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VTIVX vs. VSMPX
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

VTIVX vs. VSMPX - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Vanguard Target Retirement 2045 Fund (VTIVX) and Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund Institutional Plus Shares (VSMPX). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

The year-to-date returns for both stocks are quite close, with VTIVX having a 10.42% return and VSMPX slightly lower at 10.35%. Over the past 10 years, VTIVX has underperformed VSMPX with an annualized return of 11.66%, while VSMPX has yielded a comparatively higher 15.31% annualized return.


VTIVX

1D
-0.16%
1M
1.48%
YTD
10.42%
6M
9.85%
1Y
24.38%
3Y*
17.98%
5Y*
9.39%
10Y*
11.66%

VSMPX

1D
-0.34%
1M
0.56%
YTD
10.35%
6M
9.20%
1Y
25.96%
3Y*
21.19%
5Y*
12.38%
10Y*
15.31%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

VTIVX vs. VSMPX - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
VTIVX
Vanguard Target Retirement 2045 Fund
10.42%20.01%13.68%19.72%-17.38%16.16%16.31%24.94%-7.89%19.16%
VSMPX
Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund Institutional Plus Shares
10.35%17.15%23.26%26.53%-19.50%25.74%21.01%30.79%-5.16%21.19%

Correlation

The correlation between VTIVX and VSMPX is 0.96 - these two move nearly in lockstep. At this level, holding both provides almost no diversification benefit. If you already own one, adding the other does little to reduce portfolio risk.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.96

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.95

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.96

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.96

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 4, 2016

0.96

The correlation between VTIVX and VSMPX has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.95 to 0.96 - a consistent structural relationship.

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Return for Risk

VTIVX vs. VSMPX — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

VTIVX
VTIVX Risk / Return Rank: 7171
Overall Rank
VTIVX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 7373
Sharpe Ratio Rank
VTIVX Sortino Ratio Rank: 6969
Sortino Ratio Rank
VTIVX Omega Ratio Rank: 6969
Omega Ratio Rank
VTIVX Calmar Ratio Rank: 7070
Calmar Ratio Rank
VTIVX Martin Ratio Rank: 7575
Martin Ratio Rank

VSMPX
VSMPX Risk / Return Rank: 6565
Overall Rank
VSMPX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 6262
Sharpe Ratio Rank
VSMPX Sortino Ratio Rank: 5656
Sortino Ratio Rank
VSMPX Omega Ratio Rank: 5757
Omega Ratio Rank
VSMPX Calmar Ratio Rank: 7070
Calmar Ratio Rank
VSMPX Martin Ratio Rank: 7979
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

VTIVX vs. VSMPX - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Vanguard Target Retirement 2045 Fund (VTIVX) and Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund Institutional Plus Shares (VSMPX). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


VTIVXVSMPXDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+0.15

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+0.25

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.42

1.38

+0.04

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

3.06

3.06

0.00

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

13.22

13.69

-0.47

VTIVX vs. VSMPX - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current VTIVX Sharpe Ratio is 2.28, which is comparable to the VSMPX Sharpe Ratio of 2.13. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of VTIVX and VSMPX, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Drawdowns

VTIVX vs. VSMPX - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum VTIVX drawdown since its inception was -51.69%, which is greater than VSMPX's maximum drawdown of -34.97%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for VTIVX and VSMPX.


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Drawdown Indicators


VTIVXVSMPXDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-51.69%

-34.97%

-16.72%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-8.30%

-8.92%

+0.62%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-13.40%

-19.36%

+5.96%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-25.10%

-25.35%

+0.25%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-31.42%

-34.97%

+3.55%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-0.60%

-1.47%

+0.87%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-6.32%

-4.58%

-1.74%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

1.92%

1.99%

-0.07%

Volatility

VTIVX vs. VSMPX - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Vanguard Target Retirement 2045 Fund (VTIVX) is 4.42%, while Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund Institutional Plus Shares (VSMPX) has a volatility of 4.77%. This indicates that VTIVX experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than VSMPX based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


VTIVXVSMPXDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

4.42%

4.77%

-0.35%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

9.21%

10.04%

-0.83%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

11.16%

12.83%

-1.67%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

13.59%

17.45%

-3.86%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

14.83%

18.46%

-3.63%

VTIVX vs. VSMPX - Expense Ratio Comparison

VTIVX has a 0.08% expense ratio, which is higher than VSMPX's 0.02% expense ratio. However, both funds are considered low-cost compared to the broader market, where average expense ratios usually range from 0.3% to 0.9%.


Dividends

VTIVX vs. VSMPX - Dividend Comparison

VTIVX's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.26%, more than VSMPX's 1.03% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
VSMPX
Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund Institutional Plus Shares
1.03%1.13%1.27%1.43%1.67%1.22%1.43%1.78%2.05%1.73%1.95%0.00%
VTIVX
Vanguard Target Retirement 2045 Fund
2.26%2.50%2.36%2.27%2.75%15.40%1.90%2.23%2.52%0.04%2.47%3.29%

Frequently Asked Questions


With a correlation of 0.96, VTIVX and VSMPX move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.

VSMPX has higher volatility (4.77%) compared to VTIVX (4.42%). In terms of maximum drawdown, VTIVX dropped -51.69% vs VSMPX's -34.97%.

VTIVX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.28 vs 2.13), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right allocation for VTIVX and VSMPX

Add both to a portfolio and optimize allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.

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