Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
TMF Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X | Leveraged Bonds, Leveraged | 45% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | Leveraged Equities, Leveraged | 15% |
UPRO ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 | Leveraged Equities, S&P 500 | 40% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in HFEA, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Feb 11, 2010, corresponding to the inception date of TQQQ
Returns By Period
As of Apr 3, 2026, the HFEA returned -8.31% Year-To-Date and 13.24% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio HFEA | 0.79% | -9.27% | -8.31% | -10.41% | 12.84% | 11.53% | -3.81% | 13.24% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
UPRO ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 | 0.21% | -11.26% | -13.96% | -11.61% | 31.98% | 37.93% | 17.21% | 25.67% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X | 1.59% | -8.80% | -1.52% | -8.84% | -15.76% | -23.39% | -29.12% | -15.69% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 0.23% | -9.77% | -17.68% | -18.09% | 45.61% | 47.33% | 13.60% | 35.51% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Feb 12, 2010, HFEA's average daily return is +0.10%, while the average monthly return is +2.09%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 2.8 years.
Historically, 65% of months were positive and 35% were negative. The best month was Nov 2023 with a return of +29.6%, while the worst month was Apr 2022 at -27.7%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 6 months.
On a daily basis, HFEA closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Nov 10, 2022 with a return of +15.4%, while the worst single day was Mar 18, 2020 at -16.8%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.22% | 3.04% | -13.99% | 2.21% | -8.31% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 3.28% | 3.79% | -12.24% | -6.57% | 6.13% | 12.82% | 1.18% | 1.70% | 10.77% | 5.64% | -1.45% | -4.60% | 19.14% |
| 2024 | -1.71% | 5.07% | 4.86% | -16.06% | 11.88% | 8.53% | 3.72% | 4.29% | 5.09% | -9.77% | 11.40% | -11.04% | 12.21% |
| 2023 | 22.16% | -10.73% | 14.23% | 1.28% | -1.29% | 10.83% | 1.27% | -8.22% | -18.22% | -12.21% | 29.56% | 19.14% | 42.19% |
| 2022 | -15.48% | -8.47% | -2.57% | -27.71% | -5.81% | -16.48% | 19.86% | -14.37% | -26.43% | 1.96% | 16.61% | -15.95% | -67.66% |
| 2021 | -6.42% | -4.18% | 0.53% | 12.11% | -0.35% | 11.48% | 8.95% | 4.75% | -12.31% | 15.53% | 2.88% | 2.48% | 36.87% |
Benchmark Metrics
HFEA has an annualized alpha of 11.22%, beta of 1.14, and R² of 0.43 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since February 12, 2010.
- This portfolio captured 195.72% of S&P 500 Index gains and 141.34% of its losses — amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
- R² of 0.43 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior — treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 11.22%
- Beta
- 1.14
- R²
- 0.43
- Upside Capture
- 195.72%
- Downside Capture
- 141.34%
Expense Ratio
HFEA has a high expense ratio of 1.00%, indicating above-average management fees. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
HFEA ranks 9 for risk / return — in the bottom 9% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.36 | 0.88 | -0.52 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 0.74 | 1.37 | -0.63 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.10 | 1.21 | -0.11 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.58 | 1.39 | -0.81 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 1.69 | 6.43 | -4.75 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UPRO ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 | 35 | 0.59 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.03 | 4.06 |
TMF Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X | 4 | -0.47 | -0.45 | 0.95 | -0.59 | -0.94 |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 41 | 0.68 | 1.36 | 1.19 | 1.32 | 3.99 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
HFEA provided a 2.30% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.30% | 2.26% | 2.49% | 1.75% | 1.02% | 0.08% | 1.05% | 0.60% | 0.94% | 0.18% | 0.05% | 0.14% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
UPRO ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 | 1.01% | 0.84% | 0.93% | 0.74% | 0.52% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.41% | 0.63% | 0.00% | 0.12% | 0.34% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X | 3.96% | 4.06% | 4.29% | 2.82% | 1.62% | 0.13% | 2.23% | 0.94% | 1.49% | 0.41% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 0.73% | 0.65% | 1.27% | 1.26% | 0.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the HFEA. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the HFEA was 71.31%, occurring on Oct 27, 2023. The portfolio has not yet recovered.
The current HFEA drawdown is 44.72%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -71.31% | Dec 28, 2021 | 462 | Oct 27, 2023 | — | — | — |
| -43.84% | Mar 9, 2020 | 8 | Mar 18, 2020 | 50 | May 29, 2020 | 58 |
| -26.12% | Aug 30, 2018 | 80 | Dec 24, 2018 | 58 | Mar 20, 2019 | 138 |
| -23.37% | Sep 3, 2020 | 41 | Oct 30, 2020 | 57 | Jan 25, 2021 | 98 |
| -21.98% | Mar 25, 2015 | 130 | Sep 28, 2015 | 128 | Apr 1, 2016 | 258 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 3 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.60, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | TMF | TQQQ | UPRO | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | -0.25 | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.68 |
| TMF | -0.25 | 1.00 | -0.19 | -0.25 | 0.42 |
| TQQQ | 0.90 | -0.19 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 0.71 |
| UPRO | 1.00 | -0.25 | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.69 |
| Portfolio | 0.68 | 0.42 | 0.71 | 0.69 | 1.00 |