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Bonds Only Retirement
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

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Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Bonds Only Retirement, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every year.


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Returns By Period


Position1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
-2.64%-0.21%7.86%7.85%23.05%19.90%11.79%13.33%
Portfolio
Bonds Only Retirement
-0.49%-0.53%-0.15%-0.23%4.73%1.31%
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
-0.53%-1.08%-1.06%-1.06%4.02%2.32%-1.22%0.60%
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
-0.38%-0.81%-0.71%-0.46%3.31%3.42%0.17%1.25%
MUB
iShares National AMT-Free Muni Bond ETF
-0.21%0.23%1.20%1.66%7.02%3.29%0.85%1.99%
SGOV
iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF
0.03%0.27%1.55%1.79%3.94%4.72%3.54%
SPLB
SPDR Portfolio Long Term Corporate Bond ETF
-0.81%-0.27%0.47%-0.21%6.98%4.19%-1.93%2.18%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
-0.51%-0.80%-0.56%-1.32%4.21%-2.03%-6.37%-1.63%
UTHY
US Treasury 30 Year Bond ETF
-0.49%-0.61%-0.56%-1.13%3.82%-2.33%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Mar 29, 2023, Bonds Only Retirement's average daily return is +0.01%, while the average monthly return is +0.12%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 48.2 years.

Historically, 55% of months were positive and 45% were negative. The best month was Nov 2023 with a return of +7.2%, while the worst month was Sep 2023 at -4.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 5 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.

On a daily basis, Bonds Only Retirement closed higher 52% of trading days. The best single day was Aug 2, 2024 with a return of +1.9%, while the worst single day was Apr 7, 2025 at -2.2%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20260.11%2.77%-2.84%-0.25%0.56%-0.41%-0.15%
20250.41%3.64%-0.81%-0.56%-1.58%2.06%-0.65%0.60%2.35%0.85%0.52%-1.39%5.43%
2024-1.04%-1.76%0.82%-4.18%2.10%1.17%2.85%1.70%1.73%-3.80%1.67%-3.85%-2.93%
20231.35%0.46%-2.10%0.20%-1.08%-1.77%-4.85%-3.24%7.21%5.70%1.25%

Benchmark Metrics

Bonds Only Retirement has an annualized alpha of -0.63%, beta of 0.10, and R2 of 0.03 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since March 29, 2023.

  • This portfolio participated in 68.48% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 22.46% of its upside - more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
  • Beta of 0.10 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.03 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
  • R2 of 0.03 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index - capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.

Alpha
-0.63%
Beta
0.10
0.03
Upside Capture
22.46%
Downside Capture
68.48%

Expense Ratio

Bonds Only Retirement has an expense ratio of 0.12%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Bonds Only Retirement ranks 8 for risk / return — in the bottom 8% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.


Bonds Only Retirement Risk / Return Rank: 88
Overall Rank
Bonds Only Retirement Sharpe Ratio Rank: 88
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Bonds Only Retirement Sortino Ratio Rank: 88
Sortino Ratio Rank
Bonds Only Retirement Omega Ratio Rank: 77
Omega Ratio Rank
Bonds Only Retirement Calmar Ratio Rank: 88
Calmar Ratio Rank
Bonds Only Retirement Martin Ratio Rank: 88
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics

The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Bonds Only Retirement and compares them with S&P 500 Index.


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

0.62

2.01

-1.39

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

0.93

2.71

-1.79

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.11

1.36

-0.26

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

0.81

2.69

-1.87

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

2.15

12.34

-10.19


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

PositionRisk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
200.681.011.120.792.30
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
270.931.401.161.133.32
MUB
iShares National AMT-Free Muni Bond ETF
712.293.341.472.408.46
SGOV
iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF
10020.34277.10196.55400.294,485.40
SPLB
SPDR Portfolio Long Term Corporate Bond ETF
240.781.141.141.152.84
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
140.300.501.060.380.94
UTHY
US Treasury 30 Year Bond ETF
130.270.461.050.340.86

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

Bonds Only Retirement Sharpe ratios as of Jun 6, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 0.62
  • All Time: 0.12

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.64 to 2.53, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio places it in the bottom 25%. This suggests weaker risk-adjusted returns than most portfolios, possibly due to lower returns, higher volatility, or both. It may be worth reviewing the allocation. You can use the Portfolio Optimization tool to explore options for improving the Sharpe ratio.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Bonds Only Retirement compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Bonds Only Retirement provided a 4.40% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio4.40%4.29%4.27%3.38%2.12%1.23%1.34%1.90%2.13%1.88%1.95%2.06%
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
3.92%3.77%3.62%2.91%1.96%0.83%1.08%2.08%2.24%1.82%1.81%1.90%
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
3.65%3.48%3.18%2.36%1.37%0.73%1.12%2.01%1.95%1.51%1.33%1.39%
MUB
iShares National AMT-Free Muni Bond ETF
3.18%3.14%3.01%2.65%2.11%1.81%2.11%2.42%2.46%2.26%2.21%2.51%
SGOV
iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF
3.85%4.10%5.10%4.87%1.45%0.03%0.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
SPLB
SPDR Portfolio Long Term Corporate Bond ETF
5.40%5.25%5.20%4.60%4.53%3.00%3.01%3.79%4.50%4.06%4.34%4.70%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
4.60%4.43%4.30%3.38%2.67%1.50%1.50%2.27%2.63%2.43%2.60%2.61%
UTHY
US Treasury 30 Year Bond ETF
4.65%4.53%4.58%2.81%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Bonds Only Retirement. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Bonds Only Retirement was 13.78%, occurring on Oct 19, 2023. Recovery took 197 trading sessions.

The current Bonds Only Retirement drawdown is 2.94%.


Related event

Drawdown

Fall

Recovery

Underwater

2023 correction2023
-13.78%Oct 2023
6mo 12d9mo 18d
1y 3moApr 2023 - Aug 2024
2025 pullback2025
-9.16%Jan 2025
3mo 29d1y 1mo
1y 5moSep 2024 - Feb 2026
2026 pullback2026
-4.77%May 2026
2mo 18d
3mo 9dMar 2026 - now
2024 pullback2024
-2.14%Aug 2024
2d12d
14dAug 2024 - Aug 2024
2024 pullback2024
-1.31%Aug 2024
8d5d
13dAug 2024 - Sep 2024

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 7 assets, with an effective number of assets of 6.15, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.


Diversification Ratio
1Y
3Y
All Time
Diversification Ratio

1.05

1.04

1.04

The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.04, placing it in the bottom quartile across portfolios — positions are highly correlated. Consider adding assets from different classes or sectors to reduce risk.

Bonds Only Retirement correlation to the S&P 500 Index

Bonds Only Retirement has a 0.27 correlation to S&P 500 Index over the trailing 12 months. This section compares each holding's correlation to the benchmark and to the portfolio.

Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.27

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.22

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Mar 29, 2023

0.20


Benchmark Correlations

Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. SPLB has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.32, while SGOV has the lowest at -0.01.

SGOV
-0.01
IEI
0.10
IEF
0.14
UTHY
0.15
TLT
0.17
MUB
0.21
SPLB
0.32

Portfolio Correlations

Correlation vs. Bonds Only Retirement. TLT has the highest portfolio correlation at 0.99, while SGOV has the lowest at -0.00.

SGOV
-0.00
MUB
0.83
IEI
0.86
IEF
0.95
SPLB
0.96
UTHY
0.99
TLT
0.99

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Mar 29, 2023
Diversification Analysis

Find what Bonds Only Retirement is missing

See which holdings overlap, where Bonds Only Retirement is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.

Analyze Diversification