Asset Allocation
Find the right asset allocation for Rick's 10-10
Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Rick's 10-10, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -2.64% | -0.21% | 7.86% | 7.47% | 23.05% | 19.90% | 11.79% | 13.33% |
Portfolio Rick's 10-10 | -4.94% | -8.77% | 1.04% | 1.17% | 10.44% | — | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
BITX 2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF | -10.38% | -44.71% | -59.63% | -62.06% | -76.33% | — | — | — |
CTA Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF | -1.49% | -5.00% | 9.07% | 12.10% | 9.47% | 10.84% | — | — |
DBMF iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | -2.01% | -0.10% | 9.70% | 11.78% | 28.17% | 9.96% | 7.93% | — |
GOVZ iShares 25+ Year Treasury STRIPS Bond ETF | -0.33% | -0.38% | -0.91% | -2.71% | 2.81% | -7.61% | -11.53% | — |
KMLM KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF | -0.35% | -2.74% | 9.36% | 12.51% | 12.51% | -0.86% | 4.06% | — |
PSCC Invesco S&P SmallCap Consumer Staples ETF | 1.46% | 0.51% | 7.16% | 6.18% | -2.82% | -1.02% | -0.20% | 6.30% |
SHNY MicroSectors Gold 3X Leveraged ETN | -10.99% | -25.58% | -21.88% | -17.79% | 41.98% | 53.91% | — | — |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | -14.28% | -4.23% | 38.79% | 30.51% | 98.25% | 60.11% | 24.09% | 42.84% |
USML ETRACS 2x Leveraged MSCI US Minimum Volatility Factor TR ETN | -1.73% | 3.16% | 1.71% | 1.67% | 1.50% | 16.28% | 7.85% | — |
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 0.65% | 2.49% | 3.66% | 3.19% | 5.60% | 4.04% | 6.04% | 3.28% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jun 28, 2023, Rick's 10-10's average daily return is +0.09%, while the average monthly return is +1.70%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 3.4 years.
Historically, 65% of months were positive and 35% were negative. The best month was Feb 2024 with a return of +12.3%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -8.2%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 2 months.
On a daily basis, Rick's 10-10 closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +6.9%, while the worst single day was Jan 30, 2026 at -6.4%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.84% | 2.07% | -8.17% | 9.54% | 2.16% | -7.23% | 1.04% | ||||||
| 2025 | 4.44% | -3.34% | -0.45% | 1.44% | 4.13% | 2.31% | 2.15% | 0.06% | 7.56% | 0.28% | -1.40% | -1.00% | 16.89% |
| 2024 | -0.36% | 12.29% | 6.79% | -4.65% | 4.09% | -0.28% | 3.06% | -1.51% | 3.74% | 0.82% | 12.06% | -4.56% | 34.26% |
| 2023 | 0.74% | 0.60% | -3.74% | -3.46% | 5.14% | 6.78% | 6.85% | 12.98% |
Benchmark Metrics
Rick's 10-10 has an annualized alpha of 6.02%, beta of 0.84, and R2 of 0.44 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since June 28, 2023.
- This portfolio captured 101.01% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 86.13% of its losses - a favorable profile for investors.
- R2 of 0.44 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior - treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 6.02%
- Beta
- 0.84
- R²
- 0.44
- Upside Capture
- 101.01%
- Downside Capture
- 86.13%
Expense Ratio
Rick's 10-10 has an expense ratio of 0.90%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Rick's 10-10 ranks 8 for risk / return — in the bottom 8% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Rick's 10-10 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.59 | 2.01 | -1.42 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 0.86 | 2.71 | -1.85 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.12 | 1.36 | -0.25 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.71 | 2.69 | -1.98 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 1.97 | 12.34 | -10.38 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BITX 2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF | 2 | -0.86 | -1.54 | 0.83 | -0.92 | -1.49 |
CTA Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 20 | 0.55 | 0.84 | 1.11 | 1.01 | 2.58 |
DBMF iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 82 | 2.26 | 2.97 | 1.48 | 4.58 | 16.82 |
GOVZ iShares 25+ Year Treasury STRIPS Bond ETF | 10 | 0.05 | 0.19 | 1.02 | 0.06 | 0.13 |
KMLM KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF | 35 | 1.04 | 1.47 | 1.19 | 1.89 | 6.13 |
PSCC Invesco S&P SmallCap Consumer Staples ETF | 8 | -0.12 | -0.05 | 0.99 | -0.13 | -0.22 |
SHNY MicroSectors Gold 3X Leveraged ETN | 20 | 0.46 | 1.07 | 1.16 | 0.62 | 1.39 |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 61 | 2.10 | 2.41 | 1.33 | 2.83 | 9.20 |
USML ETRACS 2x Leveraged MSCI US Minimum Volatility Factor TR ETN | 12 | 0.18 | 0.36 | 1.04 | 0.22 | 0.67 |
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 32 | 1.01 | 1.46 | 1.18 | 1.69 | 4.49 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Rick's 10-10 provided a 6.51% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 6.51% | 4.72% | 3.44% | 2.37% | 3.39% | 2.03% | 0.28% | 1.32% | 0.21% | 0.13% | 0.15% | 0.14% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
BITX 2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF | 39.27% | 21.69% | 10.70% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CTA Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 4.99% | 3.19% | 4.80% | 7.78% | 6.58% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
DBMF iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 5.22% | 5.91% | 5.75% | 2.91% | 7.72% | 10.38% | 0.86% | 9.35% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
GOVZ iShares 25+ Year Treasury STRIPS Bond ETF | 5.18% | 5.00% | 4.68% | 3.84% | 3.69% | 1.76% | 0.39% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
KMLM KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF | 4.59% | 5.02% | 0.82% | 0.00% | 13.22% | 6.94% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
PSCC Invesco S&P SmallCap Consumer Staples ETF | 2.08% | 2.35% | 1.88% | 1.49% | 1.29% | 1.21% | 1.59% | 1.77% | 0.94% | 1.25% | 1.48% | 1.34% |
SHNY MicroSectors Gold 3X Leveraged ETN | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 0.43% | 0.65% | 1.27% | 1.26% | 0.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% |
USML ETRACS 2x Leveraged MSCI US Minimum Volatility Factor TR ETN | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 3.31% | 3.43% | 4.48% | 6.44% | 0.89% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.03% | 1.08% | 0.10% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Rick's 10-10. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Rick's 10-10 was 16.91%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. Recovery took 58 trading sessions.
The current Rick's 10-10 drawdown is 9.81%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 selloff2025 | -16.91%Apr 2025 | 3mo 21d | 2mo 25d | 6mo 16dDec 2024 - Jul 2025 |
2026 correction2026 | -15.85%Mar 2026 | 1mo 26d | — | 4mo 10dJan 2026 - now |
2025 correction2025 | -10.32%Nov 2025 | 1mo | 2mo 7d | 3mo 7dOct 2025 - Jan 2026 |
2024 correction2024 | -10.16%Aug 2024 | 21d | 1mo 18d | 2mo 9dJul 2024 - Sep 2024 |
2023 pullback2023 | -9.44%Oct 2023 | 2mo 17d | 1mo 3d | 3mo 20dJul 2023 - Nov 2023 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 10 assets, with an effective number of assets of 10.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.73 | 1.80 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.80, placing it in the top 5% across portfolios — assets in this portfolio move largely independently, providing strong diversification benefit.
Rick's 10-10 correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.66 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jun 28, 2023 | 0.64 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. TQQQ has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.94, while UUP has the lowest at -0.23.
Asset Correlations Table
| KMLM | CTA | SHNY | GOVZ | UUP | PSCC | BITX | DBMF | USML | TQQQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KMLM | 1.00 | 0.38 | 0.07 | -0.24 | 0.06 | -0.04 | 0.04 | 0.44 | 0.00 | -0.02 |
| CTA | 0.38 | 1.00 | 0.08 | -0.28 | 0.15 | -0.10 | 0.06 | 0.38 | -0.06 | -0.08 |
| SHNY | 0.07 | 0.08 | 1.00 | 0.14 | -0.43 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 0.27 | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| GOVZ | -0.24 | -0.28 | 0.14 | 1.00 | -0.30 | 0.17 | 0.04 | -0.21 | 0.24 | 0.13 |
| UUP | 0.06 | 0.15 | -0.43 | -0.30 | 1.00 | -0.20 | -0.15 | 0.06 | -0.18 | -0.19 |
| PSCC | -0.04 | -0.10 | 0.09 | 0.17 | -0.20 | 1.00 | 0.15 | 0.07 | 0.59 | 0.25 |
| BITX | 0.04 | 0.06 | 0.11 | 0.04 | -0.15 | 0.15 | 1.00 | 0.19 | 0.21 | 0.37 |
| DBMF | 0.44 | 0.38 | 0.27 | -0.21 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.19 | 1.00 | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| USML | 0.00 | -0.06 | 0.14 | 0.24 | -0.18 | 0.59 | 0.21 | 0.17 | 1.00 | 0.47 |
| TQQQ | -0.02 | -0.08 | 0.12 | 0.13 | -0.19 | 0.25 | 0.37 | 0.26 | 0.47 | 1.00 |
Find what Rick's 10-10 is missing
See which holdings overlap, where Rick's 10-10 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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