Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
IBTS.L iShares $ Treasury Bond 1-3yr UCITS ETF | Government Bonds, Short-Term Bond | 30% |
SGLN.L iShares Physical Gold ETC | Gold, Precious Metals, Commodities | 25% |
IDTL.L iShares Treasury Bond 20+ UCITS | Government Bonds, Long-Term Bond | 20% |
VWRA.L Vanguard FTSE All-World UCITS ETF USD Accumulating | Global Equities | 15% |
CMOD.L Invesco Bloomberg Commodity UCITS ETF | Commodities | 10% |
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Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in all weather?, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.30% | 0.09% | 8.18% | 8.17% | 23.42% | 19.88% | 11.91% | 13.45% |
Portfolio all weather? | -0.07% | -2.60% | 3.63% | 4.96% | 16.51% | 12.85% | 6.58% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
CMOD.L Invesco Bloomberg Commodity UCITS ETF | -0.15% | -3.74% | 22.33% | 22.42% | 33.62% | 14.20% | 10.42% | — |
IBTS.L iShares $ Treasury Bond 1-3yr UCITS ETF | 0.32% | -0.22% | 0.27% | 0.74% | 3.40% | 4.18% | 1.82% | 1.79% |
IDTL.L iShares Treasury Bond 20+ UCITS | -0.31% | -0.93% | -1.84% | -0.83% | 3.79% | -1.72% | -6.46% | -1.75% |
SGLN.L iShares Physical Gold ETC | 0.00% | -7.99% | 0.50% | 3.21% | 29.88% | 30.09% | 17.90% | 12.93% |
VWRA.L Vanguard FTSE All-World UCITS ETF USD Accumulating | -0.48% | 0.14% | 9.28% | 10.70% | 25.68% | 20.08% | 10.76% | — |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jul 23, 2019, all weather?'s average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.63%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 9.2 years.
Historically, 60% of months were positive and 40% were negative. The best month was Jan 2026 with a return of +5.1%, while the worst month was Sep 2022 at -4.5%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, all weather? closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Nov 16, 2023 with a return of +6.7%, while the worst single day was Nov 17, 2023 at -5.7%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5.05% | 2.71% | -4.12% | 1.90% | 0.23% | -1.93% | 3.63% | ||||||
| 2025 | 2.99% | 1.23% | 2.40% | 1.20% | -0.20% | 1.81% | 0.00% | 1.83% | 4.59% | 1.98% | 1.80% | 0.89% | 22.44% |
| 2024 | -0.48% | -0.21% | 3.25% | -0.69% | 1.82% | 1.03% | 1.54% | 2.11% | 2.47% | -0.50% | 0.24% | -1.82% | 8.98% |
| 2023 | 3.65% | -3.84% | 4.19% | 0.73% | -1.45% | 0.27% | 1.41% | -1.18% | -3.20% | 0.53% | 3.55% | 3.05% | 7.57% |
| 2022 | -1.46% | 1.30% | 0.80% | -3.15% | -1.18% | -2.94% | 1.27% | -2.48% | -4.48% | -1.45% | 4.93% | -0.05% | -8.86% |
| 2021 | -0.90% | -2.41% | -0.48% | 2.76% | 2.54% | -0.84% | 2.05% | 0.03% | -1.58% | 1.70% | -0.28% | 0.99% | 3.48% |
Benchmark Metrics
all weather? has an annualized alpha of 6.70%, beta of 0.11, and R2 of 0.06 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since July 23, 2019.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (31.82%) than losses (25.05%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- Beta of 0.11 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.06 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R2 of 0.06 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index - capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 6.70%
- Beta
- 0.11
- R²
- 0.06
- Upside Capture
- 31.82%
- Downside Capture
- 25.05%
Expense Ratio
all weather? has an expense ratio of 0.12%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
all weather? ranks 39 for risk / return — below 39% of Portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for all weather? and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.96 | 1.94 | +0.03 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.69 | 2.63 | +0.06 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.37 | 1.35 | +0.01 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.75 | 2.59 | +0.16 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 9.33 | 11.84 | -2.52 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CMOD.L Invesco Bloomberg Commodity UCITS ETF | 69 | 1.98 | 2.50 | 1.37 | 4.60 | 10.43 |
IBTS.L iShares $ Treasury Bond 1-3yr UCITS ETF | 40 | 0.82 | 1.24 | 1.14 | 3.17 | 9.07 |
IDTL.L iShares Treasury Bond 20+ UCITS | 15 | 0.38 | 0.61 | 1.07 | 0.49 | 1.23 |
SGLN.L iShares Physical Gold ETC | 36 | 1.22 | 1.64 | 1.23 | 1.61 | 4.24 |
VWRA.L Vanguard FTSE All-World UCITS ETF USD Accumulating | 70 | 2.05 | 3.04 | 1.37 | 2.91 | 12.14 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
all weather? provided a 2.07% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.07% | 2.13% | 2.17% | 1.68% | 0.83% | 0.53% | 0.90% | 1.21% | 1.01% | 0.82% | 0.73% | 0.58% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
CMOD.L Invesco Bloomberg Commodity UCITS ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IBTS.L iShares $ Treasury Bond 1-3yr UCITS ETF | 3.97% | 4.22% | 4.12% | 3.08% | 0.75% | 0.61% | 1.84% | 2.39% | 1.49% | 1.01% | 0.67% | 0.49% |
IDTL.L iShares Treasury Bond 20+ UCITS | 4.39% | 4.31% | 4.66% | 3.79% | 3.01% | 1.74% | 1.76% | 2.49% | 2.79% | 2.59% | 2.63% | 2.14% |
SGLN.L iShares Physical Gold ETC | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VWRA.L Vanguard FTSE All-World UCITS ETF USD Accumulating | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the all weather?. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the all weather? was 16.30%, occurring on Oct 24, 2022. Recovery took 391 trading sessions.
The current all weather? drawdown is 4.11%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bear market2022 | -16.30%Oct 2022 | 7mo 19d | 1y 6mo | 2y 2moMar 2022 - May 2024 |
COVID crash2020 | -10.63%Mar 2020 | 8d | 2mo 2d | 2mo 10dMar 2020 - May 2020 |
2026 pullback2026 | -5.99%Mar 2026 | 23d | — | 3mo 8dMar 2026 - now |
2021 pullback2021 | -4.97%Mar 2021 | 2mo 23d | 1mo 26d | 4mo 19dJan 2021 - May 2021 |
2026 pullback2026 | -4.19%Feb 2026 | 4d | 23d | 27dJan 2026 - Feb 2026 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.44, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.60 | 1.61 | 1.69 | 1.72 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.72, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
all weather? correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.36 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.29 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.30 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jul 23, 2019 | 0.28 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. VWRA.L has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.60, while IDTL.L has the lowest at -0.03.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what all weather? is missing
See which holdings overlap, where all weather? is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification