Asset Allocation
Find the right asset allocation for Bonds Only Retirement
Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Bonds Only Retirement, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every year.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -2.64% | -0.21% | 7.86% | 7.85% | 23.05% | 19.90% | 11.79% | 13.33% |
Portfolio Bonds Only Retirement | -0.49% | -0.53% | -0.15% | -0.23% | 4.73% | 1.31% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.53% | -1.08% | -1.06% | -1.06% | 4.02% | 2.32% | -1.22% | 0.60% |
IEI iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.38% | -0.81% | -0.71% | -0.46% | 3.31% | 3.42% | 0.17% | 1.25% |
MUB iShares National AMT-Free Muni Bond ETF | -0.21% | 0.23% | 1.20% | 1.66% | 7.02% | 3.29% | 0.85% | 1.99% |
SGOV iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF | 0.03% | 0.27% | 1.55% | 1.79% | 3.94% | 4.72% | 3.54% | — |
SPLB SPDR Portfolio Long Term Corporate Bond ETF | -0.81% | -0.27% | 0.47% | -0.21% | 6.98% | 4.19% | -1.93% | 2.18% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.51% | -0.80% | -0.56% | -1.32% | 4.21% | -2.03% | -6.37% | -1.63% |
UTHY US Treasury 30 Year Bond ETF | -0.49% | -0.61% | -0.56% | -1.13% | 3.82% | -2.33% | — | — |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Mar 29, 2023, Bonds Only Retirement's average daily return is +0.01%, while the average monthly return is +0.12%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 48.2 years.
Historically, 55% of months were positive and 45% were negative. The best month was Nov 2023 with a return of +7.2%, while the worst month was Sep 2023 at -4.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 5 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, Bonds Only Retirement closed higher 52% of trading days. The best single day was Aug 2, 2024 with a return of +1.9%, while the worst single day was Apr 7, 2025 at -2.2%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.11% | 2.77% | -2.84% | -0.25% | 0.56% | -0.41% | -0.15% | ||||||
| 2025 | 0.41% | 3.64% | -0.81% | -0.56% | -1.58% | 2.06% | -0.65% | 0.60% | 2.35% | 0.85% | 0.52% | -1.39% | 5.43% |
| 2024 | -1.04% | -1.76% | 0.82% | -4.18% | 2.10% | 1.17% | 2.85% | 1.70% | 1.73% | -3.80% | 1.67% | -3.85% | -2.93% |
| 2023 | 1.35% | 0.46% | -2.10% | 0.20% | -1.08% | -1.77% | -4.85% | -3.24% | 7.21% | 5.70% | 1.25% |
Benchmark Metrics
Bonds Only Retirement has an annualized alpha of -0.63%, beta of 0.10, and R2 of 0.03 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since March 29, 2023.
- This portfolio participated in 68.48% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 22.46% of its upside - more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- Beta of 0.10 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.03 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R2 of 0.03 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index - capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- -0.63%
- Beta
- 0.10
- R²
- 0.03
- Upside Capture
- 22.46%
- Downside Capture
- 68.48%
Expense Ratio
Bonds Only Retirement has an expense ratio of 0.12%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Bonds Only Retirement ranks 8 for risk / return — in the bottom 8% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Bonds Only Retirement and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.62 | 2.01 | -1.39 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 0.93 | 2.71 | -1.79 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.11 | 1.36 | -0.26 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.81 | 2.69 | -1.87 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 2.15 | 12.34 | -10.19 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 20 | 0.68 | 1.01 | 1.12 | 0.79 | 2.30 |
IEI iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 27 | 0.93 | 1.40 | 1.16 | 1.13 | 3.32 |
MUB iShares National AMT-Free Muni Bond ETF | 71 | 2.29 | 3.34 | 1.47 | 2.40 | 8.46 |
SGOV iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF | 100 | 20.34 | 277.10 | 196.55 | 400.29 | 4,485.40 |
SPLB SPDR Portfolio Long Term Corporate Bond ETF | 24 | 0.78 | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.15 | 2.84 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 14 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 1.06 | 0.38 | 0.94 |
UTHY US Treasury 30 Year Bond ETF | 13 | 0.27 | 0.46 | 1.05 | 0.34 | 0.86 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Bonds Only Retirement provided a 4.40% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 4.40% | 4.29% | 4.27% | 3.38% | 2.12% | 1.23% | 1.34% | 1.90% | 2.13% | 1.88% | 1.95% | 2.06% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 3.92% | 3.77% | 3.62% | 2.91% | 1.96% | 0.83% | 1.08% | 2.08% | 2.24% | 1.82% | 1.81% | 1.90% |
IEI iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 3.65% | 3.48% | 3.18% | 2.36% | 1.37% | 0.73% | 1.12% | 2.01% | 1.95% | 1.51% | 1.33% | 1.39% |
MUB iShares National AMT-Free Muni Bond ETF | 3.18% | 3.14% | 3.01% | 2.65% | 2.11% | 1.81% | 2.11% | 2.42% | 2.46% | 2.26% | 2.21% | 2.51% |
SGOV iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF | 3.85% | 4.10% | 5.10% | 4.87% | 1.45% | 0.03% | 0.05% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SPLB SPDR Portfolio Long Term Corporate Bond ETF | 5.40% | 5.25% | 5.20% | 4.60% | 4.53% | 3.00% | 3.01% | 3.79% | 4.50% | 4.06% | 4.34% | 4.70% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.60% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
UTHY US Treasury 30 Year Bond ETF | 4.65% | 4.53% | 4.58% | 2.81% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Bonds Only Retirement. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Bonds Only Retirement was 13.78%, occurring on Oct 19, 2023. Recovery took 197 trading sessions.
The current Bonds Only Retirement drawdown is 2.94%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 correction2023 | -13.78%Oct 2023 | 6mo 12d | 9mo 18d | 1y 3moApr 2023 - Aug 2024 |
2025 pullback2025 | -9.16%Jan 2025 | 3mo 29d | 1y 1mo | 1y 5moSep 2024 - Feb 2026 |
2026 pullback2026 | -4.77%May 2026 | 2mo 18d | — | 3mo 9dMar 2026 - now |
2024 pullback2024 | -2.14%Aug 2024 | 2d | 12d | 14dAug 2024 - Aug 2024 |
2024 pullback2024 | -1.31%Aug 2024 | 8d | 5d | 13dAug 2024 - Sep 2024 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 7 assets, with an effective number of assets of 6.15, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.05 | 1.04 | 1.04 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.04, placing it in the bottom quartile across portfolios — positions are highly correlated. Consider adding assets from different classes or sectors to reduce risk.
Bonds Only Retirement correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.27 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.22 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Mar 29, 2023 | 0.20 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. SPLB has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.32, while SGOV has the lowest at -0.01.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what Bonds Only Retirement is missing
See which holdings overlap, where Bonds Only Retirement is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification