Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | S&P 500 | 40% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds | 20% |
BSV Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares | Short-Term Bond | 10% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds, Long-Term Bond | 10% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | Gold, Precious Metals | 10% |
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | Commodities | 10% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in #1 Portfolio US, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 9, 2026, the #1 Portfolio US returned 6.86% Year-To-Date and 8.91% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.30% | 0.09% | 8.18% | 8.17% | 23.42% | 19.88% | 11.91% | 13.45% |
Portfolio #1 Portfolio US | 0.14% | -1.35% | 6.86% | 7.29% | 19.05% | 13.98% | 7.94% | 8.91% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
BSV Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares | -0.01% | -0.38% | 0.10% | 0.53% | 3.66% | 4.42% | 1.57% | 1.91% |
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | 0.82% | -2.74% | 31.80% | 32.21% | 40.70% | 14.11% | 12.01% | 8.54% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.26% | -8.41% | 0.24% | 3.07% | 30.18% | 29.71% | 17.55% | 12.56% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.11% | -1.19% | -1.16% | -0.96% | 3.91% | 2.43% | -1.34% | 0.53% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.52% | -1.31% | -1.08% | -1.51% | 3.67% | -2.05% | -6.70% | -1.85% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 0.25% | 0.24% | 8.72% | 8.77% | 24.91% | 21.45% | 13.49% | 15.35% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Sep 9, 2010, #1 Portfolio US's average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.68%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 8.5 years.
Historically, 65% of months were positive and 35% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +5.8%, while the worst month was Sep 2022 at -6.7%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, #1 Portfolio US closed higher 57% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +4.2%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -4.2%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.69% | 1.93% | -2.43% | 4.75% | 1.65% | -1.73% | 6.86% | ||||||
| 2025 | 2.25% | 0.90% | -0.99% | -0.47% | 2.04% | 3.24% | 0.90% | 1.66% | 3.28% | 1.79% | 0.99% | -0.10% | 16.53% |
| 2024 | 0.45% | 1.30% | 2.91% | -2.47% | 2.84% | 1.87% | 1.81% | 1.56% | 2.04% | -1.14% | 2.28% | -1.99% | 11.89% |
| 2023 | 4.78% | -3.25% | 3.70% | 0.88% | -1.20% | 2.44% | 2.07% | -1.25% | -3.62% | -1.25% | 5.71% | 3.48% | 12.63% |
| 2022 | -2.39% | -0.10% | 1.14% | -5.04% | 0.26% | -4.54% | 4.16% | -3.50% | -6.68% | 2.64% | 4.77% | -2.93% | -12.24% |
| 2021 | -0.98% | 0.49% | 0.72% | 3.74% | 1.55% | 1.11% | 2.17% | 0.89% | -2.35% | 3.63% | -0.79% | 2.51% | 13.24% |
Benchmark Metrics
#1 Portfolio US has an annualized alpha of 3.12%, beta of 0.38, and R2 of 0.71 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since September 09, 2010.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (47.44%) than losses (45.46%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 3.12% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.38 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index - a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 3.12%
- Beta
- 0.38
- R²
- 0.71
- Upside Capture
- 47.44%
- Downside Capture
- 45.46%
Expense Ratio
#1 Portfolio US has an expense ratio of 0.19%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
#1 Portfolio US ranks 86 for risk / return — in the top 86% of Portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for #1 Portfolio US and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.72 | 1.94 | +0.79 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.66 | 2.63 | +1.03 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.54 | 1.35 | +0.19 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 4.48 | 2.59 | +1.89 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 19.20 | 11.84 | +7.36 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BSV Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares | 70 | 2.06 | 3.30 | 1.39 | 2.85 | 9.83 |
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | 75 | 2.17 | 2.81 | 1.38 | 5.27 | 12.03 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 33 | 1.13 | 1.51 | 1.23 | 1.51 | 3.78 |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 24 | 0.84 | 1.26 | 1.14 | 0.96 | 2.79 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 15 | 0.38 | 0.62 | 1.07 | 0.49 | 1.19 |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 69 | 2.08 | 2.80 | 1.38 | 2.81 | 12.97 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
#1 Portfolio US provided a 2.32% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.32% | 2.36% | 2.51% | 2.24% | 1.54% | 0.96% | 1.16% | 1.78% | 1.87% | 1.48% | 1.58% | 1.62% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
BSV Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares | 4.00% | 3.83% | 3.38% | 2.46% | 1.50% | 1.45% | 1.79% | 2.29% | 1.99% | 1.65% | 1.48% | 1.40% |
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | 2.53% | 3.33% | 5.22% | 4.94% | 0.59% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.59% | 1.30% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 3.92% | 3.77% | 3.62% | 2.91% | 1.96% | 0.83% | 1.08% | 2.08% | 2.24% | 1.82% | 1.81% | 1.90% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.63% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 1.05% | 1.13% | 1.24% | 1.46% | 1.69% | 1.25% | 1.54% | 1.88% | 2.06% | 1.78% | 2.02% | 2.10% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the #1 Portfolio US. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the #1 Portfolio US was 16.43%, occurring on Oct 20, 2022. Recovery took 336 trading sessions.
The current #1 Portfolio US drawdown is 1.99%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bear market2022 | -16.43%Oct 2022 | 9mo 26d | 1y 4mo | 2y 1moDec 2021 - Feb 2024 |
COVID crash2020 | -14.73%Mar 2020 | 27d | 2mo 19d | 3mo 16dFeb 2020 - Jun 2020 |
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018 | -8.09%Dec 2018 | 2mo 22d | 1mo 23d | 4mo 15dOct 2018 - Feb 2019 |
2016 pullback2016 | -8.06%Jan 2016 | 9mo 8d | 3mo | 1y 3dApr 2015 - Apr 2016 |
2025 selloff2025 | -8.02%Apr 2025 | 1mo 17d | 1mo 25d | 3mo 12dFeb 2025 - Jun 2025 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 6 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.17, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your allocation shows noticeable concentration: a few holdings carry significantly more weight than the rest. Rebalancing toward more even weights — or adding less correlated assets — could reduce risk.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.66 | 1.57 | 1.56 | 1.59 | 1.66 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.66, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
#1 Portfolio US correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.78 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.80 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.81 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.81 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Sep 9, 2010 | 0.80 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. VOO has the highest benchmark correlation at 1.00, while TLT has the lowest at -0.23.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what #1 Portfolio US is missing
See which holdings overlap, where #1 Portfolio US is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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