Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds, Long-Term Bond | 40% |
UPRO ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 | Leveraged Equities, S&P 500 | 60% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Stocks/Bonds 40/60 with long term bonds, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jun 25, 2009, corresponding to the inception date of UPRO
Returns By Period
As of Apr 4, 2026, the Stocks/Bonds 40/60 with long term bonds returned -7.41% Year-To-Date and 18.44% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -4.18% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 21.98% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Stocks/Bonds 40/60 with long term bonds | 0.36% | -7.99% | -7.41% | -6.30% | 31.47% | 22.04% | 9.48% | 18.44% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 0.61% | -2.26% | 0.69% | -0.72% | -1.22% | -2.76% | -5.75% | -1.34% |
UPRO ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 | 0.21% | -13.09% | -13.96% | -11.51% | 54.07% | 37.93% | 17.21% | 25.67% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jun 26, 2009, Stocks/Bonds 40/60 with long term bonds's average daily return is +0.10%, while the average monthly return is +2.01%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 2.9 years.
Historically, 66% of months were positive and 34% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +22.5%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -21.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, Stocks/Bonds 40/60 with long term bonds closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +14.7%, while the worst single day was Jun 11, 2020 at -12.1%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.97% | -0.34% | -10.44% | 1.73% | -7.41% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 4.20% | -0.85% | -10.77% | -5.78% | 9.30% | 10.36% | 3.10% | 3.06% | 7.51% | 4.04% | -0.32% | -1.55% | 22.20% |
| 2024 | 1.17% | 8.13% | 6.02% | -10.36% | 9.53% | 6.67% | 2.53% | 3.88% | 3.87% | -4.63% | 11.36% | -7.66% | 31.79% |
| 2023 | 13.94% | -7.27% | 7.60% | 2.32% | -1.26% | 11.82% | 4.41% | -5.18% | -12.16% | -6.92% | 20.69% | 11.35% | 39.71% |
| 2022 | -11.07% | -6.28% | 2.96% | -18.82% | -2.19% | -14.42% | 17.93% | -10.22% | -19.93% | 11.21% | 11.89% | -12.74% | -46.33% |
| 2021 | -3.68% | 2.39% | 6.41% | 10.76% | 0.86% | 5.81% | 5.64% | 5.31% | -9.81% | 13.95% | -0.70% | 7.46% | 51.37% |
Benchmark Metrics
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 with long term bonds has an annualized alpha of 4.28%, beta of 1.54, and R² of 0.91 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since June 26, 2009.
- This portfolio captured 213.74% of S&P 500 Index gains and 156.87% of its losses — amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 4.28% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 1.54 means this portfolio moves significantly more than S&P 500 Index — expect amplified gains in rallies and amplified losses in downturns.
- Alpha
- 4.28%
- Beta
- 1.54
- R²
- 0.91
- Upside Capture
- 213.74%
- Downside Capture
- 156.87%
Expense Ratio
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 with long term bonds has an expense ratio of 0.61%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 with long term bonds ranks 14 for risk / return — in the bottom 14% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.63 | 0.88 | -0.25 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.07 | 1.37 | -0.30 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.16 | 1.21 | -0.05 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.00 | 1.39 | -0.39 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 3.83 | 6.43 | -2.61 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 9 | -0.07 | -0.01 | 1.00 | -0.09 | -0.19 |
UPRO ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 | 34 | 0.59 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.03 | 4.06 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 with long term bonds provided a 2.41% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.41% | 2.28% | 2.28% | 1.79% | 1.38% | 0.63% | 0.66% | 1.15% | 1.43% | 0.97% | 1.11% | 1.25% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.51% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
UPRO ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 | 1.01% | 0.84% | 0.93% | 0.74% | 0.52% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.41% | 0.63% | 0.00% | 0.12% | 0.34% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Stocks/Bonds 40/60 with long term bonds. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Stocks/Bonds 40/60 with long term bonds was 52.14%, occurring on Oct 14, 2022. Recovery took 501 trading sessions.
The current Stocks/Bonds 40/60 with long term bonds drawdown is 11.10%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -52.14% | Dec 28, 2021 | 202 | Oct 14, 2022 | 501 | Oct 14, 2024 | 703 |
| -43.98% | Feb 20, 2020 | 20 | Mar 18, 2020 | 97 | Aug 5, 2020 | 117 |
| -33.14% | Dec 9, 2024 | 82 | Apr 8, 2025 | 86 | Aug 12, 2025 | 168 |
| -28.74% | Jan 29, 2018 | 229 | Dec 24, 2018 | 66 | Apr 1, 2019 | 295 |
| -23.9% | May 2, 2011 | 69 | Aug 8, 2011 | 108 | Jan 11, 2012 | 177 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 2 assets, with an effective number of assets of 1.92, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | TLT | UPRO | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | -0.25 | 1.00 | 0.97 |
| TLT | -0.25 | 1.00 | -0.25 | -0.05 |
| UPRO | 1.00 | -0.25 | 1.00 | 0.97 |
| Portfolio | 0.97 | -0.05 | 0.97 | 1.00 |