Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
UNAVX USA Mutuals All Seasons Fund | Tactical Allocation | 400% |
USD=X USD Cash | -300% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in All Seasons Experiment (3/4/25), comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced when any position deviates by more than 0.0% from its target allocation.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | 0.31% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 24.33% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
Portfolio All Seasons Experiment (3/4/25) | 0.00% | 4.80% | -5.47% | -7.17% | 1.56% | 9.64% | 22.89% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
UNAVX USA Mutuals All Seasons Fund | 1.34% | 1.22% | -1.16% | -1.60% | 0.76% | 2.79% | 6.10% | — |
USD=X USD Cash | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Oct 25, 2017, All Seasons Experiment (3/4/25)'s average daily return is +0.06%, while the average monthly return is +1.80%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 3.2 years.
Historically, 60% of months were positive and 40% were negative. The best month was Oct 2021 with a return of +43.2%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -53.2%. The longest winning streak lasted 5 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, All Seasons Experiment (3/4/25) closed higher 28% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 13, 2020 with a return of +31.0%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -35.0%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.81% | -1.73% | -13.31% | -0.90% | 9.55% | 1.39% | -5.47% | ||||||
| 2025 | 4.67% | -2.08% | -12.84% | 10.91% | -1.35% | 3.99% | 1.17% | 5.99% | 8.88% | -3.41% | -6.79% | -0.85% | 5.92% |
| 2024 | -2.95% | 8.83% | 8.04% | -7.00% | 7.89% | 5.73% | -8.08% | 9.44% | -1.21% | 0.39% | 6.35% | -0.14% | 28.26% |
| 2023 | 6.20% | -1.55% | 17.03% | -0.10% | -13.11% | 6.79% | 4.91% | -5.11% | -10.88% | -4.15% | 7.53% | 8.35% | 12.37% |
| 2022 | -24.03% | 12.73% | 6.32% | 10.71% | 16.69% | -15.16% | 11.06% | -1.58% | -9.46% | -2.21% | 17.89% | 7.10% | 21.96% |
| 2021 | -7.76% | 3.47% | 10.91% | 3.33% | -15.94% | 1.67% | 8.70% | 4.44% | -19.70% | 43.19% | -8.56% | 29.96% | 44.99% |
Benchmark Metrics
All Seasons Experiment (3/4/25) has an annualized alpha of -6.30%, beta of 2.07, and R2 of 0.60 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since October 25, 2017.
- This portfolio captured 237.69% of S&P 500 Index gains and 187.19% of its losses - amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
- This portfolio had an annualized alpha of -6.30% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering less than market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 2.07 means this portfolio moves significantly more than S&P 500 Index - expect amplified gains in rallies and amplified losses in downturns.
- Alpha
- -6.30%
- Beta
- 2.07
- R²
- 0.60
- Upside Capture
- 237.69%
- Downside Capture
- 187.19%
Expense Ratio
All Seasons Experiment (3/4/25) has a high expense ratio of 7.96%, indicating above-average management fees. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
All Seasons Experiment (3/4/25) ranks 5 for risk / return — in the bottom 5% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for All Seasons Experiment (3/4/25) and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.08 | 1.86 | -1.78 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 0.25 | 2.53 | -2.29 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.04 | 1.34 | -0.30 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.05 | 2.53 | -2.48 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 0.11 | 11.37 | -11.26 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
All Seasons Experiment (3/4/25) provided a 10.21% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 10.21% | 10.09% | 11.53% | 6.47% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% | 22.79% | 3.41% | 2.43% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||
UNAVX USA Mutuals All Seasons Fund | 2.55% | 2.52% | 2.88% | 1.62% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.70% | 0.85% | 0.61% |
USD=X USD Cash | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the All Seasons Experiment (3/4/25). A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the All Seasons Experiment (3/4/25) was 81.77%, occurring on Mar 23, 2020. Recovery took 1689 trading sessions.
The current All Seasons Experiment (3/4/25) drawdown is 17.15%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
COVID crash2020 | -81.77%Mar 2020 | 1mo 2d | 4y 7mo | 4y 8moFeb 2020 - Nov 2024 |
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018 | -58.78%Dec 2018 | 10mo 29d | 10mo 26d | 1y 9moJan 2018 - Nov 2019 |
2026 bear market2026 | -29.34%Apr 2026 | 5mo 26d | — | 8mo 5dOct 2025 - now |
2025 selloff2025 | -20.05%Apr 2025 | 2mo | 3mo 23d | 5mo 23dFeb 2025 - Aug 2025 |
2020 correction2020 | -11.65%Jan 2020 | 10d | 5d | 15dJan 2020 - Feb 2020 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 2 assets, with an effective number of assets of 0.04, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your portfolio is dominated by one or two holdings, which significantly increases concentration risk. Consider rebalancing toward more even weights or adding additional positions.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.00, placing it in the bottom quartile across portfolios — positions are highly correlated. Consider adding assets from different classes or sectors to reduce risk.
All Seasons Experiment (3/4/25) correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.64 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.64 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.64 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Oct 25, 2017 | 0.74 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. UNAVX has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.74, while USD=X has the lowest at 0.00.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what All Seasons Experiment (3/4/25) is missing
See which holdings overlap, where All Seasons Experiment (3/4/25) is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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