Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
GBTC Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) | Financial Services | 70% |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | Semiconductors, Technology Equities | 30% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Non-leveraged 10 year max return, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every year.
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The earliest data available for this chart is May 4, 2015, corresponding to the inception date of GBTC
Returns By Period
As of Apr 11, 2026, the Non-leveraged 10 year max return returned -5.24% Year-To-Date and 68.28% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -0.11% | 0.61% | -0.42% | 4.03% | 29.40% | 18.38% | 10.55% | 12.70% |
Portfolio Non-leveraged 10 year max return | 1.61% | 5.59% | -5.24% | -18.18% | 23.88% | 54.05% | 16.16% | 68.28% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 1.53% | 8.94% | 21.31% | 34.70% | 123.35% | 51.47% | 28.60% | 33.21% |
GBTC Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) | 1.66% | 3.61% | -16.56% | -37.61% | -9.20% | 47.65% | 2.81% | 59.07% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since May 5, 2015, Non-leveraged 10 year max return's average daily return is +0.28%, while the average monthly return is +6.56%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 0.9 years.
Historically, 56% of months were positive and 44% were negative. The best month was May 2017 with a return of +180.0%, while the worst month was Jun 2022 at -32.2%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, Non-leveraged 10 year max return closed higher 51% of trading days. The best single day was May 24, 2017 with a return of +34.2%, while the worst single day was Dec 21, 2017 at -25.0%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.53% | -14.29% | -0.27% | 10.27% | -5.24% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 6.23% | -13.56% | -4.35% | 9.78% | 11.70% | 6.57% | 6.80% | -5.09% | 7.72% | 0.79% | -12.30% | -1.21% | 9.44% |
| 2024 | 8.70% | 36.41% | 12.17% | -14.08% | 13.89% | -6.38% | -3.10% | -7.70% | 5.81% | 6.72% | 28.27% | -3.06% | 91.37% |
| 2023 | 37.90% | -3.54% | 33.55% | -1.00% | -8.92% | 29.71% | 0.91% | -2.32% | 0.43% | 30.63% | 13.39% | 13.73% | 246.48% |
| 2022 | -19.54% | 7.04% | 2.89% | -13.98% | -13.60% | -32.23% | 19.86% | -12.74% | -11.16% | 3.86% | -5.01% | -8.22% | -62.45% |
| 2021 | 6.98% | 19.12% | 11.92% | -4.90% | -25.93% | 0.94% | 10.65% | 6.82% | -8.79% | 33.63% | -2.15% | -17.76% | 17.57% |
Benchmark Metrics
Non-leveraged 10 year max return has an annualized alpha of 74.54%, beta of 1.22, and R² of 0.11 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since May 05, 2015.
- This portfolio captured 338.37% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 95.96% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- R² of 0.11 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index — capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 74.54%
- Beta
- 1.22
- R²
- 0.11
- Upside Capture
- 338.37%
- Downside Capture
- 95.96%
Expense Ratio
Non-leveraged 10 year max return has an expense ratio of 0.11%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Non-leveraged 10 year max return ranks 6 for risk / return — in the bottom 6% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.70 | 2.23 | -1.54 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.16 | 3.12 | -1.95 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.14 | 1.42 | -0.28 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.91 | 4.05 | -3.14 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 1.98 | 17.91 | -15.93 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 94 | 4.15 | 4.49 | 1.61 | 9.61 | 35.05 |
GBTC Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) | 25 | -0.21 | -0.00 | 1.00 | -0.12 | -0.24 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Non-leveraged 10 year max return provided a 0.08% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.08% | 0.09% | 0.13% | 0.18% | 0.35% | 0.15% | 0.21% | 0.45% | 0.56% | 4.36% | 0.24% | 0.64% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.25% | 0.31% | 0.44% | 0.60% | 1.18% | 0.51% | 0.69% | 1.50% | 1.88% | 1.43% | 0.80% | 2.14% |
GBTC Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.61% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Non-leveraged 10 year max return. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Non-leveraged 10 year max return was 77.73%, occurring on Dec 31, 2018. Recovery took 480 trading sessions.
The current Non-leveraged 10 year max return drawdown is 23.53%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -77.73% | Dec 19, 2017 | 259 | Dec 31, 2018 | 480 | Nov 24, 2020 | 739 |
| -73.6% | Feb 22, 2021 | 468 | Dec 28, 2022 | 247 | Dec 21, 2023 | 715 |
| -47.33% | May 6, 2015 | 79 | Aug 26, 2015 | 72 | Dec 8, 2015 | 151 |
| -45.45% | Sep 1, 2017 | 9 | Sep 14, 2017 | 36 | Nov 3, 2017 | 45 |
| -33.38% | Oct 7, 2025 | 84 | Feb 5, 2026 | — | — | — |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 2 assets, with an effective number of assets of 1.72, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | SMH | GBTC | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.77 | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| SMH | 0.77 | 1.00 | 0.24 | 0.38 |
| GBTC | 0.25 | 0.24 | 1.00 | 0.98 |
| Portfolio | 0.36 | 0.38 | 0.98 | 1.00 |