Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | Technology | 6.67% |
APLD Applied Digital Corporation | Financial Services | 6.67% |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | Technology | 6.67% |
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc. | Industrials | 6.67% |
CELH Celsius Holdings, Inc. | Consumer Defensive | 6.67% |
EME EMCOR Group, Inc. | Industrials | 6.67% |
FIX Comfort Systems USA, Inc. | Industrials | 6.67% |
FLEX Flex Ltd. | Technology | 6.67% |
IESC IES Holdings, Inc. | Industrials | 6.67% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Technology | 6.67% |
RNMBY Rheinmetall AG ADR | Industrials | 6.67% |
SHOP Shopify Inc. | Technology | 6.67% |
SKY Skyline Champion Corporation | Consumer Cyclical | 6.67% |
STRL Sterling Construction Company, Inc. | Industrials | 6.67% |
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited | Technology | 6.67% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Captain Hindsight, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every year.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jan 4, 2016, corresponding to the inception date of CELH
Returns By Period
As of Apr 3, 2026, the Captain Hindsight returned 3.73% Year-To-Date and 86.25% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Captain Hindsight | -0.18% | -4.02% | 3.73% | -1.08% | 83.76% | 73.49% | 107.11% | 86.25% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.93% | -1.47% | -4.88% | -6.08% | 60.69% | 85.17% | 66.71% | 70.07% |
STRL Sterling Construction Company, Inc. | -1.17% | 0.20% | 35.96% | 18.39% | 251.46% | 122.12% | 78.24% | 55.12% |
AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | 3.47% | 13.90% | 1.56% | 28.14% | 111.25% | 31.09% | 21.81% | 54.37% |
SKY Skyline Champion Corporation | -0.38% | -16.93% | -12.52% | -4.75% | -22.14% | 0.57% | 9.28% | 23.96% |
EME EMCOR Group, Inc. | -0.43% | 2.72% | 23.69% | 14.65% | 96.87% | 66.73% | 46.59% | 32.35% |
APLD Applied Digital Corporation | 0.29% | -6.08% | 0.16% | -7.22% | 293.59% | 118.64% | 77.86% | 76.51% |
CELH Celsius Holdings, Inc. | -0.73% | -27.66% | -25.49% | -42.14% | -7.27% | 3.53% | 15.58% | 46.86% |
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc. | -2.54% | -28.71% | -27.31% | -42.71% | -26.08% | 21.99% | 23.61% | 36.33% |
FLEX Flex Ltd. | 0.51% | 8.73% | 13.52% | 18.08% | 101.35% | 76.54% | 46.54% | 26.33% |
IESC IES Holdings, Inc. | -0.28% | -1.04% | 24.03% | 24.06% | 168.61% | 122.40% | 55.28% | 42.91% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jan 5, 2016, Captain Hindsight's average daily return is +0.31%, while the average monthly return is +6.48%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 0.9 years.
Historically, 69% of months were positive and 31% were negative. The best month was Apr 2021 with a return of +115.1%, while the worst month was Nov 2021 at -29.0%. The longest winning streak lasted 12 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, Captain Hindsight closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was May 3, 2021 with a return of +63.2%, while the worst single day was Aug 30, 2021 at -21.3%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7.04% | 3.71% | -8.43% | 2.04% | 3.73% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 1.86% | -3.31% | -2.59% | 7.11% | 19.29% | 13.86% | 8.31% | 5.47% | 12.15% | 11.44% | -10.29% | -1.85% | 75.45% |
| 2024 | 4.37% | 24.10% | 5.73% | -4.23% | 9.06% | -0.93% | 0.52% | 5.75% | 7.49% | 1.65% | 20.48% | -9.02% | 80.39% |
| 2023 | 18.07% | 2.45% | 7.06% | 0.45% | 25.42% | 10.51% | 3.71% | 0.34% | -8.02% | -5.39% | 8.03% | 17.02% | 106.38% |
| 2022 | -14.81% | 4.45% | 3.52% | -14.36% | 2.70% | -7.79% | 10.81% | -3.52% | -9.29% | 12.94% | 16.00% | -4.79% | -9.62% |
| 2021 | 16.26% | 39.19% | -11.64% | 115.06% | -2.19% | 51.39% | -20.18% | 13.58% | 21.54% | 104.44% | -29.00% | 28.10% | 832.88% |
Benchmark Metrics
Captain Hindsight has an annualized alpha of 84.25%, beta of 1.24, and R² of 0.15 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since January 05, 2016.
- This portfolio captured 429.41% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 94.03% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- R² of 0.15 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index — capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 84.25%
- Beta
- 1.24
- R²
- 0.15
- Upside Capture
- 429.41%
- Downside Capture
- 94.03%
Expense Ratio
Captain Hindsight has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Captain Hindsight ranks 89 for risk / return — in the top 89% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.34 | 0.88 | +1.46 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.87 | 1.37 | +1.50 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.39 | 1.21 | +0.19 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 4.23 | 1.39 | +2.84 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 12.22 | 6.43 | +5.79 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 81 | 1.47 | 2.17 | 1.27 | 3.02 | 7.54 |
STRL Sterling Construction Company, Inc. | 97 | 4.24 | 3.76 | 1.51 | 8.38 | 24.41 |
AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | 85 | 1.73 | 2.48 | 1.32 | 4.02 | 8.17 |
SKY Skyline Champion Corporation | 21 | -0.46 | -0.39 | 0.95 | -0.55 | -0.97 |
EME EMCOR Group, Inc. | 90 | 2.42 | 2.74 | 1.41 | 4.05 | 10.46 |
APLD Applied Digital Corporation | 92 | 2.35 | 3.04 | 1.38 | 6.03 | 13.73 |
CELH Celsius Holdings, Inc. | 34 | -0.13 | 0.20 | 1.03 | -0.10 | -0.23 |
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc. | 21 | -0.49 | -0.45 | 0.94 | -0.44 | -0.89 |
FLEX Flex Ltd. | 89 | 2.10 | 2.46 | 1.35 | 4.87 | 13.16 |
IESC IES Holdings, Inc. | 93 | 2.65 | 2.85 | 1.39 | 8.52 | 23.68 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Captain Hindsight provided a 0.17% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.17% | 0.17% | 1.64% | 0.38% | 0.55% | 0.43% | 0.50% | 0.65% | 0.95% | 0.51% | 0.58% | 0.46% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.05% | 0.12% | 0.27% | 0.46% | 0.29% | 0.45% | 1.20% |
STRL Sterling Construction Company, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SKY Skyline Champion Corporation | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.25% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
EME EMCOR Group, Inc. | 0.15% | 0.16% | 0.20% | 0.32% | 0.36% | 0.41% | 0.35% | 0.37% | 0.54% | 0.39% | 0.45% | 0.67% |
APLD Applied Digital Corporation | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CELH Celsius Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
FLEX Flex Ltd. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 21.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IESC IES Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Captain Hindsight. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Captain Hindsight was 47.13%, occurring on Jun 3, 2021. Recovery took 60 trading sessions.
The current Captain Hindsight drawdown is 11.81%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -47.13% | May 4, 2021 | 22 | Jun 3, 2021 | 60 | Aug 27, 2021 | 82 |
| -44.5% | Jun 4, 2018 | 142 | Dec 24, 2018 | 265 | Jan 14, 2020 | 407 |
| -39.86% | Oct 27, 2021 | 28 | Dec 6, 2021 | 341 | Apr 17, 2023 | 369 |
| -38.86% | Feb 20, 2020 | 20 | Mar 18, 2020 | 46 | May 22, 2020 | 66 |
| -30.79% | Aug 30, 2021 | 2 | Aug 31, 2021 | 26 | Oct 7, 2021 | 28 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 15 assets, with an effective number of assets of 15.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests that the portfolio's investments are spread across a variety of assets, indicating a well-diversified allocation. However, true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | RNMBY | APLD | CELH | SKY | AXON | IESC | SHOP | STRL | AMD | FIX | EME | TSM | AVGO | NVDA | FLEX | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.25 | 0.19 | 0.33 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.42 | 0.53 | 0.45 | 0.54 | 0.56 | 0.59 | 0.60 | 0.66 | 0.64 | 0.62 | 0.62 |
| RNMBY | 0.25 | 1.00 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 0.21 | 0.24 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.16 | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| APLD | 0.19 | 0.08 | 1.00 | 0.15 | 0.09 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 0.13 | 0.17 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.15 | 0.56 |
| CELH | 0.33 | 0.09 | 0.15 | 1.00 | 0.24 | 0.23 | 0.22 | 0.24 | 0.20 | 0.25 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.27 | 0.26 | 0.39 |
| SKY | 0.46 | 0.12 | 0.09 | 0.24 | 1.00 | 0.29 | 0.34 | 0.30 | 0.33 | 0.26 | 0.40 | 0.38 | 0.29 | 0.30 | 0.29 | 0.36 | 0.44 |
| AXON | 0.46 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.23 | 0.29 | 1.00 | 0.28 | 0.41 | 0.28 | 0.34 | 0.33 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 0.38 | 0.40 | 0.37 | 0.47 |
| IESC | 0.42 | 0.16 | 0.13 | 0.22 | 0.34 | 0.28 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.48 | 0.26 | 0.52 | 0.51 | 0.34 | 0.32 | 0.29 | 0.41 | 0.45 |
| SHOP | 0.53 | 0.12 | 0.16 | 0.24 | 0.30 | 0.41 | 0.20 | 1.00 | 0.23 | 0.46 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 0.43 | 0.43 | 0.50 | 0.35 | 0.49 |
| STRL | 0.45 | 0.18 | 0.15 | 0.20 | 0.33 | 0.28 | 0.48 | 0.23 | 1.00 | 0.27 | 0.56 | 0.58 | 0.32 | 0.34 | 0.30 | 0.42 | 0.46 |
| AMD | 0.54 | 0.12 | 0.17 | 0.25 | 0.26 | 0.34 | 0.26 | 0.46 | 0.27 | 1.00 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 0.53 | 0.52 | 0.66 | 0.45 | 0.54 |
| FIX | 0.56 | 0.21 | 0.16 | 0.23 | 0.40 | 0.33 | 0.52 | 0.26 | 0.56 | 0.32 | 1.00 | 0.71 | 0.38 | 0.41 | 0.36 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| EME | 0.59 | 0.24 | 0.13 | 0.23 | 0.38 | 0.34 | 0.51 | 0.26 | 0.58 | 0.32 | 0.71 | 1.00 | 0.39 | 0.41 | 0.36 | 0.52 | 0.50 |
| TSM | 0.60 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.23 | 0.29 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 0.43 | 0.32 | 0.53 | 0.38 | 0.39 | 1.00 | 0.62 | 0.62 | 0.52 | 0.54 |
| AVGO | 0.66 | 0.18 | 0.15 | 0.23 | 0.30 | 0.38 | 0.32 | 0.43 | 0.34 | 0.52 | 0.41 | 0.41 | 0.62 | 1.00 | 0.62 | 0.54 | 0.54 |
| NVDA | 0.64 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 0.27 | 0.29 | 0.40 | 0.29 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.66 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.62 | 0.62 | 1.00 | 0.49 | 0.58 |
| FLEX | 0.62 | 0.22 | 0.15 | 0.26 | 0.36 | 0.37 | 0.41 | 0.35 | 0.42 | 0.45 | 0.50 | 0.52 | 0.52 | 0.54 | 0.49 | 1.00 | 0.55 |
| Portfolio | 0.62 | 0.28 | 0.56 | 0.39 | 0.44 | 0.47 | 0.45 | 0.49 | 0.46 | 0.54 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.54 | 0.54 | 0.58 | 0.55 | 1.00 |