Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds, Long-Term Bond | 30% |
ETH-USD Ethereum | 17.50% | |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 17.50% | |
MSTR Strategy Inc | Technology | 17.50% |
INTC Intel Corporation | Technology | 17.50% |
Find the right asset allocation for 2026
Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 2026, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 13, 2026, the 2026 returned 18.09% Year-To-Date and 48.39% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | 0.31% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 24.33% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
Portfolio 2026 | 0.57% | -5.69% | 18.09% | 14.87% | 19.65% | 41.60% | 16.13% | 48.39% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 2.42% | -17.06% | -25.06% | -25.64% | -37.83% | 36.87% | 10.30% | 55.97% |
ETH-USD Ethereum | 2.38% | -22.62% | -42.02% | -43.84% | -32.06% | 1.09% | -7.52% | 55.37% |
INTC Intel Corporation | 6.51% | 14.53% | 237.59% | 229.46% | 518.52% | 55.34% | 18.67% | 17.03% |
MSTR Strategy Inc | 3.18% | -30.13% | -18.41% | -29.74% | -67.62% | 63.46% | 19.14% | 20.92% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.24% | 2.93% | 0.27% | 0.45% | 3.88% | -1.38% | -6.53% | -1.75% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Aug 7, 2015, 2026's average daily return is +0.16%, while the average monthly return is +5.17%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 1.1 years.
Historically, 59% of months were positive and 41% were negative. The best month was Feb 2016 with a return of +68.1%, while the worst month was Jun 2022 at -21.5%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 6 months.
On a daily basis, 2026 closed higher 53% of trading days. The best single day was Feb 11, 2016 with a return of +19.9%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -20.2%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -0.58% | -6.57% | -1.65% | 29.62% | 3.70% | -3.83% | 18.09% | ||||||
| 2025 | 3.79% | -7.81% | -1.95% | 5.31% | 6.90% | 4.55% | 7.36% | 3.77% | 6.26% | -1.09% | -11.31% | -5.34% | 8.54% |
| 2024 | -6.67% | 31.79% | 21.07% | -19.56% | 13.74% | -4.10% | 3.46% | -12.67% | 8.60% | 5.89% | 30.39% | -12.87% | 54.22% |
| 2023 | 29.81% | -1.51% | 14.78% | 2.39% | -3.40% | 6.29% | 3.87% | -8.74% | -2.84% | 10.41% | 13.95% | 14.22% | 104.22% |
| 2022 | -15.26% | 5.31% | 3.46% | -15.63% | -11.61% | -21.51% | 25.11% | -10.95% | -10.49% | 8.79% | -8.35% | -9.90% | -51.58% |
| 2021 | 27.11% | 12.72% | 10.80% | 6.15% | -10.96% | 1.23% | 4.57% | 11.32% | -8.17% | 18.46% | 1.25% | -12.87% | 69.65% |
Benchmark Metrics
2026 has an annualized alpha of 42.43%, beta of 0.81, and R2 of 0.14 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since August 07, 2015.
- This portfolio captured 171.59% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 24.32% of its losses - a favorable profile for investors.
- R2 of 0.14 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index - capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 42.43%
- Beta
- 0.81
- R²
- 0.14
- Upside Capture
- 171.59%
- Downside Capture
- 24.32%
Expense Ratio
2026 has an expense ratio of 0.05%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
2026 ranks 8 for risk / return — in the bottom 8% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 2026 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.56 | 1.86 | -1.30 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.03 | 2.53 | -1.50 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.11 | 1.34 | -0.23 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.63 | 2.53 | -1.91 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 1.20 | 11.37 | -10.17 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 36 | -0.88 | -1.20 | 0.88 | -0.74 | -1.28 |
ETH-USD Ethereum | 69 | -0.48 | -0.34 | 0.97 | -0.47 | -0.81 |
INTC Intel Corporation | 99 | 6.84 | 5.30 | 1.67 | 20.85 | 48.84 |
MSTR Strategy Inc | 8 | -0.95 | -1.71 | 0.82 | -0.88 | -1.27 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 13 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 1.06 | 0.38 | 0.92 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
2026 provided a 1.37% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.37% | 1.33% | 1.62% | 1.27% | 1.77% | 0.92% | 0.91% | 1.05% | 1.24% | 1.14% | 1.28% | 1.27% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
ETH-USD Ethereum | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
INTC Intel Corporation | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.87% | 1.47% | 5.52% | 2.70% | 2.65% | 2.11% | 2.56% | 2.33% | 2.87% | 2.79% |
MSTR Strategy Inc | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.56% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 2026. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 2026 was 61.43%, occurring on Dec 28, 2022. Recovery took 429 trading sessions.
The current 2026 drawdown is 14.75%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bear market2022 | -61.43%Dec 2022 | 1y 1mo | 1y 2mo | 2y 3moNov 2021 - Mar 2024 |
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018 | -47.70%Dec 2018 | 12mo 1d | 1y 1mo | 2y 1moDec 2017 - Feb 2020 |
COVID crash2020 | -35.39%Mar 2020 | 1mo 2d | 4mo 14d | 5mo 16dFeb 2020 - Jul 2020 |
2026 bear market2026 | -31.37%Feb 2026 | 4mo 1d | 3mo | 7mo 1dOct 2025 - May 2026 |
2025 selloff2025 | -29.74%Apr 2025 | 3mo 22d | 3mo 4d | 6mo 26dDec 2024 - Jul 2025 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.71, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.39 | 1.44 | 1.40 | 1.48 | 1.51 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.51, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
2026 correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.62 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.52 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.55 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.41 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 7, 2015 | 0.38 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. INTC has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.61, while TLT has the lowest at -0.12.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what 2026 is missing
See which holdings overlap, where 2026 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification