Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
LHX L3Harris Technologies, Inc. | Industrials | 23.75% |
MCD McDonald's Corporation | Consumer Cyclical | 23.75% |
MRK Merck & Co., Inc. | Healthcare | 23.75% |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | 23.75% |
TWLO Twilio Inc. | Communication Services | 5% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in CTO, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jun 23, 2016, corresponding to the inception date of TWLO
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.62% | 0.64% | -0.30% | 1.33% | 25.06% | 18.43% | 10.57% | 12.82% |
Portfolio CTO | -0.22% | -3.30% | 3.39% | 12.05% | 42.04% | 20.27% | 16.05% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
MCD McDonald's Corporation | 0.83% | -5.61% | 1.85% | 6.58% | 4.19% | 5.34% | 8.42% | 11.94% |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | 0.69% | -13.43% | -23.15% | -20.65% | 26.97% | 23.27% | 8.90% | 35.42% |
LHX L3Harris Technologies, Inc. | -1.11% | -1.04% | 22.36% | 20.96% | 69.86% | 24.10% | 13.71% | 18.93% |
MRK Merck & Co., Inc. | -0.41% | 5.55% | 17.41% | 42.45% | 55.21% | 6.10% | 14.55% | 12.25% |
TWLO Twilio Inc. | -3.69% | -0.26% | -12.24% | 9.54% | 35.71% | 27.92% | -19.46% | — |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jun 24, 2016, CTO's average daily return is +0.11%, while the average monthly return is +2.17%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 2.7 years.
Historically, 61% of months were positive and 39% were negative. The best month was Aug 2020 with a return of +27.1%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -13.5%. The longest winning streak lasted 8 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, CTO closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 24, 2020 with a return of +11.8%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -14.7%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.07% | 5.18% | -5.08% | -0.50% | 3.39% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 1.76% | -8.11% | -2.76% | 2.58% | 6.77% | -1.89% | 2.14% | 4.01% | 9.75% | 1.16% | 4.20% | 2.70% | 23.32% |
| 2024 | -4.10% | 2.65% | -1.84% | -0.25% | -1.55% | 2.28% | 3.63% | 2.26% | 6.72% | -2.22% | 10.89% | 1.69% | 21.01% |
| 2023 | 11.19% | 5.61% | -0.30% | -3.01% | 1.79% | 11.55% | -2.27% | -2.83% | -4.20% | -4.82% | 8.95% | 7.22% | 30.42% |
| 2022 | -3.47% | 0.05% | 6.47% | -5.56% | -0.61% | -3.09% | 8.61% | -5.77% | -4.66% | 9.90% | -3.82% | -8.44% | -11.68% |
| 2021 | -1.05% | -3.60% | 5.66% | 3.15% | -2.06% | 4.27% | 2.10% | 1.55% | -0.11% | 15.57% | -4.74% | 0.50% | 21.66% |
Benchmark Metrics
CTO has an annualized alpha of 15.69%, beta of 0.88, and R² of 0.52 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since June 24, 2016.
- This portfolio captured 119.55% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 55.67% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 15.69% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- With beta of 0.88 and R² of 0.52, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index — much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.
- Alpha
- 15.69%
- Beta
- 0.88
- R²
- 0.52
- Upside Capture
- 119.55%
- Downside Capture
- 55.67%
Expense Ratio
CTO has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
CTO ranks 59 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.39 | 1.84 | +0.56 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.27 | 2.53 | +0.75 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.41 | 1.35 | +0.07 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 6.93 | 3.83 | +3.10 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 22.23 | 16.98 | +5.25 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MCD McDonald's Corporation | 37 | 0.26 | 0.50 | 1.06 | 0.53 | 1.20 |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | 52 | 0.55 | 1.07 | 1.13 | 1.61 | 4.12 |
LHX L3Harris Technologies, Inc. | 92 | 2.97 | 3.81 | 1.49 | 7.54 | 20.93 |
MRK Merck & Co., Inc. | 80 | 1.98 | 2.73 | 1.35 | 4.11 | 11.71 |
TWLO Twilio Inc. | 55 | 0.71 | 1.23 | 1.17 | 1.62 | 3.75 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
CTO provided a 1.52% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.52% | 1.69% | 1.82% | 1.66% | 1.62% | 1.73% | 1.71% | 1.50% | 1.62% | 1.70% | 1.93% | 2.04% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
MCD McDonald's Corporation | 2.35% | 2.35% | 2.34% | 2.10% | 2.15% | 1.96% | 2.35% | 2.39% | 2.36% | 2.23% | 2.97% | 2.91% |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
LHX L3Harris Technologies, Inc. | 1.35% | 1.64% | 2.21% | 2.17% | 2.15% | 1.91% | 1.80% | 1.45% | 1.86% | 1.55% | 2.01% | 2.23% |
MRK Merck & Co., Inc. | 2.71% | 3.12% | 3.14% | 2.72% | 2.52% | 3.41% | 3.03% | 2.48% | 2.60% | 3.36% | 3.14% | 3.43% |
TWLO Twilio Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the CTO. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the CTO was 39.98%, occurring on Mar 18, 2020. Recovery took 58 trading sessions.
The current CTO drawdown is 5.76%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -39.98% | Feb 20, 2020 | 20 | Mar 18, 2020 | 58 | Jun 10, 2020 | 78 |
| -22.83% | Dec 18, 2024 | 75 | Apr 8, 2025 | 108 | Sep 12, 2025 | 183 |
| -20.95% | Nov 5, 2021 | 291 | Jan 3, 2023 | 109 | Jun 9, 2023 | 400 |
| -16.02% | Jul 6, 2023 | 82 | Oct 30, 2023 | 40 | Dec 27, 2023 | 122 |
| -14.89% | Sep 1, 2020 | 5 | Sep 8, 2020 | 54 | Nov 23, 2020 | 59 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.38, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | MRK | TWLO | LHX | MCD | TSLA | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.30 | 0.46 | 0.38 | 0.41 | 0.48 | 0.64 |
| MRK | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.05 | 0.24 | 0.30 | 0.04 | 0.40 |
| TWLO | 0.46 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.34 | 0.44 |
| LHX | 0.38 | 0.24 | 0.14 | 1.00 | 0.29 | 0.13 | 0.49 |
| MCD | 0.41 | 0.30 | 0.14 | 0.29 | 1.00 | 0.13 | 0.45 |
| TSLA | 0.48 | 0.04 | 0.34 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 1.00 | 0.78 |
| Portfolio | 0.64 | 0.40 | 0.44 | 0.49 | 0.45 | 0.78 | 1.00 |