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Jan 2026 Conservative Baseline
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Jan 2026 Conservative Baseline, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is never rebalanced.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Jun 14, 2018, corresponding to the inception date of FLDR

Returns By Period


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.72%-4.45%-3.95%-2.02%16.73%16.96%10.34%12.24%
Portfolio
Jan 2026 Conservative Baseline
0.01%0.09%0.80%1.93%4.51%5.46%3.60%
JPST
JPMorgan Ultra-Short Income ETF
0.01%0.06%0.71%1.84%4.39%5.12%3.50%
PULS
PGIM Ultra Short Bond ETF
0.04%0.18%0.93%2.03%4.74%5.68%3.98%
MINT
PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity Active ETF
0.05%0.26%0.96%2.09%4.56%5.53%3.33%2.68%
FLDR
Fidelity Low Duration Bond Factor ETF
-0.04%-0.13%0.61%1.75%4.34%5.50%3.57%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jun 15, 2018, Jan 2026 Conservative Baseline's average daily return is +0.01%, while the average monthly return is +0.25%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 23.1 years.

Historically, 84% of months were positive and 16% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +1.9%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -2.8%. The longest winning streak lasted 42 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 10 months.

On a daily basis, Jan 2026 Conservative Baseline closed higher 70% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 13, 2020 with a return of +2.0%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -2.9%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20260.36%0.38%0.05%0.01%0.80%
20250.44%0.53%0.29%0.23%0.46%0.48%0.39%0.54%0.40%0.43%0.35%0.39%5.03%
20240.58%0.42%0.51%0.36%0.59%0.44%0.61%0.57%0.54%0.23%0.49%0.35%5.84%
20230.77%0.29%0.19%0.57%0.39%0.47%0.53%0.49%0.33%0.36%0.71%0.74%5.99%
2022-0.09%-0.21%-0.44%-0.20%-0.01%-0.25%0.27%0.25%-0.12%-0.03%0.68%0.47%0.33%
20210.04%-0.06%-0.06%0.08%0.10%0.01%0.13%0.02%-0.02%-0.12%-0.02%-0.02%0.10%

Benchmark Metrics

Jan 2026 Conservative Baseline has an annualized alpha of 2.80%, beta of 0.03, and R² of 0.07 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since June 15, 2018.

  • This portfolio captured 7.41% of S&P 500 Index gains and tended to rise during its downturns (downside capture of -2.65%) — a profile typical of hedging or uncorrelated assets.
  • Beta of 0.03 may look defensive, but with R² of 0.07 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index — low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
  • R² of 0.07 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index — capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.

Alpha
2.80%
Beta
0.03
0.07
Upside Capture
7.41%
Downside Capture
-2.65%

Expense Ratio

Jan 2026 Conservative Baseline has an expense ratio of 0.21%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Jan 2026 Conservative Baseline ranks 100 for risk / return — in the top 100% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.


Jan 2026 Conservative Baseline Risk / Return Rank: 100100
Overall Rank
Jan 2026 Conservative Baseline Sharpe Ratio Rank: 100100
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Jan 2026 Conservative Baseline Sortino Ratio Rank: 100100
Sortino Ratio Rank
Jan 2026 Conservative Baseline Omega Ratio Rank: 100100
Omega Ratio Rank
Jan 2026 Conservative Baseline Calmar Ratio Rank: 9999
Calmar Ratio Rank
Jan 2026 Conservative Baseline Martin Ratio Rank: 100100
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

9.42

0.92

+8.51

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

16.11

1.41

+14.69

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

4.98

1.21

+3.76

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

12.71

1.41

+11.30

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

80.54

6.61

+73.93


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
JPST
JPMorgan Ultra-Short Income ETF
997.2313.863.4014.8894.20
PULS
PGIM Ultra Short Bond ETF
999.2318.345.2913.8695.78
MINT
PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity Active ETF
10012.6924.859.7828.78237.55
FLDR
Fidelity Low Duration Bond Factor ETF
984.456.662.165.8730.56

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

Jan 2026 Conservative Baseline Sharpe ratios as of Apr 2, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 9.42
  • 5-Year: 6.45
  • All Time: 1.65

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.00 to 1.70, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio is in the top 25%. This signifies superior risk-adjusted performance, meaning the portfolio is delivering strong returns for the level of risk taken compared to most others.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Jan 2026 Conservative Baseline compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Jan 2026 Conservative Baseline provided a 4.50% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio4.50%4.63%5.38%5.11%2.03%0.72%1.42%2.68%1.91%0.64%0.34%0.22%
JPST
JPMorgan Ultra-Short Income ETF
4.34%4.43%5.16%4.79%1.83%0.73%1.43%2.69%2.07%0.96%0.00%0.00%
PULS
PGIM Ultra Short Bond ETF
4.68%4.78%5.62%5.48%2.30%1.19%1.85%2.69%1.87%0.00%0.00%0.00%
MINT
PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity Active ETF
4.44%4.63%5.22%4.91%1.90%0.44%1.15%2.65%2.32%1.61%1.35%0.88%
FLDR
Fidelity Low Duration Bond Factor ETF
4.55%4.66%5.50%5.28%2.09%0.51%1.22%2.69%1.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Jan 2026 Conservative Baseline. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Jan 2026 Conservative Baseline was 6.48%, occurring on Mar 20, 2020. Recovery took 54 trading sessions.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-6.48%Mar 6, 202011Mar 20, 202054Jun 8, 202065
-1.44%Sep 17, 2021187Jun 14, 2022129Dec 16, 2022316
-0.36%Apr 4, 20255Apr 10, 202510Apr 25, 202515
-0.27%Mar 14, 20236Mar 21, 20239Apr 3, 202315
-0.21%Oct 24, 20185Oct 30, 201843Jan 3, 201948

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkMINTPULSFLDRJPSTPortfolio
Benchmark1.000.070.090.020.080.06
MINT0.071.000.330.260.360.54
PULS0.090.331.000.280.380.62
FLDR0.020.260.281.000.340.81
JPST0.080.360.380.341.000.65
Portfolio0.060.540.620.810.651.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Jun 15, 2018