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VGLT vs. TMF
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility

Performance

VGLT vs. TMF - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF (VGLT) and Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X (TMF). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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VGLT vs. TMF - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
VGLT
Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF
-0.14%5.35%-6.28%3.27%-29.34%-4.98%17.57%14.30%-1.54%8.64%
TMF
Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X
-3.05%-2.94%-35.95%-13.01%-72.60%-19.80%39.02%34.75%-11.01%22.72%

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, VGLT achieves a -0.14% return, which is significantly higher than TMF's -3.05% return. Over the past 10 years, VGLT has outperformed TMF with an annualized return of -0.87%, while TMF has yielded a comparatively lower -15.81% annualized return.


VGLT

1D
-0.05%
1M
-3.18%
YTD
-0.14%
6M
-0.79%
1Y
-0.40%
3Y*
-1.59%
5Y*
-4.89%
10Y*
-0.87%

TMF

1D
-0.28%
1M
-10.73%
YTD
-3.05%
6M
-9.57%
1Y
-17.24%
3Y*
-23.47%
5Y*
-29.34%
10Y*
-15.81%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

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VGLT vs. TMF - Expense Ratio Comparison

VGLT has a 0.03% expense ratio, which is lower than TMF's 1.09% expense ratio.


Return for Risk

VGLT vs. TMF — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

VGLT
VGLT Risk / Return Rank: 1111
Overall Rank
VGLT Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1111
Sharpe Ratio Rank
VGLT Sortino Ratio Rank: 1010
Sortino Ratio Rank
VGLT Omega Ratio Rank: 1010
Omega Ratio Rank
VGLT Calmar Ratio Rank: 1313
Calmar Ratio Rank
VGLT Martin Ratio Rank: 1313
Martin Ratio Rank

TMF
TMF Risk / Return Rank: 44
Overall Rank
TMF Sharpe Ratio Rank: 44
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TMF Sortino Ratio Rank: 44
Sortino Ratio Rank
TMF Omega Ratio Rank: 44
Omega Ratio Rank
TMF Calmar Ratio Rank: 33
Calmar Ratio Rank
TMF Martin Ratio Rank: 55
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

VGLT vs. TMF - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF (VGLT) and Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X (TMF). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


VGLTTMFDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

-0.04

-0.51

+0.48

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

0.02

-0.52

+0.54

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.00

0.94

+0.06

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

0.04

-0.56

+0.60

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

0.09

-0.89

+0.98

VGLT vs. TMF - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current VGLT Sharpe Ratio is -0.04, which is higher than the TMF Sharpe Ratio of -0.51. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of VGLT and TMF, offering insights into how both investments have performed under varying market conditions. These values are calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


VGLTTMFDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-0.04

-0.51

+0.48

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

-0.34

-0.63

+0.29

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

-0.06

-0.36

+0.30

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.19

-0.13

+0.32

Correlation

The correlation between VGLT and TMF is 0.98, which is considered to be high. That indicates a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Having highly-correlated positions in a portfolio may signal a lack of diversification, potentially leading to increased risk during market downturns.


Dividends

VGLT vs. TMF - Dividend Comparison

VGLT's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.54%, more than TMF's 4.02% yield.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
VGLT
Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF
4.54%4.44%4.33%3.33%2.84%1.82%2.15%2.46%2.71%2.55%2.69%3.21%
TMF
Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X
4.02%4.06%4.29%2.82%1.62%0.13%2.23%0.94%1.49%0.41%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

VGLT vs. TMF - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum VGLT drawdown since its inception was -46.18%, smaller than the maximum TMF drawdown of -92.61%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for VGLT and TMF.


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Drawdown Indicators


VGLTTMFDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-46.18%

-92.61%

+46.43%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-8.48%

-27.13%

+18.65%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-40.98%

-88.37%

+47.39%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-46.18%

-92.61%

+46.43%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-36.66%

-91.97%

+55.31%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-14.83%

-43.14%

+28.31%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

3.86%

16.98%

-13.12%

Volatility

VGLT vs. TMF - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF (VGLT) is 3.45%, while Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X (TMF) has a volatility of 10.85%. This indicates that VGLT experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than TMF based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


VGLTTMFDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

3.45%

10.85%

-7.40%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

6.00%

19.49%

-13.49%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

10.32%

33.77%

-23.45%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

14.59%

46.81%

-32.22%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

13.84%

44.00%

-30.16%