Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF | Inflation-Protected Bonds | 12.50% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds, Long-Term Bond | 12.50% |
IAUM iShares Gold Trust Micro | Gold, Precious Metals | 12.50% |
XLP State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF | Consumer Staples Equities | 12.50% |
AMLP Alerian MLP ETF | MLPs | 12.50% |
SPLV Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF | S&P 500, Large Cap Blend Equities | 12.50% |
XLV State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF | Health & Biotech Equities | 12.50% |
XLRE Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund | REIT | 12.50% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Defense 2025, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is never rebalanced.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -2.64% | -0.21% | 7.86% | 7.47% | 23.05% | 19.90% | 11.79% | 13.33% |
Portfolio Defense 2025 | -0.54% | -1.05% | 5.34% | 5.65% | 13.36% | 12.47% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
AMLP Alerian MLP ETF | -0.90% | 1.19% | 16.71% | 14.37% | 17.34% | 20.21% | 16.98% | 6.58% |
IAUM iShares Gold Trust Micro | -3.63% | -8.60% | 0.07% | 2.72% | 30.28% | 29.97% | — | — |
SPLV Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF | 1.45% | 1.35% | 3.82% | 4.16% | 2.94% | 8.53% | 5.84% | 8.27% |
TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF | -0.48% | -0.79% | 1.06% | 0.88% | 4.93% | 3.65% | 0.88% | 2.48% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.51% | -0.80% | -0.56% | -1.32% | 4.21% | -2.03% | -6.37% | -1.63% |
XLP State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF | 1.71% | -0.88% | 8.02% | 7.80% | 4.97% | 7.46% | 5.88% | 7.37% |
XLRE Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund | 0.68% | 0.65% | 11.53% | 10.98% | 10.45% | 10.37% | 3.42% | 6.96% |
XLV State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.61% | 6.63% | -0.75% | 0.67% | 15.89% | 7.44% | 6.32% | 9.61% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jun 30, 2021, Defense 2025's average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.65%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 8.9 years.
Historically, 61% of months were positive and 39% were negative. The best month was Nov 2023 with a return of +5.9%, while the worst month was Sep 2022 at -7.2%. The longest winning streak lasted 5 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Defense 2025 closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +3.7%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -4.1%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5.48% | 5.87% | -5.93% | 1.55% | -1.18% | -0.08% | 5.34% | ||||||
| 2025 | 3.90% | 3.25% | 0.93% | -1.37% | -0.36% | 0.72% | -0.30% | 2.08% | 1.78% | 0.09% | 4.12% | -0.76% | 14.79% |
| 2024 | 0.53% | 1.80% | 3.31% | -2.59% | 2.09% | 1.40% | 3.12% | 3.35% | 1.40% | -1.71% | 3.61% | -5.18% | 11.25% |
| 2023 | 3.25% | -3.62% | 2.61% | 1.75% | -3.53% | 2.43% | 1.77% | -1.77% | -3.39% | -0.63% | 5.93% | 2.66% | 7.14% |
| 2022 | -2.56% | 0.10% | 2.14% | -2.71% | -0.77% | -4.85% | 4.54% | -2.52% | -7.19% | 5.17% | 4.35% | -2.17% | -7.07% |
| 2021 | 0.38% | 2.15% | 0.65% | -3.21% | 3.88% | -1.40% | 5.58% | 8.03% |
Benchmark Metrics
Defense 2025 has an annualized alpha of 3.20%, beta of 0.39, and R2 of 0.44 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since June 30, 2021.
- This portfolio participated in 56.22% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 51.58% of its upside - more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- Beta of 0.39 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.44 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R2 of 0.44 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior - treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 3.20%
- Beta
- 0.39
- R²
- 0.44
- Upside Capture
- 51.58%
- Downside Capture
- 56.22%
Expense Ratio
Defense 2025 has an expense ratio of 0.23%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Defense 2025 ranks 18 for risk / return — in the bottom 18% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Defense 2025 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.52 | 2.01 | -0.49 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.09 | 2.71 | -0.62 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.27 | 1.36 | -0.09 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.75 | 2.69 | -0.93 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 4.74 | 12.34 | -7.61 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AMLP Alerian MLP ETF | 48 | 1.59 | 2.22 | 1.27 | 2.10 | 6.93 |
IAUM iShares Gold Trust Micro | 32 | 1.08 | 1.46 | 1.22 | 1.44 | 3.64 |
SPLV Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF | 15 | 0.35 | 0.56 | 1.06 | 0.46 | 1.11 |
TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF | 43 | 1.28 | 1.95 | 1.23 | 2.22 | 6.71 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 14 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 1.06 | 0.38 | 0.94 |
XLP State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF | 16 | 0.42 | 0.69 | 1.08 | 0.55 | 1.07 |
XLRE Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund | 26 | 0.80 | 1.15 | 1.14 | 1.30 | 3.56 |
XLV State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF | 34 | 1.14 | 1.80 | 1.20 | 1.63 | 3.92 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Defense 2025 provided a 3.19% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 3.19% | 3.26% | 3.03% | 2.99% | 3.38% | 2.76% | 3.03% | 2.88% | 3.15% | 2.73% | 2.82% | 2.51% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
AMLP Alerian MLP ETF | 7.62% | 8.36% | 7.70% | 7.86% | 7.70% | 8.55% | 12.31% | 9.12% | 9.29% | 7.97% | 8.09% | 9.84% |
IAUM iShares Gold Trust Micro | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SPLV Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF | 2.17% | 2.04% | 1.88% | 2.45% | 2.11% | 1.51% | 2.12% | 2.08% | 2.18% | 2.03% | 2.03% | 2.28% |
TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF | 3.77% | 3.46% | 2.52% | 2.73% | 6.96% | 4.28% | 1.17% | 1.75% | 2.71% | 2.07% | 1.48% | 0.34% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.60% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
XLP State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF | 2.61% | 2.75% | 2.77% | 2.63% | 2.47% | 2.28% | 2.50% | 2.57% | 3.04% | 2.62% | 2.53% | 2.52% |
XLRE Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund | 3.13% | 3.45% | 3.43% | 3.31% | 3.70% | 2.61% | 3.15% | 3.06% | 3.78% | 3.25% | 4.22% | 1.09% |
XLV State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF | 1.64% | 1.60% | 1.67% | 1.59% | 1.47% | 1.33% | 1.49% | 2.17% | 1.57% | 1.47% | 1.60% | 1.43% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Defense 2025. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Defense 2025 was 15.47%, occurring on Oct 10, 2022. Recovery took 344 trading sessions.
The current Defense 2025 drawdown is 5.85%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bear market2022 | -15.47%Oct 2022 | 5mo 22d | 1y 4mo | 1y 10moApr 2022 - Feb 2024 |
2025 selloff2025 | -7.92%Apr 2025 | 5d | 4mo 14d | 4mo 19dApr 2025 - Aug 2025 |
2026 pullback2026 | -7.69%Mar 2026 | 20d | — | 3mo 8dMar 2026 - now |
2024 pullback2024 | -6.12%Dec 2024 | 17d | 1mo 18d | 2mo 5dDec 2024 - Feb 2025 |
Bear market2022 | -4.59%Feb 2022 | 1mo 22d | 1mo 4d | 2mo 26dJan 2022 - Mar 2022 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 8 assets, with an effective number of assets of 8.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.70 | 1.56 | 1.55 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.55, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
Defense 2025 correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.31 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.46 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jun 30, 2021 | 0.57 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. XLV has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.59, while TLT has the lowest at 0.08.
Asset Correlations Table
| IAUM | TLT | AMLP | TIP | XLP | XLV | XLRE | SPLV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IAUM | 1.00 | 0.25 | 0.14 | 0.36 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| TLT | 0.25 | 1.00 | -0.03 | 0.75 | 0.16 | 0.14 | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| AMLP | 0.14 | -0.03 | 1.00 | 0.11 | 0.26 | 0.27 | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| TIP | 0.36 | 0.75 | 0.11 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.18 | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| XLP | 0.10 | 0.16 | 0.26 | 0.20 | 1.00 | 0.58 | 0.58 | 0.81 |
| XLV | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.27 | 0.18 | 0.58 | 1.00 | 0.59 | 0.72 |
| XLRE | 0.16 | 0.27 | 0.36 | 0.32 | 0.58 | 0.59 | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| SPLV | 0.14 | 0.19 | 0.38 | 0.25 | 0.81 | 0.72 | 0.75 | 1.00 |
Find what Defense 2025 is missing
See which holdings overlap, where Defense 2025 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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