Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
DBXD.DE Xtrackers DAX UCITS ETF 1C | Europe Equities | 40% |
IGLN.L iShares Physical Gold ETC | Gold, Precious Metals | 20% |
IWDA.AS iShares Core MSCI World UCITS ETF USD (Acc) | Global Equities | 20% |
WLDS.L iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF | Small Cap Blend Equities | 20% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 40/20/20/20, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Mar 29, 2018, corresponding to the inception date of WLDS.L
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.44% | -1.90% | -3.41% | -1.91% | 30.31% | 17.22% | 10.14% | 12.44% |
Portfolio 40/20/20/20 | -1.15% | -3.84% | -1.32% | 1.53% | 31.78% | 19.34% | 11.04% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
DBXD.DE Xtrackers DAX UCITS ETF 1C | -1.19% | -2.64% | -7.37% | -6.61% | 17.46% | 15.73% | 7.93% | 8.57% |
IWDA.AS iShares Core MSCI World UCITS ETF USD (Acc) | -0.42% | -2.13% | -2.78% | -0.47% | 30.37% | 17.24% | 10.40% | 12.05% |
WLDS.L iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF | -0.63% | -1.74% | 2.65% | 4.00% | 40.09% | 13.96% | 5.69% | — |
IGLN.L iShares Physical Gold ETC | -2.30% | -9.09% | 8.36% | 18.10% | 54.15% | 32.75% | 21.84% | 14.18% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Apr 3, 2018, 40/20/20/20's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.93%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 6.2 years.
Historically, 59% of months were positive and 41% were negative. The best month was Nov 2020 with a return of +11.3%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -11.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, 40/20/20/20 closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 24, 2020 with a return of +8.8%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -9.8%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.81% | 3.14% | -10.42% | 1.89% | -1.32% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 6.52% | 0.64% | 1.56% | 3.82% | 5.05% | 3.42% | -0.44% | 2.95% | 3.27% | 0.95% | 1.55% | 2.69% | 36.83% |
| 2024 | -0.88% | 2.89% | 4.98% | -2.54% | 3.33% | -0.55% | 3.52% | 2.55% | 3.16% | -1.22% | 1.51% | -2.35% | 14.98% |
| 2023 | 8.33% | -2.28% | 3.42% | 1.90% | -2.88% | 4.03% | 3.20% | -3.14% | -5.07% | -2.05% | 8.99% | 5.33% | 20.28% |
| 2022 | -4.57% | -1.56% | 0.66% | -5.92% | -0.06% | -9.26% | 3.83% | -4.34% | -7.23% | 6.04% | 9.62% | -0.74% | -14.22% |
| 2021 | -1.24% | 0.80% | 3.15% | 3.77% | 3.24% | -1.98% | 0.96% | 1.27% | -3.95% | 2.90% | -3.31% | 3.82% | 9.40% |
Benchmark Metrics
40/20/20/20 has an annualized alpha of 4.85%, beta of 0.47, and R² of 0.33 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since April 03, 2018.
- This portfolio participated in 81.21% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 76.28% of its upside — more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- Beta of 0.47 may look defensive, but with R² of 0.33 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index — low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R² of 0.33 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior — treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 4.85%
- Beta
- 0.47
- R²
- 0.33
- Upside Capture
- 76.28%
- Downside Capture
- 81.21%
Expense Ratio
40/20/20/20 has an expense ratio of 0.20%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
40/20/20/20 ranks 55 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.42 | 1.84 | -0.42 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.99 | 2.97 | -0.98 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.27 | 1.40 | -0.13 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.79 | 1.82 | +0.96 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 11.84 | 7.76 | +4.08 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DBXD.DE Xtrackers DAX UCITS ETF 1C | 21 | 0.48 | 0.79 | 1.10 | 0.75 | 2.66 |
IWDA.AS iShares Core MSCI World UCITS ETF USD (Acc) | 71 | 1.17 | 1.69 | 1.25 | 4.17 | 18.22 |
WLDS.L iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF | 68 | 1.57 | 2.16 | 1.29 | 3.55 | 13.28 |
IGLN.L iShares Physical Gold ETC | 81 | 1.86 | 2.33 | 1.34 | 2.88 | 10.83 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 40/20/20/20. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 40/20/20/20 was 30.99%, occurring on Mar 19, 2020. Recovery took 82 trading sessions.
The current 40/20/20/20 drawdown is 8.72%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -30.99% | Feb 20, 2020 | 21 | Mar 19, 2020 | 82 | Jul 15, 2020 | 103 |
| -28.65% | Nov 9, 2021 | 229 | Sep 27, 2022 | 319 | Dec 22, 2023 | 548 |
| -16.46% | Apr 19, 2018 | 179 | Dec 27, 2018 | 211 | Oct 23, 2019 | 390 |
| -11.79% | Mar 2, 2026 | 20 | Mar 27, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -11.73% | Mar 19, 2025 | 14 | Apr 7, 2025 | 11 | Apr 24, 2025 | 25 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.57, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | IGLN.L | WLDS.L | DBXD.DE | IWDA.AS | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.03 | 0.57 | 0.53 | 0.64 | 0.57 |
| IGLN.L | 0.03 | 1.00 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.12 | 0.35 |
| WLDS.L | 0.57 | 0.15 | 1.00 | 0.76 | 0.85 | 0.87 |
| DBXD.DE | 0.53 | 0.16 | 0.76 | 1.00 | 0.83 | 0.94 |
| IWDA.AS | 0.64 | 0.12 | 0.85 | 0.83 | 1.00 | 0.89 |
| Portfolio | 0.57 | 0.35 | 0.87 | 0.94 | 0.89 | 1.00 |