VGPMX vs. GLD

Last updated Jun 21, 2026

VGPMX (Vanguard Global Capital Cycles Fund) and GLD (SPDR Gold Shares) are both funds - VGPMX is a Global Equities fund managed by Vanguard, while GLD is a Gold fund tracking the LBMA Gold Price PM. Over the past 10 years, VGPMX returned 10.79%/yr vs 12.13%/yr for GLD. A 0.50 correlation means they provide meaningful diversification when combined. VGPMX charges 0.36%/yr vs 0.40%/yr for GLD.

Performance

VGPMX vs. GLD - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Vanguard Global Capital Cycles Fund (VGPMX) and SPDR Gold Shares (GLD). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, VGPMX achieves a 15.14% return, which is significantly higher than GLD's -2.32% return. Over the past 10 years, VGPMX has underperformed GLD with an annualized return of 10.79%, while GLD has yielded a comparatively higher 12.13% annualized return.

VGPMX

• 1D: -0.43%
• 1M: -1.19%
• YTD: 15.14%
• 6M: 18.01%
• 1Y: 56.43%
• 3Y*: 27.69%
• 5Y*: 20.97%
• 10Y*: 10.79%

GLD

• 1D: -0.38%
• 1M: -7.16%
• YTD: -2.32%
• 6M: -2.98%
• 1Y: 24.83%
• 3Y*: 28.69%
• 5Y*: 18.61%
• 10Y*: 12.13%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

VGPMX vs. GLD - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
VGPMX Vanguard Global Capital Cycles Fund	15.14%	65.96%	5.78%	10.06%	7.34%	19.50%	17.21%	20.67%	-32.26%	13.75%
GLD SPDR Gold Shares	-2.32%	63.68%	26.66%	12.69%	-0.77%	-4.15%	24.81%	17.86%	-1.94%	12.81%

Correlation

The correlation between VGPMX and GLD is 0.57, which is moderate. They share some common price drivers but move independently often enough to provide real diversification benefit when combined.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.57
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period	0.52
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	0.48
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	0.48
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Nov 18, 2004	0.50

The correlation between VGPMX and GLD has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.48 to 0.57 - a consistent structural relationship.

Return for Risk

VGPMX vs. GLD — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

VGPMX

VGPMX Risk / Return Rank: 90
VGPMX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 96
VGPMX Sortino Ratio Rank: 86
VGPMX Omega Ratio Rank: 86
VGPMX Calmar Ratio Rank: 90
VGPMX Martin Ratio Rank: 92

GLD

GLD Risk / Return Rank: 25
GLD Sharpe Ratio Rank: 26
GLD Sortino Ratio Rank: 24
GLD Omega Ratio Rank: 29
GLD Calmar Ratio Rank: 22
GLD Martin Ratio Rank: 23

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

VGPMX vs. GLD - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Vanguard Global Capital Cycles Fund (VGPMX) and SPDR Gold Shares (GLD). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.

	VGPMX	GLD	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	3.09	0.91	+2.19
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	3.77	1.27	+2.50
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	1.53	1.19	+0.34
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	4.29	1.02	+3.27
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	17.10	2.80	+14.30

VGPMX vs. GLD - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current VGPMX Sharpe Ratio is 3.09, which is higher than the GLD Sharpe Ratio of 0.91. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of VGPMX and GLD, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Drawdowns

VGPMX vs. GLD - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum VGPMX drawdown since its inception was -78.85%, which is greater than GLD's maximum drawdown of -45.56%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for VGPMX and GLD.

Drawdown Indicators

	VGPMX	GLD	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-78.85%	-45.56%	-33.29%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-12.80%	-24.46%	+11.66%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-14.63%	-24.46%	+9.83%
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	-22.71%	-24.46%	+1.75%
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	-54.59%	-24.46%	-30.13%
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-4.95%	-21.94%	+16.99%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-34.52%	-16.16%	-18.36%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	3.21%	8.86%	-5.65%

Volatility

VGPMX vs. GLD - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Vanguard Global Capital Cycles Fund (VGPMX) is 7.07%, while SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) has a volatility of 8.24%. This indicates that VGPMX experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than GLD based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	VGPMX	GLD	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	7.07%	8.24%	-1.17%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	15.07%	24.32%	-9.25%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	17.74%	27.50%	-9.76%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	17.51%	18.22%	-0.71%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	20.89%	16.11%	+4.78%

VGPMX vs. GLD - Expense Ratio Comparison

VGPMX has a 0.36% expense ratio, which is lower than GLD's 0.40% expense ratio.

Dividends

VGPMX vs. GLD - Dividend Comparison

VGPMX's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.39%, while GLD has not paid dividends to shareholders.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
GLD SPDR Gold Shares	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
VGPMX Vanguard Global Capital Cycles Fund	3.39%	2.59%	2.68%	3.22%	3.27%	3.26%	2.03%	2.39%	3.02%	0.02%	1.72%	2.32%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both VGPMX and GLD in my portfolio?

VGPMX and GLD have a correlation of 0.57, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, VGPMX or GLD?

GLD has higher volatility (8.24%) compared to VGPMX (7.07%). In terms of maximum drawdown, VGPMX dropped -78.85% vs GLD's -45.56%.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

VGPMX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (3.09 vs 0.91), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.