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4th OCT
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 4th OCT, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Jan 11, 2024, corresponding to the inception date of IBIT

Returns By Period


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.08%-1.83%-3.34%-1.46%30.71%17.25%10.06%12.45%
Portfolio
4th OCT
0.54%-1.07%-0.51%-1.00%36.02%
BUG
Global X Cybersecurity ETF
0.85%-2.62%-14.45%-25.26%-14.58%4.49%0.47%
IBIT
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF
-1.06%1.30%-21.25%-43.44%-11.68%
VUAA.L
Vanguard S&P 500 UCITS ETF USD Accumulation
-0.22%-2.79%-4.59%-1.86%32.65%18.40%11.20%
VFEA.DE
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets UCITS ETF Acc
0.67%-0.77%0.34%0.47%37.43%13.89%3.64%
VGEK.DE
Vanguard FTSE Developed Asia Pacific ex Japan UCITS ETF (USD) Accumulating
1.74%0.14%14.60%23.13%76.52%18.18%7.02%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jan 12, 2024, 4th OCT's average daily return is +0.07%, while the average monthly return is +1.41%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 4.1 years.

Historically, 71% of months were positive and 29% were negative. The best month was Jun 2025 with a return of +5.7%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -8.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 2 months.

On a daily basis, 4th OCT closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 10, 2025 with a return of +4.5%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -5.0%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20264.32%1.45%-8.41%2.64%-0.51%
20253.08%-2.67%-1.57%1.87%5.63%5.74%1.54%1.31%4.54%2.40%-2.61%1.47%22.28%
2024-0.11%5.69%3.34%-2.47%2.59%2.79%1.48%0.33%5.13%-1.90%4.26%-2.28%20.04%

Benchmark Metrics

4th OCT has an annualized alpha of 10.67%, beta of 0.47, and R² of 0.27 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since January 12, 2024.

  • This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (95.12%) than losses (73.20%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
  • Beta of 0.47 may look defensive, but with R² of 0.27 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index — low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
  • R² of 0.27 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index — capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.

Alpha
10.67%
Beta
0.47
0.27
Upside Capture
95.12%
Downside Capture
73.20%

Expense Ratio

4th OCT has an expense ratio of 0.19%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

4th OCT ranks 70 for risk / return — better than 70% of portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.


4th OCT Risk / Return Rank: 7070
Overall Rank
4th OCT Sharpe Ratio Rank: 7373
Sharpe Ratio Rank
4th OCT Sortino Ratio Rank: 7070
Sortino Ratio Rank
4th OCT Omega Ratio Rank: 6464
Omega Ratio Rank
4th OCT Calmar Ratio Rank: 7676
Calmar Ratio Rank
4th OCT Martin Ratio Rank: 6868
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

2.48

1.87

+0.61

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

3.53

3.01

+0.52

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.45

1.41

+0.04

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

2.63

2.49

+0.15

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

9.39

11.08

-1.69


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
BUG
Global X Cybersecurity ETF
3-0.53-0.590.93-0.48-1.09
IBIT
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF
6-0.26-0.080.99-0.33-0.67
VUAA.L
Vanguard S&P 500 UCITS ETF USD Accumulation
852.293.551.463.4114.57
VFEA.DE
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets UCITS ETF Acc
762.303.201.422.9610.86
VGEK.DE
Vanguard FTSE Developed Asia Pacific ex Japan UCITS ETF (USD) Accumulating
943.834.791.674.8719.94

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

4th OCT Sharpe ratios as of Apr 7, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 2.48
  • All Time: 1.26

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.62 to 2.54, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio falls between the 25th and 75th percentiles. This indicates that its risk-adjusted performance is in line with the majority of portfolios, suggesting a balanced approach to risk and return—likely suitable for a wide range of investors.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of 4th OCT compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

4th OCT provided a 0.00% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM2025202420232022202120202019
Portfolio0.00%0.00%0.01%0.01%0.10%0.04%0.03%0.02%
BUG
Global X Cybersecurity ETF
0.05%0.04%0.09%0.10%1.56%0.66%0.46%0.24%
IBIT
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
VUAA.L
Vanguard S&P 500 UCITS ETF USD Accumulation
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
VFEA.DE
Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets UCITS ETF Acc
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
VGEK.DE
Vanguard FTSE Developed Asia Pacific ex Japan UCITS ETF (USD) Accumulating
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 4th OCT. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the 4th OCT was 15.33%, occurring on Apr 9, 2025. Recovery took 22 trading sessions.

The current 4th OCT drawdown is 7.22%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-15.33%Feb 21, 202534Apr 9, 202522May 12, 202556
-9.81%Feb 26, 202622Mar 27, 2026
-8.69%Jul 17, 202414Aug 5, 202433Sep 19, 202447
-6.83%Oct 28, 202519Nov 21, 202530Jan 6, 202649
-6%Dec 10, 202423Jan 13, 202523Feb 13, 202546

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.57, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkIBITBUGVUAA.LVFEA.DEVGEK.DEPortfolio
Benchmark1.000.400.630.580.430.450.61
IBIT0.401.000.310.260.250.260.53
BUG0.630.311.000.390.290.310.48
VUAA.L0.580.260.391.000.570.620.77
VFEA.DE0.430.250.290.571.000.780.87
VGEK.DE0.450.260.310.620.781.000.85
Portfolio0.610.530.480.770.870.851.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Jan 12, 2024