Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | Government Bonds | 50% |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | Semiconductors, Technology Equities | 50% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 50% smh 25% bil 25% gld, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is May 30, 2007, corresponding to the inception date of BIL
Returns By Period
As of Apr 3, 2026, the 50% smh 25% bil 25% gld returned 4.92% Year-To-Date and 17.17% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -4.18% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 21.98% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio 50% smh 25% bil 25% gld | 0.06% | -0.72% | 4.92% | 9.33% | 46.46% | 24.49% | 15.51% | 17.17% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.09% | -1.70% | 8.94% | 16.89% | 101.23% | 44.85% | 26.17% | 31.69% |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 0.02% | 0.30% | 0.90% | 1.83% | 4.00% | 4.71% | 3.28% | 2.13% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since May 31, 2007, 50% smh 25% bil 25% gld's average daily return is +0.05%, while the average monthly return is +0.94%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 6.2 years.
Historically, 65% of months were positive and 35% were negative. The best month was Nov 2022 with a return of +10.4%, while the worst month was Nov 2008 at -9.3%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, 50% smh 25% bil 25% gld closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +7.9%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -6.6%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6.14% | 0.51% | -2.83% | 1.22% | 4.92% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 0.47% | -2.06% | -4.29% | 0.13% | 6.89% | 8.78% | 1.95% | 0.45% | 6.44% | 5.82% | -1.43% | 1.51% | 26.57% |
| 2024 | 3.35% | 7.41% | 3.53% | -2.21% | 6.23% | 4.50% | -2.41% | -0.46% | 0.60% | -0.57% | 0.28% | 0.43% | 22.10% |
| 2023 | 8.54% | 0.68% | 5.49% | -2.86% | 8.32% | 3.04% | 2.96% | -1.17% | -3.45% | -1.87% | 7.82% | 5.28% | 36.78% |
| 2022 | -5.40% | -1.25% | 0.25% | -7.33% | 2.93% | -7.90% | 8.17% | -5.00% | -6.92% | 1.18% | 10.36% | -5.23% | -16.72% |
| 2021 | 1.88% | 3.22% | 0.50% | -0.11% | 1.28% | 2.67% | 0.17% | 1.46% | -2.73% | 3.38% | 5.89% | 1.00% | 19.99% |
Benchmark Metrics
50% smh 25% bil 25% gld has an annualized alpha of 6.08%, beta of 0.59, and R² of 0.62 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since May 31, 2007.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (75.78%) than losses (59.59%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 6.08% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.59 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 6.08%
- Beta
- 0.59
- R²
- 0.62
- Upside Capture
- 75.78%
- Downside Capture
- 59.59%
Expense Ratio
50% smh 25% bil 25% gld has an expense ratio of 0.25%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
50% smh 25% bil 25% gld ranks 93 for risk / return — in the top 93% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.19 | 0.88 | +1.30 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.98 | 1.37 | +1.62 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.42 | 1.21 | +0.21 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 5.10 | 1.39 | +3.71 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 17.54 | 6.43 | +11.10 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 94 | 2.28 | 2.89 | 1.41 | 5.34 | 18.94 |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 100 | 19.57 | 254.91 | 180.89 | 367.86 | 4,130.10 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
50% smh 25% bil 25% gld provided a 2.12% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.12% | 2.22% | 2.73% | 2.76% | 1.27% | 0.25% | 0.49% | 1.77% | 1.77% | 1.06% | 0.44% | 1.07% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.28% | 0.31% | 0.44% | 0.60% | 1.18% | 0.51% | 0.69% | 1.50% | 1.88% | 1.43% | 0.80% | 2.14% |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 3.96% | 4.13% | 5.03% | 4.92% | 1.35% | 0.00% | 0.30% | 2.05% | 1.66% | 0.68% | 0.07% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 50% smh 25% bil 25% gld. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 50% smh 25% bil 25% gld was 34.83%, occurring on Nov 20, 2008. Recovery took 541 trading sessions.
The current 50% smh 25% bil 25% gld drawdown is 4.09%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -34.83% | Jul 18, 2007 | 342 | Nov 20, 2008 | 541 | Jan 14, 2011 | 883 |
| -24.83% | Dec 28, 2021 | 202 | Oct 14, 2022 | 154 | May 26, 2023 | 356 |
| -17.95% | Jul 11, 2024 | 187 | Apr 8, 2025 | 52 | Jun 24, 2025 | 239 |
| -17.29% | Feb 20, 2020 | 20 | Mar 18, 2020 | 54 | Jun 4, 2020 | 74 |
| -13.44% | Mar 13, 2018 | 199 | Dec 24, 2018 | 59 | Mar 21, 2019 | 258 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 2 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | BIL | SMH | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | -0.02 | 0.77 | 0.77 |
| BIL | -0.02 | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| SMH | 0.77 | 0.01 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Portfolio | 0.77 | 0.02 | 1.00 | 1.00 |