Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 10% | |
FTEC Fidelity MSCI Information Technology Index ETF | Technology Equities | 20% |
FXAIX Fidelity 500 Index Fund | S&P 500 | 50% |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | Semiconductors, Technology Equities | 20% |
SOXQ Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF | Semiconductors, Technology Equities | 0% |
VGT Vanguard Information Technology ETF | Technology Equities | 0% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | S&P 500 | 0% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 2026 plan [draft], comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jun 11, 2021, corresponding to the inception date of SOXQ
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio 2026 plan [draft] | -0.00% | -2.24% | -3.58% | -3.97% | 27.67% | 27.44% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
FXAIX Fidelity 500 Index Fund | 0.72% | -3.44% | -3.65% | -1.50% | 17.37% | 18.58% | 11.95% | 14.16% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | -1.99% | -2.31% | -23.70% | -44.66% | -19.07% | 33.89% | 3.18% | 66.03% |
FTEC Fidelity MSCI Information Technology Index ETF | 0.86% | -1.39% | -5.31% | -5.60% | 30.19% | 23.87% | 15.25% | 21.45% |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.09% | 0.32% | 8.94% | 16.35% | 83.82% | 44.85% | 26.17% | 31.69% |
SOXQ Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF | 0.37% | 0.89% | 10.67% | 18.44% | 82.34% | 35.71% | — | — |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 0.11% | -3.33% | -3.55% | -1.41% | 17.60% | 18.47% | 11.96% | 14.19% |
VGT Vanguard Information Technology ETF | 0.85% | -1.42% | -5.36% | -5.79% | 29.79% | 23.50% | 15.02% | 21.67% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jun 12, 2021, 2026 plan [draft]'s average daily return is +0.05%, while the average monthly return is +1.44%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 4.0 years.
Historically, 64% of months were positive and 36% were negative. The best month was Jan 2023 with a return of +12.4%, while the worst month was Jun 2022 at -12.5%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, 2026 plan [draft] closed higher 53% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +11.7%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -5.6%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.97% | -2.09% | -4.44% | 1.05% | -3.58% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.34% | -4.03% | -6.71% | 1.31% | 9.06% | 7.98% | 3.49% | 0.60% | 6.29% | 4.32% | -3.17% | 0.39% | 22.67% |
| 2024 | 2.59% | 10.81% | 5.12% | -5.66% | 7.62% | 4.56% | -0.42% | 0.20% | 2.46% | 0.12% | 8.38% | -1.58% | 38.53% |
| 2023 | 12.43% | -0.86% | 8.62% | -0.21% | 4.36% | 6.74% | 2.88% | -2.83% | -4.85% | 0.73% | 11.11% | 6.54% | 52.64% |
| 2022 | -7.98% | -1.82% | 3.20% | -11.40% | -0.43% | -12.46% | 12.24% | -6.55% | -10.06% | 6.52% | 6.19% | -6.94% | -28.49% |
| 2021 | 1.75% | 3.73% | 4.28% | -5.35% | 10.67% | 1.54% | 0.67% | 17.84% |
Benchmark Metrics
2026 plan [draft] has an annualized alpha of 3.63%, beta of 1.23, and R² of 0.89 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since June 12, 2021.
- This portfolio captured 133.72% of S&P 500 Index gains and 108.81% of its losses — amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 3.63% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Alpha
- 3.63%
- Beta
- 1.23
- R²
- 0.89
- Upside Capture
- 133.72%
- Downside Capture
- 108.81%
Expense Ratio
2026 plan [draft] has an expense ratio of 0.10%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
2026 plan [draft] ranks 29 for risk / return — below 29% of portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.18 | 0.88 | +0.30 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.78 | 1.37 | +0.41 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.24 | 1.21 | +0.03 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.51 | 1.39 | -0.87 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 1.58 | 6.43 | -4.85 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FXAIX Fidelity 500 Index Fund | 50 | 1.00 | 1.52 | 1.23 | 1.53 | 7.30 |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 39 | -0.43 | -0.36 | 0.96 | -1.14 | -2.03 |
FTEC Fidelity MSCI Information Technology Index ETF | 59 | 1.10 | 1.69 | 1.24 | 1.92 | 5.88 |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 94 | 2.28 | 2.89 | 1.41 | 5.34 | 18.94 |
SOXQ Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF | 92 | 2.06 | 2.67 | 1.38 | 4.80 | 17.46 |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 54 | 0.98 | 1.49 | 1.23 | 1.53 | 7.13 |
VGT Vanguard Information Technology ETF | 58 | 1.10 | 1.67 | 1.23 | 1.88 | 5.72 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
2026 plan [draft] provided a 0.72% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.72% | 0.70% | 0.81% | 1.00% | 1.27% | 0.84% | 1.10% | 1.54% | 1.98% | 1.46% | 1.67% | 2.10% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
FXAIX Fidelity 500 Index Fund | 1.16% | 1.11% | 1.25% | 1.45% | 1.69% | 1.22% | 1.60% | 2.06% | 2.72% | 1.97% | 2.52% | 2.83% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
FTEC Fidelity MSCI Information Technology Index ETF | 0.45% | 0.43% | 0.49% | 0.77% | 0.93% | 0.63% | 0.83% | 1.03% | 1.20% | 0.96% | 1.25% | 1.27% |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.28% | 0.31% | 0.44% | 0.60% | 1.18% | 0.51% | 0.69% | 1.50% | 1.88% | 1.43% | 0.80% | 2.14% |
SOXQ Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF | 0.46% | 0.50% | 0.68% | 0.87% | 1.36% | 0.72% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 1.18% | 1.13% | 1.24% | 1.46% | 1.69% | 1.25% | 1.54% | 1.88% | 2.06% | 1.78% | 2.02% | 2.10% |
VGT Vanguard Information Technology ETF | 0.43% | 0.40% | 0.60% | 0.65% | 0.91% | 0.64% | 0.82% | 1.11% | 1.29% | 0.99% | 1.31% | 1.28% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 2026 plan [draft]. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 2026 plan [draft] was 35.21%, occurring on Oct 15, 2022. Recovery took 412 trading sessions.
The current 2026 plan [draft] drawdown is 8.10%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -35.21% | Nov 9, 2021 | 341 | Oct 15, 2022 | 412 | Dec 1, 2023 | 753 |
| -23.95% | Jan 24, 2025 | 75 | Apr 8, 2025 | 77 | Jun 24, 2025 | 152 |
| -13.31% | Jul 17, 2024 | 20 | Aug 5, 2024 | 70 | Oct 14, 2024 | 90 |
| -12.3% | Jan 29, 2026 | 61 | Mar 30, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -9.1% | Oct 30, 2025 | 22 | Nov 20, 2025 | 54 | Jan 13, 2026 | 76 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 7 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.94, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | BTC-USD | SOXQ | SMH | VOO | FXAIX | FTEC | VGT | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.37 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.92 | 0.92 | 0.92 |
| BTC-USD | 0.37 | 1.00 | 0.31 | 0.30 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.60 |
| SOXQ | 0.80 | 0.31 | 1.00 | 0.96 | 0.74 | 0.75 | 0.85 | 0.85 | 0.84 |
| SMH | 0.80 | 0.30 | 0.96 | 1.00 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.87 | 0.87 | 0.85 |
| VOO | 1.00 | 0.31 | 0.74 | 0.75 | 1.00 | 0.99 | 0.87 | 0.88 | 0.85 |
| FXAIX | 1.00 | 0.31 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.99 | 1.00 | 0.87 | 0.87 | 0.85 |
| FTEC | 0.92 | 0.31 | 0.85 | 0.87 | 0.87 | 0.87 | 1.00 | 0.99 | 0.88 |
| VGT | 0.92 | 0.31 | 0.85 | 0.87 | 0.88 | 0.87 | 0.99 | 1.00 | 0.88 |
| Portfolio | 0.92 | 0.60 | 0.84 | 0.85 | 0.85 | 0.85 | 0.88 | 0.88 | 1.00 |