Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
^GSPC S&P 500 Index | 50% | |
^NDX NASDAQ 100 Index | 50% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 1st, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is never rebalanced.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Sep 25, 1985, corresponding to the inception date of ^NDX
Returns By Period
As of Apr 4, 2026, the 1st returned -4.64% Year-To-Date and 17.12% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -4.18% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 21.98% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio 1st | 0.11% | -4.18% | -4.64% | -2.84% | 28.63% | 21.44% | 12.20% | 17.12% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
^GSPC S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -4.18% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 21.98% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
^NDX NASDAQ 100 Index | 0.11% | -4.18% | -4.77% | -2.99% | 29.83% | 22.29% | 12.52% | 18.21% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Sep 26, 1985, 1st's average daily return is +0.06%, while the average monthly return is +1.17%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 5.0 years.
Historically, 62% of months were positive and 38% were negative. The best month was Dec 1999 with a return of +20.7%, while the worst month was Oct 1987 at -24.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 12 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 6 months.
On a daily basis, 1st closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Jan 3, 2001 with a return of +15.1%, while the worst single day was Oct 19, 1987 at -17.7%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.22% | -2.11% | -4.92% | 1.22% | -4.64% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.29% | -2.57% | -7.40% | 1.17% | 8.61% | 6.08% | 2.35% | 1.00% | 5.13% | 4.42% | -1.39% | -0.63% | 19.61% |
| 2024 | 1.81% | 5.27% | 1.45% | -4.41% | 6.06% | 5.78% | -1.23% | 1.27% | 2.41% | -0.87% | 5.30% | -0.04% | 24.65% |
| 2023 | 9.83% | -0.86% | 8.46% | 0.65% | 6.42% | 6.49% | 3.70% | -1.65% | -5.04% | -2.09% | 10.41% | 5.34% | 48.55% |
| 2022 | -8.02% | -4.40% | 4.12% | -12.65% | -1.38% | -8.90% | 11.97% | -5.06% | -10.39% | 4.63% | 5.46% | -8.52% | -30.91% |
| 2021 | 0.07% | 0.29% | 1.85% | 5.78% | -0.97% | 5.69% | 2.71% | 3.97% | -5.58% | 7.75% | 1.40% | 1.62% | 26.67% |
Benchmark Metrics
1st has an annualized alpha of 2.58%, beta of 1.14, and R² of 0.82 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since September 26, 1985.
- This portfolio captured 130.61% of S&P 500 Index gains and 114.03% of its losses — amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 2.58% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- With beta of 1.14 and R² of 0.82, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index — much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.
- Alpha
- 2.58%
- Beta
- 1.14
- R²
- 0.82
- Upside Capture
- 130.61%
- Downside Capture
- 114.03%
Expense Ratio
1st has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
1st ranks 34 for risk / return — below 34% of portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.99 | 0.88 | +0.11 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.55 | 1.37 | +0.19 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.22 | 1.21 | +0.02 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.79 | 1.39 | +0.41 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 6.83 | 6.43 | +0.40 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
^GSPC S&P 500 Index | 62 | 0.88 | 1.37 | 1.21 | 1.39 | 6.43 |
^NDX NASDAQ 100 Index | 71 | 1.01 | 1.58 | 1.22 | 1.86 | 6.73 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 1st. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 1st was 77.22%, occurring on Oct 9, 2002. Recovery took 3108 trading sessions.
The current 1st drawdown is 7.46%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -77.22% | Mar 28, 2000 | 636 | Oct 9, 2002 | 3108 | Feb 13, 2015 | 3744 |
| -35.82% | Aug 26, 1987 | 71 | Dec 4, 1987 | 377 | Jun 2, 1989 | 448 |
| -33.92% | Dec 28, 2021 | 202 | Oct 14, 2022 | 294 | Dec 15, 2023 | 496 |
| -28.97% | Feb 20, 2020 | 23 | Mar 23, 2020 | 53 | Jun 8, 2020 | 76 |
| -26.67% | Jul 17, 1990 | 62 | Oct 11, 1990 | 84 | Feb 11, 1991 | 146 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 2 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | ^NDX | ^GSPC | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.84 | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| ^NDX | 0.84 | 1.00 | 0.84 | 0.99 |
| ^GSPC | 1.00 | 0.84 | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| Portfolio | 0.90 | 0.99 | 0.90 | 1.00 |