Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
AMR Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. | Basic Materials | 10% |
ARCH Arch Resources, Inc. | Energy | 10% |
BTU Peabody Energy Corporation | Energy | 10% |
CALM Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. | Consumer Defensive | 10% |
CNR Core Natural Resources, Inc | Energy | 10% |
CNX CNX Resources Corporation | Energy | 10% |
GPOR Gulfport Energy Corporation | Energy | 10% |
NOG Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. | Energy | 10% |
SWN Southwestern Energy Company | Energy | 10% |
VRRM Verra Mobility Corporation | Industrials | 10% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Magic formula , comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is May 19, 2021, corresponding to the inception date of GPOR
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -0.11% | 2.16% | -0.42% | 4.03% | 27.10% | 18.38% | 10.55% | 12.70% |
Portfolio Magic formula | 0.34% | -4.46% | -0.20% | 2.06% | 26.40% | 17.28% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
AMR Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. | 3.95% | 1.60% | -3.68% | 20.31% | 62.23% | 6.87% | 70.22% | — |
GPOR Gulfport Energy Corporation | 0.13% | 3.87% | -2.12% | 15.73% | 21.31% | 35.61% | — | — |
CALM Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. | -2.43% | -14.93% | -3.87% | -17.72% | -16.79% | 17.02% | 19.82% | 6.73% |
VRRM Verra Mobility Corporation | -2.75% | -4.35% | -35.30% | -39.41% | -33.49% | -4.60% | 0.56% | — |
CNX CNX Resources Corporation | 1.18% | -4.45% | 6.83% | 22.75% | 28.16% | 33.07% | 23.23% | 11.25% |
SWN Southwestern Energy Company | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
BTU Peabody Energy Corporation | 2.09% | -21.26% | -4.53% | -7.98% | 125.35% | 5.20% | 54.77% | — |
NOG Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. | -0.63% | -0.98% | 27.34% | 26.65% | 28.18% | -2.42% | 21.51% | -3.42% |
ARCH Arch Resources, Inc. | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
CNR Core Natural Resources, Inc | 3.37% | -8.84% | 3.16% | -5.24% | 24.49% | 15.61% | 60.91% | — |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since May 20, 2021, Magic formula 's average daily return is +0.13%, while the average monthly return is +2.65%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 2.2 years.
Historically, 67% of months were positive and 33% were negative. The best month was Mar 2022 with a return of +26.2%, while the worst month was Jun 2022 at -13.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 6 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, Magic formula closed higher 53% of trading days. The best single day was Nov 6, 2024 with a return of +7.5%, while the worst single day was May 9, 2022 at -9.5%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.37% | -3.43% | 3.64% | -4.46% | -0.20% | ||||||||
| 2025 | -5.76% | -10.91% | 0.78% | -4.73% | 3.59% | 3.52% | 1.99% | 3.51% | 8.08% | -1.05% | 1.97% | 2.63% | 2.13% |
| 2024 | 1.38% | -0.61% | 4.52% | -2.31% | 8.35% | -6.68% | 4.55% | -3.02% | 4.47% | 1.02% | 11.32% | -7.98% | 14.03% |
| 2023 | 2.27% | -0.20% | -0.41% | -1.28% | -5.85% | 14.71% | 7.68% | 5.91% | 10.39% | -4.31% | 5.44% | 4.57% | 43.96% |
| 2022 | 2.64% | 23.40% | 26.16% | 3.79% | 7.10% | -13.91% | 7.67% | 9.29% | -9.37% | 10.78% | 6.15% | -11.56% | 69.62% |
| 2021 | 3.73% | 11.24% | 4.73% | 11.80% | 11.55% | 1.67% | -12.05% | 6.74% | 43.84% |
Benchmark Metrics
Magic formula has an annualized alpha of 28.05%, beta of 0.76, and R² of 0.17 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since May 20, 2021.
- This portfolio captured 117.00% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 20.03% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- R² of 0.17 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index — capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 28.05%
- Beta
- 0.76
- R²
- 0.17
- Upside Capture
- 117.00%
- Downside Capture
- 20.03%
Expense Ratio
Magic formula has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Magic formula ranks 23 for risk / return — below 23% of portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.51 | 2.23 | -0.72 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.23 | 3.12 | -0.88 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.25 | 1.42 | -0.17 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 3.86 | 4.05 | -0.18 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 11.10 | 17.91 | -6.81 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AMR Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. | 65 | 1.25 | 2.02 | 1.23 | 2.06 | 5.27 |
GPOR Gulfport Energy Corporation | 52 | 0.78 | 1.18 | 1.16 | 1.30 | 2.61 |
CALM Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. | 20 | -0.38 | -0.34 | 0.96 | -0.24 | -0.45 |
VRRM Verra Mobility Corporation | 5 | -1.12 | -1.57 | 0.80 | -0.66 | -1.70 |
CNX CNX Resources Corporation | 62 | 1.17 | 1.67 | 1.21 | 1.97 | 4.56 |
SWN Southwestern Energy Company | — | — | — | — | — | — |
BTU Peabody Energy Corporation | 85 | 2.60 | 3.09 | 1.35 | 5.19 | 13.79 |
NOG Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. | 50 | 0.73 | 1.25 | 1.15 | 1.16 | 2.09 |
ARCH Arch Resources, Inc. | — | — | — | — | — | — |
CNR Core Natural Resources, Inc | 52 | 0.69 | 1.33 | 1.15 | 1.35 | 2.95 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Magic formula provided a 1.86% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.86% | 2.07% | 1.21% | 2.16% | 3.10% | 0.11% | 0.11% | 2.99% | 0.45% | 0.11% | 0.28% | 0.59% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
AMR Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.57% | 4.23% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
GPOR Gulfport Energy Corporation | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CALM Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. | 10.42% | 10.90% | 2.82% | 7.51% | 3.17% | 0.09% | 0.00% | 0.98% | 1.03% | 0.00% | 2.70% | 4.10% |
VRRM Verra Mobility Corporation | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CNX CNX Resources Corporation | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.05% | 1.84% |
SWN Southwestern Energy Company | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
BTU Peabody Energy Corporation | 1.06% | 1.01% | 1.43% | 0.93% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 26.43% | 1.59% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NOG Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. | 6.68% | 8.38% | 4.41% | 4.02% | 2.86% | 0.75% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
ARCH Arch Resources, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.92% | 6.42% | 17.59% | 0.27% | 1.14% | 2.51% | 1.93% | 1.13% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CNR Core Natural Resources, Inc | 0.44% | 0.45% | 0.47% | 2.19% | 3.15% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Magic formula . A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Magic formula was 31.10%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. Recovery took 243 trading sessions.
The current Magic formula drawdown is 8.52%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -31.1% | Nov 22, 2024 | 92 | Apr 8, 2025 | 243 | Mar 27, 2026 | 335 |
| -27.31% | Jun 8, 2022 | 19 | Jul 6, 2022 | 268 | Jul 31, 2023 | 287 |
| -23.34% | Oct 19, 2021 | 31 | Dec 1, 2021 | 50 | Feb 11, 2022 | 81 |
| -14.45% | Jul 17, 2024 | 39 | Sep 10, 2024 | 18 | Oct 4, 2024 | 57 |
| -13.25% | Apr 19, 2022 | 15 | May 9, 2022 | 13 | May 26, 2022 | 28 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 10 assets, with an effective number of assets of 10.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | CALM | VRRM | SWN | GPOR | ARCH | AMR | CNX | NOG | BTU | CNR | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.17 | 0.46 | 0.34 | 0.28 | 0.21 | 0.25 | 0.30 | 0.32 | 0.20 | 0.25 | 0.37 |
| CALM | 0.17 | 1.00 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.17 | 0.10 | 0.08 | 0.19 | 0.17 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.28 |
| VRRM | 0.46 | 0.15 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.16 | 0.13 | 0.21 | 0.24 | 0.09 | 0.13 | 0.30 |
| SWN | 0.34 | 0.12 | 0.20 | 1.00 | 0.51 | 0.37 | 0.30 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.34 | 0.38 | 0.58 |
| GPOR | 0.28 | 0.17 | 0.21 | 0.51 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.31 | 0.58 | 0.54 | 0.33 | 0.38 | 0.61 |
| ARCH | 0.21 | 0.10 | 0.16 | 0.37 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.34 | 0.36 | 0.58 | 0.60 | 0.69 |
| AMR | 0.25 | 0.08 | 0.13 | 0.30 | 0.31 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.31 | 0.38 | 0.65 | 0.67 | 0.75 |
| CNX | 0.30 | 0.19 | 0.21 | 0.60 | 0.58 | 0.34 | 0.31 | 1.00 | 0.56 | 0.37 | 0.41 | 0.64 |
| NOG | 0.32 | 0.17 | 0.24 | 0.50 | 0.54 | 0.36 | 0.38 | 0.56 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 0.43 | 0.67 |
| BTU | 0.20 | 0.12 | 0.09 | 0.34 | 0.33 | 0.58 | 0.65 | 0.37 | 0.40 | 1.00 | 0.76 | 0.79 |
| CNR | 0.25 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.60 | 0.67 | 0.41 | 0.43 | 0.76 | 1.00 | 0.82 |
| Portfolio | 0.37 | 0.28 | 0.30 | 0.58 | 0.61 | 0.69 | 0.75 | 0.64 | 0.67 | 0.79 | 0.82 | 1.00 |