Asset Allocation
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in DUST NUGT ARB, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Dec 8, 2010, corresponding to the inception date of DUST
Returns By Period
As of Apr 2, 2026, the DUST NUGT ARB returned 2.45% Year-To-Date and 3.95% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio DUST NUGT ARB | 0.32% | 1.68% | 2.45% | 4.27% | 1.52% | -2.11% | 0.03% | 3.95% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
DUST Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 2X Shares | -9.22% | 30.85% | -37.04% | -55.84% | -86.70% | -63.51% | -51.99% | -58.91% |
NUGT Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 2X Shares | -2.75% | -22.08% | 8.65% | 27.18% | 224.78% | 68.14% | 29.15% | -0.32% |
USD=X USD Cash | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 0.23% | -9.77% | -17.68% | -18.09% | 45.61% | 47.33% | 13.60% | 35.51% |
SQQQ ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ | -0.21% | 6.93% | 13.75% | 7.42% | -55.21% | -49.54% | -42.72% | -52.78% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X | 1.59% | -8.80% | -1.52% | -8.84% | -15.76% | -23.39% | -29.12% | -15.69% |
TMV Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bear 3X | -1.58% | 8.67% | 0.19% | 8.10% | 11.72% | 15.74% | 16.36% | -2.05% |
SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares | -0.15% | 10.29% | 12.37% | 6.88% | -41.12% | -36.59% | -31.64% | -40.00% |
SPXL Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares | 0.24% | -11.17% | -13.85% | -11.42% | 32.41% | 38.15% | 17.57% | 25.75% |
DRV Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3x Shares | -1.32% | 20.43% | -6.09% | 5.60% | -3.40% | -17.01% | -17.30% | -28.01% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Dec 9, 2010, DUST NUGT ARB's average daily return is +0.02%, while the average monthly return is +0.46%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 12.6 years.
Historically, 56% of months were positive and 44% were negative. The best month was Mar 2020 with a return of +26.9%, while the worst month was Feb 2016 at -7.2%. The longest winning streak lasted 9 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, DUST NUGT ARB closed higher 34% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 24, 2020 with a return of +17.0%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -7.9%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.02% | -2.37% | 3.85% | 0.03% | 2.45% | ||||||||
| 2025 | -0.02% | -0.14% | -2.03% | 5.78% | -0.58% | -1.12% | 0.26% | -1.58% | -5.10% | 1.07% | 0.79% | -0.16% | -3.12% |
| 2024 | -0.22% | -0.49% | 1.18% | -0.57% | 1.23% | 0.51% | -0.10% | -0.08% | -0.70% | 0.16% | 0.61% | -1.67% | -0.19% |
| 2023 | -1.48% | 2.94% | -0.68% | 0.43% | 0.14% | -1.11% | 0.04% | 0.78% | -2.14% | 0.76% | -0.68% | -3.57% | -4.63% |
| 2022 | 0.15% | -0.14% | 2.89% | -1.86% | 1.56% | -4.88% | -0.74% | 2.59% | 0.80% | 1.98% | 0.38% | 3.31% | 5.91% |
| 2021 | 1.26% | -0.30% | -0.25% | -0.58% | -0.60% | 0.47% | 0.29% | 0.05% | 1.10% | -0.49% | 0.69% | -0.76% | 0.85% |
Benchmark Metrics
DUST NUGT ARB has an annualized alpha of 3.92%, beta of 0.17, and R² of 0.05 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since December 09, 2010.
- This portfolio captured 2.13% of S&P 500 Index gains and tended to rise during its downturns (downside capture of -41.37%) — a profile typical of hedging or uncorrelated assets.
- Beta of 0.17 may look defensive, but with R² of 0.05 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index — low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R² of 0.05 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index — capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 3.92%
- Beta
- 0.17
- R²
- 0.05
- Upside Capture
- 2.13%
- Downside Capture
- -41.37%
Expense Ratio
DUST NUGT ARB has an expense ratio of -1.05%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
DUST NUGT ARB ranks 4 for risk / return — in the bottom 4% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.18 | 0.88 | -0.70 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 0.48 | 1.37 | -0.89 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.06 | 1.21 | -0.15 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.47 | 1.39 | -1.86 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.71 | 6.43 | -7.14 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DUST Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 2X Shares | 1 | -0.94 | -2.49 | 0.74 | -0.95 | -1.29 |
NUGT Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 2X Shares | 90 | 2.47 | 2.46 | 1.36 | 4.19 | 13.29 |
USD=X USD Cash | — | — | — | — | — | — |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 41 | 0.68 | 1.36 | 1.19 | 1.32 | 3.99 |
SQQQ ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ | 2 | -0.82 | -1.10 | 0.85 | -0.75 | -0.86 |
TMF Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X | 4 | -0.47 | -0.45 | 0.95 | -0.59 | -0.94 |
TMV Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bear 3X | 20 | 0.35 | 0.76 | 1.08 | 0.48 | 0.85 |
SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares | 3 | -0.76 | -0.93 | 0.87 | -0.65 | -0.75 |
SPXL Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares | 35 | 0.60 | 1.17 | 1.18 | 1.04 | 4.10 |
DRV Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3x Shares | 12 | -0.07 | 0.26 | 1.03 | -0.08 | -0.11 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
DUST NUGT ARB provided a -3.37% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | -3.37% | -4.09% | -3.97% | -3.69% | -0.66% | -0.44% | -1.16% | -1.55% | -0.98% | -0.53% | 0.00% | -0.00% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
DUST Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bear 2X Shares | 10.36% | 12.51% | 4.99% | 4.47% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.60% | 2.50% | 0.37% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NUGT Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 2X Shares | 0.28% | 0.22% | 1.79% | 1.67% | 0.70% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.63% | 0.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
USD=X USD Cash | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 0.73% | 0.65% | 1.27% | 1.26% | 0.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% |
SQQQ ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ | 6.00% | 9.36% | 10.23% | 8.01% | 0.28% | 0.00% | 2.15% | 2.92% | 1.47% | 0.14% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X | 3.96% | 4.06% | 4.29% | 2.82% | 1.62% | 0.13% | 2.23% | 0.94% | 1.49% | 0.41% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TMV Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bear 3X | 2.73% | 2.85% | 3.41% | 3.87% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.37% | 1.60% | 0.62% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares | 3.26% | 4.93% | 6.18% | 5.66% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.51% | 1.74% | 0.58% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SPXL Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares | 0.78% | 0.69% | 0.74% | 0.98% | 0.32% | 0.11% | 0.22% | 0.84% | 1.02% | 3.88% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
DRV Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3x Shares | 2.99% | 2.88% | 4.57% | 5.35% | 0.38% | 0.00% | 0.58% | 1.71% | 0.42% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the DUST NUGT ARB. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the DUST NUGT ARB was 14.45%, occurring on Jun 26, 2013. Recovery took 113 trading sessions.
The current DUST NUGT ARB drawdown is 8.02%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -14.45% | Jun 7, 2013 | 20 | Jun 26, 2013 | 113 | Oct 17, 2013 | 133 |
| -12.43% | Jun 3, 2022 | 12 | Jun 14, 2022 | 167 | Nov 28, 2022 | 179 |
| -12.33% | Mar 18, 2020 | 6 | Mar 23, 2020 | 1 | Mar 24, 2020 | 7 |
| -11.75% | Mar 14, 2023 | 1052 | Jan 28, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -10.76% | Apr 22, 2020 | 134 | Sep 2, 2020 | 457 | Dec 3, 2021 | 591 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 11 assets, with an effective number of assets of 0.24, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | USD=X | TMF | TMV | NUGT | DUST | DRN | DRV | TQQQ | SQQQ | SPXS | SPXL | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.00 | -0.23 | 0.23 | 0.18 | -0.18 | 0.60 | -0.60 | 0.90 | -0.90 | -1.00 | 1.00 | -0.09 |
| USD=X | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| TMF | -0.23 | 0.00 | 1.00 | -0.99 | 0.14 | -0.14 | 0.03 | -0.03 | -0.15 | 0.15 | 0.21 | -0.21 | 0.01 |
| TMV | 0.23 | 0.00 | -0.99 | 1.00 | -0.14 | 0.14 | -0.03 | 0.03 | 0.15 | -0.15 | -0.21 | 0.21 | -0.01 |
| NUGT | 0.18 | 0.00 | 0.14 | -0.14 | 1.00 | -0.99 | 0.18 | -0.19 | 0.14 | -0.14 | -0.17 | 0.17 | -0.15 |
| DUST | -0.18 | 0.00 | -0.14 | 0.14 | -0.99 | 1.00 | -0.19 | 0.19 | -0.14 | 0.14 | 0.17 | -0.17 | 0.13 |
| DRN | 0.60 | 0.00 | 0.03 | -0.03 | 0.18 | -0.19 | 1.00 | -0.98 | 0.42 | -0.42 | -0.55 | 0.55 | -0.09 |
| DRV | -0.60 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.03 | -0.19 | 0.19 | -0.98 | 1.00 | -0.43 | 0.42 | 0.55 | -0.55 | 0.08 |
| TQQQ | 0.90 | 0.00 | -0.15 | 0.15 | 0.14 | -0.14 | 0.42 | -0.43 | 1.00 | -0.99 | -0.85 | 0.85 | -0.12 |
| SQQQ | -0.90 | 0.00 | 0.15 | -0.15 | -0.14 | 0.14 | -0.42 | 0.42 | -0.99 | 1.00 | 0.85 | -0.85 | 0.12 |
| SPXS | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.21 | -0.21 | -0.17 | 0.17 | -0.55 | 0.55 | -0.85 | 0.85 | 1.00 | -0.99 | 0.12 |
| SPXL | 1.00 | 0.00 | -0.21 | 0.21 | 0.17 | -0.17 | 0.55 | -0.55 | 0.85 | -0.85 | -0.99 | 1.00 | -0.12 |
| Portfolio | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.01 | -0.01 | -0.15 | 0.13 | -0.09 | 0.08 | -0.12 | 0.12 | 0.12 | -0.12 | 1.00 |