Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
BUG Global X Cybersecurity ETF | Technology Equities, Cybersecurity | 6.67% |
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | Cryptocurrency | 6.67% |
VFEA.DE Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets UCITS ETF Acc | Emerging Markets Equities | 40% |
VGEK.DE Vanguard FTSE Developed Asia Pacific ex Japan UCITS ETF (USD) Accumulating | Asia Pacific Equities | 19.99% |
VUAA.L Vanguard S&P 500 UCITS ETF USD Accumulation | S&P 500 | 26.67% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 4th OCT, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jan 11, 2024, corresponding to the inception date of IBIT
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.08% | -1.83% | -3.34% | -1.46% | 30.71% | 17.25% | 10.06% | 12.45% |
Portfolio 4th OCT | 0.54% | -1.07% | -0.51% | -1.00% | 36.02% | — | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
BUG Global X Cybersecurity ETF | 0.85% | -2.62% | -14.45% | -25.26% | -14.58% | 4.49% | 0.47% | — |
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | -1.06% | 1.30% | -21.25% | -43.44% | -11.68% | — | — | — |
VUAA.L Vanguard S&P 500 UCITS ETF USD Accumulation | -0.22% | -2.79% | -4.59% | -1.86% | 32.65% | 18.40% | 11.20% | — |
VFEA.DE Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets UCITS ETF Acc | 0.67% | -0.77% | 0.34% | 0.47% | 37.43% | 13.89% | 3.64% | — |
VGEK.DE Vanguard FTSE Developed Asia Pacific ex Japan UCITS ETF (USD) Accumulating | 1.74% | 0.14% | 14.60% | 23.13% | 76.52% | 18.18% | 7.02% | — |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jan 12, 2024, 4th OCT's average daily return is +0.07%, while the average monthly return is +1.41%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 4.1 years.
Historically, 71% of months were positive and 29% were negative. The best month was Jun 2025 with a return of +5.7%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -8.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 2 months.
On a daily basis, 4th OCT closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 10, 2025 with a return of +4.5%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -5.0%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.32% | 1.45% | -8.41% | 2.64% | -0.51% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 3.08% | -2.67% | -1.57% | 1.87% | 5.63% | 5.74% | 1.54% | 1.31% | 4.54% | 2.40% | -2.61% | 1.47% | 22.28% |
| 2024 | -0.11% | 5.69% | 3.34% | -2.47% | 2.59% | 2.79% | 1.48% | 0.33% | 5.13% | -1.90% | 4.26% | -2.28% | 20.04% |
Benchmark Metrics
4th OCT has an annualized alpha of 10.67%, beta of 0.47, and R² of 0.27 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since January 12, 2024.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (95.12%) than losses (73.20%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- Beta of 0.47 may look defensive, but with R² of 0.27 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index — low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R² of 0.27 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index — capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 10.67%
- Beta
- 0.47
- R²
- 0.27
- Upside Capture
- 95.12%
- Downside Capture
- 73.20%
Expense Ratio
4th OCT has an expense ratio of 0.19%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
4th OCT ranks 70 for risk / return — better than 70% of portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.48 | 1.87 | +0.61 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.53 | 3.01 | +0.52 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.45 | 1.41 | +0.04 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.63 | 2.49 | +0.15 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 9.39 | 11.08 | -1.69 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BUG Global X Cybersecurity ETF | 3 | -0.53 | -0.59 | 0.93 | -0.48 | -1.09 |
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | 6 | -0.26 | -0.08 | 0.99 | -0.33 | -0.67 |
VUAA.L Vanguard S&P 500 UCITS ETF USD Accumulation | 85 | 2.29 | 3.55 | 1.46 | 3.41 | 14.57 |
VFEA.DE Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets UCITS ETF Acc | 76 | 2.30 | 3.20 | 1.42 | 2.96 | 10.86 |
VGEK.DE Vanguard FTSE Developed Asia Pacific ex Japan UCITS ETF (USD) Accumulating | 94 | 3.83 | 4.79 | 1.67 | 4.87 | 19.94 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
4th OCT provided a 0.00% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.10% | 0.04% | 0.03% | 0.02% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
BUG Global X Cybersecurity ETF | 0.05% | 0.04% | 0.09% | 0.10% | 1.56% | 0.66% | 0.46% | 0.24% |
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VUAA.L Vanguard S&P 500 UCITS ETF USD Accumulation | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VFEA.DE Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets UCITS ETF Acc | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VGEK.DE Vanguard FTSE Developed Asia Pacific ex Japan UCITS ETF (USD) Accumulating | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 4th OCT. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 4th OCT was 15.33%, occurring on Apr 9, 2025. Recovery took 22 trading sessions.
The current 4th OCT drawdown is 7.22%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -15.33% | Feb 21, 2025 | 34 | Apr 9, 2025 | 22 | May 12, 2025 | 56 |
| -9.81% | Feb 26, 2026 | 22 | Mar 27, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -8.69% | Jul 17, 2024 | 14 | Aug 5, 2024 | 33 | Sep 19, 2024 | 47 |
| -6.83% | Oct 28, 2025 | 19 | Nov 21, 2025 | 30 | Jan 6, 2026 | 49 |
| -6% | Dec 10, 2024 | 23 | Jan 13, 2025 | 23 | Feb 13, 2025 | 46 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.57, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | IBIT | BUG | VUAA.L | VFEA.DE | VGEK.DE | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.40 | 0.63 | 0.58 | 0.43 | 0.45 | 0.61 |
| IBIT | 0.40 | 1.00 | 0.31 | 0.26 | 0.25 | 0.26 | 0.53 |
| BUG | 0.63 | 0.31 | 1.00 | 0.39 | 0.29 | 0.31 | 0.48 |
| VUAA.L | 0.58 | 0.26 | 0.39 | 1.00 | 0.57 | 0.62 | 0.77 |
| VFEA.DE | 0.43 | 0.25 | 0.29 | 0.57 | 1.00 | 0.78 | 0.87 |
| VGEK.DE | 0.45 | 0.26 | 0.31 | 0.62 | 0.78 | 1.00 | 0.85 |
| Portfolio | 0.61 | 0.53 | 0.48 | 0.77 | 0.87 | 0.85 | 1.00 |