -31.24% | -32.65% | -42.39% | — | — | — |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.51% | -0.80% | -0.56% | -1.32% | 4.21% | -2.03% | -6.37% | -1.63% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jan 12, 2024, 4 of the basic 5's average daily return is +0.06%, while the average monthly return is +1.18%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 4.9 years.
Historically, 53% of months were positive and 47% were negative. The best month was Feb 2024 with a return of +10.3%, while the worst month was Jun 2026 at -6.5%. The longest winning streak lasted 5 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, 4 of the basic 5 closed higher 53% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 25, 2024 with a return of +3.6%, while the worst single day was Aug 5, 2024 at -3.6%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.22% | -1.63% | -4.37% | 2.98% | -1.44% | -6.45% | -8.70% | ||||||
| 2025 | 4.10% | -2.54% | 2.70% | 5.75% | 2.26% | 2.48% | 0.86% | -0.11% | 5.46% | -0.24% | -2.49% | -0.48% | 18.77% |
| 2024 | -2.47% | 10.29% | 6.36% | -5.42% | 4.96% | -2.74% | 4.77% | -1.00% | 3.97% | 1.64% | 9.28% | -3.38% | 27.82% |
Benchmark Metrics
4 of the basic 5 has an annualized alpha of 7.38%, beta of 0.40, and R2 of 0.16 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since January 12, 2024.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (65.44%) than losses (64.10%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- Beta of 0.40 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.16 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R2 of 0.16 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index - capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 7.38%
- Beta
- 0.40
- R²
- 0.16
- Upside Capture
- 65.44%
- Downside Capture
- 64.10%
Expense Ratio
4 of the basic 5 has an expense ratio of 0.30%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
4 of the basic 5 ranks 3 for risk / return — in the bottom 3% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 4 of the basic 5 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.26 | 2.01 | -2.26 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -0.25 | 2.71 | -2.97 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.97 | 1.36 | -0.39 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.25 | 2.69 | -2.94 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.68 | 12.34 | -13.03 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FXE Invesco CurrencyShares® Euro Currency Trust | 12 | 0.23 | 0.38 | 1.04 | 0.29 | 0.68 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 31 | 1.05 | 1.43 | 1.21 | 1.40 | 3.56 |
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | 2 | -0.94 | -1.32 | 0.85 | -0.79 | -1.43 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 14 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 1.06 | 0.38 | 0.94 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
4 of the basic 5 provided a 1.33% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.33% | 1.34% | 1.65% | 1.22% | 0.67% | 0.37% | 0.37% | 0.57% | 0.66% | 0.61% | 0.65% | 0.65% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
FXE Invesco CurrencyShares® Euro Currency Trust | 0.74% | 0.94% | 2.28% | 1.49% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.60% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 4 of the basic 5. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 4 of the basic 5 was 14.82%, occurring on Jun 5, 2026. The portfolio has not yet recovered.
The current 4 of the basic 5 drawdown is 14.82%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 correction2026 | -14.82%Jun 2026 | 4mo 7d | — | 4mo 11dJan 2026 - now |
2025 pullback2025 | -8.27%Nov 2025 | 1mo 1d | 2mo 8d | 3mo 9dOct 2025 - Jan 2026 |
2024 pullback2024 | -6.83%May 2024 | 1mo 18d | 19d | 2mo 7dMar 2024 - May 2024 |
2025 pullback2025 | -5.99%Jan 2025 | 26d | 3mo 1d | 3mo 27dDec 2024 - Apr 2025 |
2024 pullback2024 | -5.58%Jul 2024 | 1mo 2d | 1mo 14d | 2mo 16dJun 2024 - Aug 2024 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.44 | 1.49 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.49, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
4 of the basic 5 correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.51 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 12, 2024 | 0.41 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. IBIT has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.40, while GLD has the lowest at 0.15.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what 4 of the basic 5 is missing
See which holdings overlap, where 4 of the basic 5 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification