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4 of the basic 5
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


TLT 25.00%GLD 25.00%IBIT 25.00%FXE 25.00%BondBondCommodityCommodityCryptocurrencyCryptocurrencyCurrencyCurrency

S&P 500 Index

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Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 4 of the basic 5, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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Returns By Period


Position1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
-2.64%-0.21%7.86%7.85%23.05%19.90%11.79%13.33%
Portfolio
4 of the basic 5
-2.51%-9.83%-8.70%-8.51%-3.73%
FXE
Invesco CurrencyShares® Euro Currency Trust
-0.80%-2.17%-1.64%-0.69%1.79%4.09%-0.35%0.09%
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
-3.65%-8.65%-0.02%2.54%29.84%29.53%17.47%12.80%
IBIT
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF
-5.22%-24.88%-31.24%-32.65%-42.39%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
-0.51%-0.80%-0.56%-1.32%4.21%-2.03%-6.37%-1.63%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jan 12, 2024, 4 of the basic 5's average daily return is +0.06%, while the average monthly return is +1.18%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 4.9 years.

Historically, 53% of months were positive and 47% were negative. The best month was Feb 2024 with a return of +10.3%, while the worst month was Jun 2026 at -6.5%. The longest winning streak lasted 5 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.

On a daily basis, 4 of the basic 5 closed higher 53% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 25, 2024 with a return of +3.6%, while the worst single day was Aug 5, 2024 at -3.6%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20262.22%-1.63%-4.37%2.98%-1.44%-6.45%-8.70%
20254.10%-2.54%2.70%5.75%2.26%2.48%0.86%-0.11%5.46%-0.24%-2.49%-0.48%18.77%
2024-2.47%10.29%6.36%-5.42%4.96%-2.74%4.77%-1.00%3.97%1.64%9.28%-3.38%27.82%

Benchmark Metrics

4 of the basic 5 has an annualized alpha of 7.38%, beta of 0.40, and R2 of 0.16 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since January 12, 2024.

  • This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (65.44%) than losses (64.10%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
  • Beta of 0.40 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.16 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
  • R2 of 0.16 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index - capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.

Alpha
7.38%
Beta
0.40
0.16
Upside Capture
65.44%
Downside Capture
64.10%

Expense Ratio

4 of the basic 5 has an expense ratio of 0.30%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

4 of the basic 5 ranks 3 for risk / return — in the bottom 3% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.


4 of the basic 5 Risk / Return Rank: 33
Overall Rank
4 of the basic 5 Sharpe Ratio Rank: 33
Sharpe Ratio Rank
4 of the basic 5 Sortino Ratio Rank: 33
Sortino Ratio Rank
4 of the basic 5 Omega Ratio Rank: 33
Omega Ratio Rank
4 of the basic 5 Calmar Ratio Rank: 33
Calmar Ratio Rank
4 of the basic 5 Martin Ratio Rank: 33
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics

The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 4 of the basic 5 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-0.26

2.01

-2.26

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-0.25

2.71

-2.97

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

0.97

1.36

-0.39

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

-0.25

2.69

-2.94

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

-0.68

12.34

-13.03


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

PositionRisk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
FXE
Invesco CurrencyShares® Euro Currency Trust
120.230.381.040.290.68
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
311.051.431.211.403.56
IBIT
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF
2-0.94-1.320.85-0.79-1.43
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
140.300.501.060.380.94

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

4 of the basic 5 Sharpe ratios as of Jun 6, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: -0.26
  • All Time: 0.94

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.64 to 2.53, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio places it in the bottom 25%. This suggests weaker risk-adjusted returns than most portfolios, possibly due to lower returns, higher volatility, or both. It may be worth reviewing the allocation. You can use the Portfolio Optimization tool to explore options for improving the Sharpe ratio.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of 4 of the basic 5 compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

4 of the basic 5 provided a 1.33% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio1.33%1.34%1.65%1.22%0.67%0.37%0.37%0.57%0.66%0.61%0.65%0.65%
FXE
Invesco CurrencyShares® Euro Currency Trust
0.74%0.94%2.28%1.49%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
IBIT
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
4.60%4.43%4.30%3.38%2.67%1.50%1.50%2.27%2.63%2.43%2.60%2.61%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 4 of the basic 5. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the 4 of the basic 5 was 14.82%, occurring on Jun 5, 2026. The portfolio has not yet recovered.

The current 4 of the basic 5 drawdown is 14.82%.


Related event

Drawdown

Fall

Recovery

Underwater

2026 correction2026
-14.82%Jun 2026
4mo 7d
4mo 11dJan 2026 - now
2025 pullback2025
-8.27%Nov 2025
1mo 1d2mo 8d
3mo 9dOct 2025 - Jan 2026
2024 pullback2024
-6.83%May 2024
1mo 18d19d
2mo 7dMar 2024 - May 2024
2025 pullback2025
-5.99%Jan 2025
26d3mo 1d
3mo 27dDec 2024 - Apr 2025
2024 pullback2024
-5.58%Jul 2024
1mo 2d1mo 14d
2mo 16dJun 2024 - Aug 2024

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.


Diversification Ratio
1Y
All Time
Diversification Ratio

1.44

1.49

The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.49, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.

4 of the basic 5 correlation to the S&P 500 Index

4 of the basic 5 has a 0.51 correlation to S&P 500 Index over the trailing 12 months. This section compares each holding's correlation to the benchmark and to the portfolio.

Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.51

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 12, 2024

0.41


Benchmark Correlations

Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. IBIT has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.40, while GLD has the lowest at 0.15.

GLD
0.15
TLT
0.17
FXE
0.17
IBIT
0.40

Portfolio Correlations

Correlation vs. 4 of the basic 5. IBIT has the highest portfolio correlation at 0.87, while TLT has the lowest at 0.28.

TLT
0.28
FXE
0.41
GLD
0.51
IBIT
0.87

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

TLTGLDFXEIBIT
TLT1.000.150.280.04
GLD0.151.000.400.14
FXE0.280.401.000.16
IBIT0.040.140.161.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Jan 12, 2024
Diversification Analysis

Find what 4 of the basic 5 is missing

See which holdings overlap, where 4 of the basic 5 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.

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