Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
VBTLX Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares | Total Bond Market | 25% |
VEUSX Vanguard European Stock Index Fund Admiral Shares | Europe Equities | 25% |
VSMAX Vanguard Small-Cap Index Fund Admiral Shares | Small Cap Blend Equities | 25% |
VFIAX Vanguard 500 Index Fund Admiral Shares | S&P 500, Large Cap Blend Equities | 25% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Bill Bernstein No Brainer, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 6, 2026, the Bill Bernstein No Brainer returned 8.54% Year-To-Date and 9.79% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -2.64% | -0.21% | 7.86% | 7.47% | 23.05% | 19.90% | 11.79% | 13.33% |
Portfolio Bill Bernstein No Brainer | 0.61% | 1.58% | 8.54% | 9.20% | 19.98% | 15.53% | 7.70% | 9.79% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
VBTLX Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares | 0.10% | -0.07% | 0.32% | 0.55% | 5.35% | 4.01% | 0.12% | 1.59% |
VEUSX Vanguard European Stock Index Fund Admiral Shares | 1.18% | 1.07% | 6.99% | 10.26% | 18.19% | 17.05% | 8.49% | 9.33% |
VFIAX Vanguard 500 Index Fund Admiral Shares | 0.42% | 2.62% | 11.34% | 11.02% | 27.87% | 22.67% | 13.97% | 15.53% |
VSMAX Vanguard Small-Cap Index Fund Admiral Shares | 0.71% | 2.48% | 14.97% | 14.31% | 28.55% | 17.69% | 7.26% | 11.26% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Nov 13, 2001, Bill Bernstein No Brainer's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.72%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 8.1 years.
Historically, 67% of months were positive and 33% were negative. The best month was Nov 2020 with a return of +11.2%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -15.8%. The longest winning streak lasted 15 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, Bill Bernstein No Brainer closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Oct 13, 2008 with a return of +7.4%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -8.4%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.75% | 1.72% | -5.11% | 6.37% | 2.80% | 0.09% | 8.54% | ||||||
| 2025 | 3.34% | 0.05% | -2.81% | 0.35% | 4.00% | 3.39% | 0.30% | 2.92% | 1.99% | 0.88% | 0.94% | 0.87% | 17.27% |
| 2024 | -0.62% | 2.99% | 3.08% | -3.88% | 4.27% | -0.02% | 3.31% | 1.87% | 1.45% | -2.38% | 4.04% | -3.60% | 10.51% |
| 2023 | 7.19% | -2.22% | 1.24% | 1.26% | -1.96% | 4.82% | 2.74% | -2.51% | -4.30% | -3.13% | 8.11% | 5.98% | 17.46% |
| 2022 | -4.77% | -1.99% | 0.43% | -6.64% | 0.70% | -7.29% | 6.80% | -4.18% | -8.17% | 6.18% | 6.95% | -3.48% | -15.85% |
| 2021 | -0.35% | 2.54% | 1.96% | 3.79% | 1.40% | 0.71% | 1.05% | 1.64% | -3.52% | 4.14% | -2.41% | 3.36% | 14.93% |
Benchmark Metrics
Bill Bernstein No Brainer has an annualized alpha of 2.01%, beta of 0.72, and R2 of 0.91 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since November 13, 2001.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (82.94%) than losses (81.52%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 2.01% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Alpha
- 2.01%
- Beta
- 0.72
- R²
- 0.91
- Upside Capture
- 82.94%
- Downside Capture
- 81.52%
Expense Ratio
Bill Bernstein No Brainer has an expense ratio of 0.06%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Bill Bernstein No Brainer ranks 33 for risk / return — below 33% of Portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Bill Bernstein No Brainer and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.97 | 2.01 | -0.03 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.83 | 2.71 | +0.12 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.36 | 1.36 | -0.01 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.71 | 2.69 | +0.02 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 11.32 | 12.34 | -1.03 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VBTLX Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares | 19 | 1.17 | 1.75 | 1.21 | 1.59 | 4.74 |
VEUSX Vanguard European Stock Index Fund Admiral Shares | 22 | 1.24 | 1.81 | 1.22 | 1.58 | 5.84 |
VFIAX Vanguard 500 Index Fund Admiral Shares | 72 | 2.41 | 3.29 | 1.44 | 3.22 | 15.04 |
VSMAX Vanguard Small-Cap Index Fund Admiral Shares | 53 | 1.84 | 2.62 | 1.32 | 3.34 | 12.32 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Bill Bernstein No Brainer provided a 2.24% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.24% | 2.29% | 2.45% | 2.31% | 2.26% | 1.86% | 1.79% | 2.32% | 2.55% | 2.10% | 2.39% | 2.41% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
VBTLX Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares | 3.99% | 3.87% | 3.69% | 3.10% | 2.59% | 1.96% | 2.39% | 2.74% | 2.57% | 2.56% | 2.53% | 2.82% |
VEUSX Vanguard European Stock Index Fund Admiral Shares | 2.77% | 2.84% | 3.58% | 3.13% | 3.22% | 3.02% | 2.08% | 3.26% | 3.92% | 2.70% | 3.52% | 3.24% |
VFIAX Vanguard 500 Index Fund Admiral Shares | 1.02% | 1.12% | 1.24% | 1.45% | 1.68% | 1.24% | 1.53% | 1.87% | 2.05% | 1.78% | 2.02% | 2.10% |
VSMAX Vanguard Small-Cap Index Fund Admiral Shares | 1.18% | 1.33% | 1.30% | 1.56% | 1.54% | 1.24% | 1.14% | 1.39% | 1.67% | 1.35% | 1.49% | 1.48% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Bill Bernstein No Brainer. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Bill Bernstein No Brainer was 46.73%, occurring on Mar 9, 2009. Recovery took 477 trading sessions.
The current Bill Bernstein No Brainer drawdown is 0.12%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Financial crisis2007–2009 | -46.73%Mar 2009 | 1y 4mo | 1y 10mo | 3y 2moNov 2007 - Jan 2011 |
COVID crash2020 | -28.22%Mar 2020 | 1mo 2d | 5mo 4d | 6mo 6dFeb 2020 - Aug 2020 |
Bear market2022 | -24.31%Sep 2022 | 10mo 22d | 1y 5mo | 2y 3moNov 2021 - Mar 2024 |
Dot-com crash2000–2002 | -23.47%Oct 2002 | 5mo 25d | 11mo 4d | 1y 4moApr 2002 - Sep 2003 |
2011 correction2011 | -18.42%Oct 2011 | 5mo 4d | 5mo 25d | 10mo 29dMay 2011 - Mar 2012 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.14 | 1.17 | 1.16 | 1.15 | 1.15 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.15, placing it in the bottom quartile across portfolios — positions are highly correlated. Consider adding assets from different classes or sectors to reduce risk.
Bill Bernstein No Brainer correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.90 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.89 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.91 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.92 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Nov 13, 2001 | 0.93 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. VFIAX has the highest benchmark correlation at 1.00, while VBTLX has the lowest at -0.19.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what Bill Bernstein No Brainer is missing
See which holdings overlap, where Bill Bernstein No Brainer is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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