Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
^GSPC S&P 500 Index | 14% | |
BSJQ Invesco BulletShares 2026 High Yield Corp Bond ETF | High Yield Bonds | 6.50% |
CORP PIMCO Investment Grade Corporate Bond Index ETF | Corporate Bonds | 30% |
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF | Emerging Markets Diversified | 7% |
GDX VanEck Gold Miners ETF | Gold, Precious Metals | 2.80% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | Gold, Precious Metals | 21.75% |
RSPG Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Energy ETF | Energy Equities, S&P 500 | 2.80% |
SLV iShares Silver Trust | Precious Metals | 7.25% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds, Long-Term Bond | 6.50% |
VPU Vanguard Utilities ETF | Utilities Equities | 1.40% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Manu's All Weather Defensive Plan, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Aug 9, 2018, corresponding to the inception date of BSJQ
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -0.11% | 2.78% | -0.42% | 4.03% | 27.10% | 18.38% | 10.55% | 12.70% |
Portfolio Manu's All Weather Defensive Plan | 0.02% | -0.04% | 5.22% | 12.29% | 33.45% | 18.04% | 10.46% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
CORP PIMCO Investment Grade Corporate Bond Index ETF | -0.16% | 1.03% | 0.33% | 0.82% | 8.15% | 5.06% | 1.11% | 2.90% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.24% | 0.34% | 0.34% | -2.42% | 4.06% | -3.00% | -5.82% | -1.38% |
BSJQ Invesco BulletShares 2026 High Yield Corp Bond ETF | 0.00% | 0.80% | 0.96% | 2.35% | 7.67% | 7.24% | 3.96% | — |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | -0.18% | -5.14% | 10.30% | 18.42% | 46.72% | 32.89% | 21.77% | 13.80% |
SLV iShares Silver Trust | 1.01% | -4.97% | 7.23% | 52.06% | 136.66% | 44.20% | 24.16% | 16.19% |
^GSPC S&P 500 Index | -0.11% | 2.78% | -0.42% | 4.03% | 27.10% | 18.38% | 10.55% | 12.70% |
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF | 0.46% | 6.62% | 10.69% | 18.27% | 48.55% | 18.02% | 4.91% | 8.21% |
RSPG Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Energy ETF | -0.17% | 0.51% | 29.85% | 38.54% | 53.92% | 15.69% | 24.61% | 9.98% |
GDX VanEck Gold Miners ETF | 1.06% | 6.57% | 15.88% | 32.11% | 101.43% | 43.86% | 25.13% | 16.96% |
VPU Vanguard Utilities ETF | -0.36% | 0.81% | 10.37% | 5.23% | 26.02% | 13.63% | 10.75% | 10.06% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Aug 10, 2018, Manu's All Weather Defensive Plan's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.92%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 6.3 years.
Historically, 65% of months were positive and 35% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +8.3%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -7.3%. The longest winning streak lasted 14 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Manu's All Weather Defensive Plan closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 24, 2020 with a return of +3.8%, while the worst single day was Jan 30, 2026 at -6.0%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5.36% | 5.12% | -6.75% | 1.88% | 5.22% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 3.44% | 1.42% | 2.51% | 0.61% | 1.12% | 2.92% | 0.39% | 3.27% | 6.36% | 1.65% | 3.15% | 2.74% | 33.76% |
| 2024 | -1.25% | 0.51% | 4.54% | -0.54% | 3.46% | 0.35% | 2.83% | 1.62% | 3.15% | -0.11% | 0.17% | -2.77% | 12.36% |
| 2023 | 5.08% | -4.98% | 5.33% | 1.05% | -2.07% | 0.91% | 2.47% | -1.74% | -4.21% | 0.48% | 5.90% | 2.70% | 10.68% |
| 2022 | -2.29% | 1.17% | 0.31% | -5.46% | -0.53% | -4.64% | 2.48% | -3.76% | -5.02% | 0.86% | 7.71% | -0.47% | -9.94% |
| 2021 | -1.14% | -1.59% | -0.58% | 2.80% | 3.23% | -1.30% | 0.72% | -0.17% | -2.71% | 2.76% | -1.00% | 1.84% | 2.69% |
Benchmark Metrics
Manu's All Weather Defensive Plan has an annualized alpha of 6.92%, beta of 0.33, and R² of 0.36 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since August 10, 2018.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (49.98%) than losses (39.09%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- Beta of 0.33 may look defensive, but with R² of 0.36 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index — low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R² of 0.36 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior — treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 6.92%
- Beta
- 0.33
- R²
- 0.36
- Upside Capture
- 49.98%
- Downside Capture
- 39.09%
Expense Ratio
Manu's All Weather Defensive Plan has an expense ratio of 0.30%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Manu's All Weather Defensive Plan ranks 54 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.72 | 2.23 | +0.49 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.19 | 3.12 | +0.08 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.55 | 1.42 | +0.14 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 3.63 | 4.05 | -0.41 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 13.45 | 17.91 | -4.46 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CORP PIMCO Investment Grade Corporate Bond Index ETF | 40 | 1.84 | 2.66 | 1.33 | 2.78 | 9.68 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 11 | 0.45 | 0.71 | 1.08 | 0.36 | 0.78 |
BSJQ Invesco BulletShares 2026 High Yield Corp Bond ETF | 97 | 4.61 | 8.39 | 2.28 | 7.90 | 66.82 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 39 | 1.82 | 2.24 | 1.34 | 3.06 | 10.54 |
SLV iShares Silver Trust | 54 | 2.58 | 2.48 | 1.45 | 3.64 | 10.46 |
^GSPC S&P 500 Index | 79 | 2.23 | 3.12 | 1.42 | 4.05 | 17.91 |
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF | 76 | 2.93 | 3.80 | 1.55 | 4.51 | 17.80 |
RSPG Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Energy ETF | 75 | 2.75 | 3.47 | 1.43 | 6.97 | 19.32 |
GDX VanEck Gold Miners ETF | 60 | 2.55 | 2.69 | 1.39 | 4.58 | 15.86 |
VPU Vanguard Utilities ETF | 44 | 2.00 | 2.68 | 1.34 | 3.56 | 8.76 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Manu's All Weather Defensive Plan provided a 2.37% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.37% | 2.40% | 2.44% | 2.24% | 1.88% | 1.42% | 1.52% | 1.73% | 1.56% | 1.35% | 1.26% | 1.44% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
CORP PIMCO Investment Grade Corporate Bond Index ETF | 4.80% | 4.77% | 4.74% | 4.12% | 3.28% | 2.51% | 2.90% | 3.25% | 3.18% | 3.08% | 2.91% | 3.14% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.52% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
BSJQ Invesco BulletShares 2026 High Yield Corp Bond ETF | 5.93% | 6.10% | 6.58% | 6.58% | 5.58% | 4.27% | 4.64% | 4.59% | 2.39% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SLV iShares Silver Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
^GSPC S&P 500 Index | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF | 2.01% | 2.22% | 2.43% | 2.63% | 2.50% | 1.99% | 1.45% | 2.76% | 2.24% | 1.89% | 1.89% | 2.49% |
RSPG Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Energy ETF | 2.01% | 2.60% | 2.43% | 2.84% | 3.43% | 2.37% | 3.15% | 2.15% | 2.18% | 2.55% | 1.14% | 2.80% |
GDX VanEck Gold Miners ETF | 0.64% | 0.74% | 1.19% | 1.61% | 1.66% | 1.67% | 0.53% | 0.67% | 0.50% | 0.76% | 0.26% | 0.85% |
VPU Vanguard Utilities ETF | 2.51% | 2.73% | 3.02% | 3.49% | 2.98% | 2.70% | 3.17% | 2.83% | 3.23% | 3.18% | 3.19% | 3.63% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Manu's All Weather Defensive Plan. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Manu's All Weather Defensive Plan was 19.93%, occurring on Mar 19, 2020. Recovery took 50 trading sessions.
The current Manu's All Weather Defensive Plan drawdown is 6.18%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -19.93% | Feb 24, 2020 | 19 | Mar 19, 2020 | 50 | Jun 1, 2020 | 69 |
| -18.88% | Nov 15, 2021 | 231 | Oct 14, 2022 | 348 | Mar 6, 2024 | 579 |
| -10.87% | Jan 29, 2026 | 40 | Mar 26, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -7.07% | Aug 7, 2020 | 33 | Sep 23, 2020 | 70 | Jan 4, 2021 | 103 |
| -6.5% | Apr 3, 2025 | 4 | Apr 8, 2025 | 11 | Apr 24, 2025 | 15 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 10 assets, with an effective number of assets of 5.64, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | TLT | RSPG | VPU | CORP | GLD | SLV | GDX | BSJQ | EEM | ^GSPC | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | -0.07 | 0.45 | 0.43 | 0.23 | 0.07 | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.68 | 0.68 | 1.00 | 0.53 |
| TLT | -0.07 | 1.00 | -0.22 | 0.13 | 0.77 | 0.27 | 0.14 | 0.19 | 0.12 | -0.07 | -0.07 | 0.32 |
| RSPG | 0.45 | -0.22 | 1.00 | 0.22 | -0.01 | 0.08 | 0.18 | 0.15 | 0.36 | 0.41 | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| VPU | 0.43 | 0.13 | 0.22 | 1.00 | 0.29 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 0.24 | 0.36 | 0.24 | 0.43 | 0.39 |
| CORP | 0.23 | 0.77 | -0.01 | 0.29 | 1.00 | 0.31 | 0.23 | 0.29 | 0.42 | 0.19 | 0.23 | 0.55 |
| GLD | 0.07 | 0.27 | 0.08 | 0.16 | 0.31 | 1.00 | 0.77 | 0.78 | 0.14 | 0.23 | 0.07 | 0.77 |
| SLV | 0.20 | 0.14 | 0.18 | 0.17 | 0.23 | 0.77 | 1.00 | 0.75 | 0.20 | 0.35 | 0.20 | 0.78 |
| GDX | 0.21 | 0.19 | 0.15 | 0.24 | 0.29 | 0.78 | 0.75 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.33 | 0.21 | 0.75 |
| BSJQ | 0.68 | 0.12 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.42 | 0.14 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 1.00 | 0.54 | 0.68 | 0.53 |
| EEM | 0.68 | -0.07 | 0.41 | 0.24 | 0.19 | 0.23 | 0.35 | 0.33 | 0.54 | 1.00 | 0.68 | 0.60 |
| ^GSPC | 1.00 | -0.07 | 0.45 | 0.43 | 0.23 | 0.07 | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.68 | 0.68 | 1.00 | 0.53 |
| Portfolio | 0.53 | 0.32 | 0.35 | 0.39 | 0.55 | 0.77 | 0.78 | 0.75 | 0.53 | 0.60 | 0.53 | 1.00 |