Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 30% | |
ETH-USD Ethereum | 7% | |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | Gold, Precious Metals | 30% |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | Technology | 10% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Technology | 10% |
SOL-USD Solana | 7% | |
XRP-USD Ripple | 6% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in armagedon , comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Apr 10, 2020, corresponding to the inception date of SOL-USD
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -0.11% | 2.16% | -0.42% | 4.03% | 27.10% | 18.38% | 10.55% | 12.70% |
Portfolio armagedon | 0.17% | -1.47% | -9.37% | -17.11% | 16.73% | 48.93% | 29.86% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | -0.59% | -7.71% | -23.14% | -27.12% | -3.79% | 10.31% | 8.60% | 22.66% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.16% | 3.66% | -16.44% | -34.00% | -12.31% | 34.70% | 4.09% | 67.30% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | -0.18% | -6.37% | 10.30% | 18.42% | 46.72% | 32.89% | 21.77% | 13.80% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 2.57% | 3.00% | 1.15% | 3.00% | 70.08% | 90.83% | 67.37% | 71.10% |
XRP-USD Ripple | -0.16% | -2.22% | -26.36% | -43.21% | -33.01% | 38.83% | -1.60% | — |
ETH-USD Ethereum | 1.80% | 10.26% | -22.92% | -39.03% | 46.01% | 6.02% | 1.35% | 76.04% |
SOL-USD Solana | 0.07% | -2.21% | -31.76% | -52.24% | -30.03% | 52.76% | 24.39% | — |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Apr 11, 2020, armagedon 's average daily return is +0.17%, while the average monthly return is +5.29%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 1.1 years.
Historically, 62% of months were positive and 38% were negative. The best month was Feb 2021 with a return of +38.9%, while the worst month was Jun 2022 at -17.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 6 months.
On a daily basis, armagedon closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Feb 8, 2021 with a return of +11.1%, while the worst single day was May 19, 2021 at -15.5%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -3.12% | -5.96% | -4.62% | 4.29% | -9.37% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 8.09% | -12.22% | -1.22% | 7.92% | 10.39% | 3.47% | 10.48% | 1.12% | 5.66% | -1.15% | -9.24% | -0.77% | 21.38% |
| 2024 | 1.34% | 23.12% | 14.84% | -9.98% | 10.64% | -1.35% | 4.07% | -5.66% | 5.96% | 4.41% | 30.88% | -3.25% | 93.61% |
| 2023 | 30.70% | -0.69% | 15.45% | 1.70% | 1.71% | 3.70% | 4.79% | -7.47% | -1.51% | 18.27% | 12.81% | 16.25% | 138.10% |
| 2022 | -14.17% | 7.10% | 5.52% | -14.99% | -11.78% | -17.43% | 13.72% | -11.02% | -3.01% | 3.16% | -4.63% | -4.94% | -44.86% |
| 2021 | 29.30% | 38.90% | 29.05% | 24.79% | -13.35% | -4.14% | 7.82% | 26.08% | -1.71% | 23.87% | 0.40% | -10.58% | 256.95% |
Benchmark Metrics
armagedon has an annualized alpha of 30.60%, beta of 1.04, and R² of 0.25 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since April 11, 2020.
- This portfolio captured 201.34% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 94.76% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- R² of 0.25 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index — capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 30.60%
- Beta
- 1.04
- R²
- 0.25
- Upside Capture
- 201.34%
- Downside Capture
- 94.76%
Expense Ratio
armagedon has an expense ratio of 0.12%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
armagedon ranks 4 for risk / return — in the bottom 4% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.59 | 2.23 | -1.65 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 0.98 | 3.12 | -2.14 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.10 | 1.42 | -0.31 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.55 | 4.05 | -4.60 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.05 | 17.91 | -18.96 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 29 | -0.08 | 0.05 | 1.01 | 0.16 | 0.40 |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 51 | -0.29 | -0.13 | 0.99 | -0.94 | -1.61 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 39 | 1.82 | 2.24 | 1.34 | 3.06 | 10.54 |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 81 | 2.19 | 2.75 | 1.34 | 4.75 | 11.78 |
XRP-USD Ripple | 38 | -0.48 | -0.35 | 0.96 | -1.02 | -1.64 |
ETH-USD Ethereum | 82 | 0.64 | 1.39 | 1.14 | -0.70 | -1.15 |
SOL-USD Solana | 60 | -0.41 | -0.16 | 0.98 | -0.87 | -1.33 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
armagedon provided a 0.10% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.10% | 0.07% | 0.08% | 0.08% | 0.12% | 0.07% | 0.11% | 0.15% | 0.22% | 0.22% | 0.28% | 0.35% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 0.94% | 0.70% | 0.73% | 0.74% | 1.06% | 0.68% | 0.94% | 1.20% | 1.69% | 1.86% | 2.37% | 2.33% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.05% | 0.12% | 0.27% | 0.46% | 0.29% | 0.45% | 1.20% |
XRP-USD Ripple | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
ETH-USD Ethereum | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SOL-USD Solana | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the armagedon . A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the armagedon was 57.02%, occurring on Nov 9, 2022. Recovery took 394 trading sessions.
The current armagedon drawdown is 23.85%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -57.02% | Nov 9, 2021 | 366 | Nov 9, 2022 | 394 | Dec 8, 2023 | 760 |
| -29.25% | Oct 7, 2025 | 174 | Mar 29, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -28.67% | May 9, 2021 | 73 | Jul 20, 2021 | 31 | Aug 20, 2021 | 104 |
| -23.44% | Jan 26, 2025 | 73 | Apr 8, 2025 | 32 | May 10, 2025 | 105 |
| -19.98% | Sep 1, 2020 | 8 | Sep 8, 2020 | 69 | Nov 16, 2020 | 77 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 7 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.69, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | GLD | MSFT | NVDA | SOL-USD | XRP-USD | BTC-USD | ETH-USD | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.12 | 0.74 | 0.67 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.35 | 0.36 | 0.48 |
| GLD | 0.12 | 1.00 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 0.23 |
| MSFT | 0.74 | 0.06 | 1.00 | 0.57 | 0.18 | 0.17 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| NVDA | 0.67 | 0.08 | 0.57 | 1.00 | 0.19 | 0.20 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.38 |
| SOL-USD | 0.30 | 0.08 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 1.00 | 0.57 | 0.61 | 0.65 | 0.76 |
| XRP-USD | 0.30 | 0.07 | 0.17 | 0.20 | 0.57 | 1.00 | 0.68 | 0.69 | 0.75 |
| BTC-USD | 0.35 | 0.11 | 0.21 | 0.24 | 0.61 | 0.68 | 1.00 | 0.81 | 0.87 |
| ETH-USD | 0.36 | 0.10 | 0.22 | 0.25 | 0.65 | 0.69 | 0.81 | 1.00 | 0.84 |
| Portfolio | 0.48 | 0.23 | 0.33 | 0.38 | 0.76 | 0.75 | 0.87 | 0.84 | 1.00 |