2024 IIM Lucky 12 - Unoptimized
IIM Think Tank Equity Portfolio Model (for 2024 Starting Positions) Stock Picks, Position Sizing & Re-balancing (buy, sell and hold signals) are based on proprietary IIM macro-quant-mental algorithm, aiming to beat 99% of hedge funds over the long term. This portfolio ignores flawed industry and academic theory such as Sharpe ratio, DCF, diversification, and volatility. Instead its Algo focuses on real-money USD return over the long term Unoptimized = Presents major risk to buy & hold investors + Lacks active risk-management necessary to preserve capital against major tail risks. IIM internal portfolio is re-balanced and composition changes based on R Algo signals. Not an Investment advice. Past performance not equal future performance. If you decide to use this portfolio model in your research or investment, please cite and credit IIM Think Tank with a hyperlink (see below). If you are a CIO or an institutional investor planning to allocate real money to this model, customize (optimize) it, or explore the potential risks and opportunities of this portfolio,, or need active management support and signals, then please contact: https://www.iim.education/think-tank/investment/ Lead Researcher & Portfolio Model Manager https://www.medjones.com/investment/
Asset Allocation
Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
---|---|---|
AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | Financial Services | 8.33% |
CLS Celestica Inc. | Technology | 8.33% |
EME EMCOR Group, Inc. | Industrials | 8.33% |
FIX Comfort Systems USA, Inc. | Industrials | 8.33% |
GRMN Garmin Ltd. | Technology | 8.33% |
HBM Hudbay Minerals Inc. | Basic Materials | 8.33% |
HEI-A HEICO Corporation | Industrials | 8.33% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Technology | 8.33% |
OLED Universal Display Corporation | Technology | 8.33% |
TDW Tidewater Inc. | Energy | 8.33% |
TREX Trex Company, Inc. | Industrials | 8.33% |
UTHR United Therapeutics Corporation | Healthcare | 8.33% |
Performance
Performance Chart
Loading data...
The earliest data available for this chart is Jan 4, 2016, corresponding to the inception date of HEI-A
Returns By Period
YTD | 1M | 6M | 1Y | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
^GSPC S&P 500 | 1.30% | 12.94% | 1.49% | 12.48% | 15.82% | 10.87% |
2024 IIM Lucky 12 - Unoptimized | 4.07% | 21.04% | 2.02% | 16.09% | 45.86% | N/A |
Portfolio components: | ||||||
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.84% | 29.58% | -4.62% | 43.53% | 74.35% | 75.00% |
TREX Trex Company, Inc. | -11.88% | 13.87% | -10.85% | -31.38% | 1.14% | 16.69% |
HEI-A HEICO Corporation | 18.57% | 11.04% | 5.38% | 28.31% | 26.32% | N/A |
FIX Comfort Systems USA, Inc. | 11.54% | 35.30% | 6.29% | 47.34% | 73.97% | 36.64% |
UTHR United Therapeutics Corporation | -13.46% | 7.07% | -15.94% | 12.17% | 21.34% | 5.56% |
HBM Hudbay Minerals Inc. | 0.35% | 15.01% | -4.60% | -15.77% | 29.91% | -1.37% |
TDW Tidewater Inc. | -23.52% | 29.66% | -17.52% | -60.80% | 59.11% | -25.51% |
OLED Universal Display Corporation | 6.69% | 36.81% | -4.67% | -9.61% | 2.56% | 12.25% |
EME EMCOR Group, Inc. | 3.76% | 23.10% | -5.59% | 25.55% | 53.27% | 26.82% |
CLS Celestica Inc. | 22.70% | 40.58% | 37.81% | 116.04% | 83.79% | 24.59% |
GRMN Garmin Ltd. | -0.12% | 8.64% | -0.81% | 22.70% | 24.21% | 19.75% |
AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | 20.80% | 2.88% | 16.63% | 35.06% | 33.09% | 23.92% |
Monthly Returns
The table below presents the monthly returns of 2024 IIM Lucky 12 - Unoptimized, with color gradation from worst to best to easily spot seasonal factors. Returns are adjusted for dividends.
Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 4.04% | -5.08% | -7.01% | -1.34% | 14.87% | 4.07% | |||||||
2024 | 2.29% | 16.72% | 8.63% | -0.44% | 12.78% | 1.08% | 2.74% | -0.84% | 1.73% | 2.61% | 7.56% | -5.35% | 59.37% |
2023 | 12.85% | 2.88% | 2.67% | -0.38% | 1.39% | 12.00% | 11.54% | 1.55% | -2.57% | -3.61% | 9.79% | 6.90% | 68.35% |
2022 | -5.37% | -0.73% | 7.27% | -10.73% | 4.82% | -10.26% | 10.77% | -4.71% | -8.54% | 15.94% | 9.08% | -3.11% | 0.11% |
2021 | -0.77% | 8.21% | 4.51% | 8.31% | 1.45% | -1.54% | 1.12% | 3.12% | -5.37% | 8.88% | 1.17% | 4.34% | 37.67% |
2020 | -2.37% | -7.03% | -18.57% | 13.07% | 9.75% | 5.58% | 8.00% | 9.09% | -3.52% | 1.27% | 18.88% | 5.00% | 39.16% |
2019 | 11.30% | 12.14% | -0.05% | 0.85% | -10.05% | 10.37% | 0.34% | -4.61% | 0.01% | 6.60% | 1.06% | 4.62% | 34.76% |
2018 | 4.93% | -4.06% | -1.23% | 0.46% | 2.47% | -1.65% | 8.25% | 6.07% | -1.45% | -10.34% | -1.39% | -10.05% | -9.39% |
2017 | 5.06% | 0.39% | 0.00% | -2.84% | 1.24% | 2.00% | 7.78% | 0.52% | 4.16% | 6.26% | 4.11% | 0.52% | 32.79% |
2016 | -11.59% | 7.02% | 10.10% | 6.15% | -1.97% | 0.32% | 9.53% | -3.02% | 0.68% | -3.00% | 17.28% | 3.66% | 37.16% |
Expense Ratio
2024 IIM Lucky 12 - Unoptimized has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Risk-Adjusted Performance Rank
The current rank of 2024 IIM Lucky 12 - Unoptimized is 23, meaning it’s performing worse than 77% of other portfolios on our website when it comes to balancing risk and reward. Below is a breakdown of how it compares using common performance measures.
Risk-Adjusted Performance Indicators
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for positions. Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.73 | 1.40 | 1.18 | 1.31 | 3.22 |
TREX Trex Company, Inc. | -0.68 | -0.76 | 0.90 | -0.49 | -1.17 |
HEI-A HEICO Corporation | 1.02 | 1.67 | 1.22 | 1.73 | 4.40 |
FIX Comfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.82 | 1.20 | 1.18 | 0.91 | 2.21 |
UTHR United Therapeutics Corporation | 0.39 | 0.75 | 1.11 | 0.41 | 0.95 |
HBM Hudbay Minerals Inc. | -0.30 | -0.17 | 0.98 | -0.46 | -0.91 |
TDW Tidewater Inc. | -1.13 | -1.91 | 0.77 | -0.67 | -1.37 |
OLED Universal Display Corporation | -0.19 | 0.07 | 1.01 | -0.18 | -0.36 |
EME EMCOR Group, Inc. | 0.60 | 1.00 | 1.15 | 0.72 | 1.77 |
CLS Celestica Inc. | 1.55 | 2.18 | 1.31 | 2.52 | 6.28 |
GRMN Garmin Ltd. | 0.56 | 1.16 | 1.19 | 0.81 | 2.53 |
AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.30 | 3.06 | 8.43 |
Loading data...
Dividends
Dividend yield
2024 IIM Lucky 12 - Unoptimized provided a 0.34% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
TTM | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portfolio | 0.34% | 0.35% | 0.43% | 0.56% | 0.40% | 0.46% | 0.52% | 0.67% | 0.64% | 0.78% | 2.25% | 1.15% |
Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.05% | 0.12% | 0.27% | 0.46% | 0.29% | 0.45% | 1.20% | 1.70% |
TREX Trex Company, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
HEI-A HEICO Corporation | 0.10% | 0.11% | 0.14% | 0.15% | 0.13% | 0.14% | 0.16% | 0.17% | 0.10% | 0.25% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
FIX Comfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.32% | 0.28% | 0.41% | 0.49% | 0.49% | 0.81% | 0.79% | 0.76% | 0.68% | 0.83% | 0.88% | 1.31% |
UTHR United Therapeutics Corporation | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
HBM Hudbay Minerals Inc. | 0.17% | 0.17% | 0.25% | 0.32% | 0.22% | 0.21% | 0.37% | 0.34% | 0.17% | 0.26% | 0.42% | 0.21% |
TDW Tidewater Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.12% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.04% | 0.00% | 14.75% | 3.17% |
OLED Universal Display Corporation | 1.06% | 1.09% | 0.73% | 1.11% | 0.48% | 0.26% | 0.19% | 0.26% | 0.07% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
EME EMCOR Group, Inc. | 0.21% | 0.20% | 0.32% | 0.36% | 0.41% | 0.35% | 0.37% | 0.54% | 0.39% | 0.45% | 0.67% | 0.72% |
CLS Celestica Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
GRMN Garmin Ltd. | 1.46% | 1.44% | 2.27% | 3.10% | 1.92% | 2.01% | 2.30% | 3.32% | 3.42% | 4.21% | 5.41% | 3.58% |
AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | 0.72% | 0.85% | 0.98% | 1.08% | 1.13% | 1.46% | 1.81% | 2.23% | 2.47% | 2.93% | 3.62% | 3.06% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
Loading data...
Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 2024 IIM Lucky 12 - Unoptimized. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 2024 IIM Lucky 12 - Unoptimized was 41.34%, occurring on Mar 18, 2020. Recovery took 92 trading sessions.
The current 2024 IIM Lucky 12 - Unoptimized drawdown is 5.23%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
-41.34% | Feb 21, 2020 | 19 | Mar 18, 2020 | 92 | Jul 29, 2020 | 111 |
-27.39% | Jan 23, 2025 | 53 | Apr 8, 2025 | — | — | — |
-26.69% | Aug 30, 2018 | 80 | Dec 24, 2018 | 70 | Apr 5, 2019 | 150 |
-21.54% | Mar 30, 2022 | 124 | Sep 26, 2022 | 46 | Nov 30, 2022 | 170 |
-18.57% | Jan 5, 2016 | 27 | Feb 11, 2016 | 14 | Mar 3, 2016 | 41 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
Loading data...
Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 12 assets, with an effective number of assets of 12.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests that the portfolio's investments are spread across a variety of assets, indicating a well-diversified allocation. However, true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets.
Asset Correlations Table
^GSPC | UTHR | TDW | HBM | AJG | HEI-A | NVDA | TREX | CLS | OLED | FIX | GRMN | EME | Portfolio | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
^GSPC | 1.00 | 0.34 | 0.30 | 0.44 | 0.54 | 0.49 | 0.64 | 0.57 | 0.52 | 0.61 | 0.56 | 0.66 | 0.59 | 0.79 |
UTHR | 0.34 | 1.00 | 0.15 | 0.19 | 0.26 | 0.20 | 0.19 | 0.20 | 0.19 | 0.23 | 0.24 | 0.26 | 0.27 | 0.40 |
TDW | 0.30 | 0.15 | 1.00 | 0.32 | 0.17 | 0.20 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.29 | 0.22 | 0.31 | 0.23 | 0.33 | 0.53 |
HBM | 0.44 | 0.19 | 0.32 | 1.00 | 0.22 | 0.25 | 0.30 | 0.27 | 0.34 | 0.33 | 0.32 | 0.34 | 0.35 | 0.61 |
AJG | 0.54 | 0.26 | 0.17 | 0.22 | 1.00 | 0.38 | 0.25 | 0.33 | 0.25 | 0.29 | 0.36 | 0.44 | 0.38 | 0.47 |
HEI-A | 0.49 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.25 | 0.38 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 0.34 | 0.32 | 0.34 | 0.38 | 0.40 | 0.42 | 0.54 |
NVDA | 0.64 | 0.19 | 0.15 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 0.41 | 0.51 | 0.35 | 0.42 | 0.35 | 0.61 |
TREX | 0.57 | 0.20 | 0.17 | 0.27 | 0.33 | 0.34 | 0.40 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.43 | 0.45 | 0.48 | 0.45 | 0.60 |
CLS | 0.52 | 0.19 | 0.29 | 0.34 | 0.25 | 0.32 | 0.41 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.41 | 0.45 | 0.40 | 0.46 | 0.64 |
OLED | 0.61 | 0.23 | 0.22 | 0.33 | 0.29 | 0.34 | 0.51 | 0.43 | 0.41 | 1.00 | 0.37 | 0.46 | 0.41 | 0.65 |
FIX | 0.56 | 0.24 | 0.31 | 0.32 | 0.36 | 0.38 | 0.35 | 0.45 | 0.45 | 0.37 | 1.00 | 0.43 | 0.70 | 0.68 |
GRMN | 0.66 | 0.26 | 0.23 | 0.34 | 0.44 | 0.40 | 0.42 | 0.48 | 0.40 | 0.46 | 0.43 | 1.00 | 0.48 | 0.64 |
EME | 0.59 | 0.27 | 0.33 | 0.35 | 0.38 | 0.42 | 0.35 | 0.45 | 0.46 | 0.41 | 0.70 | 0.48 | 1.00 | 0.70 |
Portfolio | 0.79 | 0.40 | 0.53 | 0.61 | 0.47 | 0.54 | 0.61 | 0.60 | 0.64 | 0.65 | 0.68 | 0.64 | 0.70 | 1.00 |