UVIX vs. TMF
UVIX (2x Long VIX Futures ETF) and TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - UVIX is a Volatility fund tracking the Long VIX Futures Index (200% Daily), while TMF is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 3 years, UVIX returned -80.80%/yr vs -21.07%/yr for TMF. At a correlation of -0.09, they often move in opposite directions. UVIX charges 2.78%/yr vs 1.01%/yr for TMF.
Performance
UVIX vs. TMF - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, UVIX achieves a -36.43% return, which is significantly lower than TMF's -4.67% return.
UVIX
- 1D
- 10.67%
- 1M
- -21.26%
- YTD
- -36.43%
- 6M
- -38.89%
- 1Y
- -86.69%
- 3Y*
- -80.80%
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
TMF
- 1D
- -0.62%
- 1M
- 4.96%
- YTD
- -4.67%
- 6M
- -5.95%
- 1Y
- -2.80%
- 3Y*
- -21.07%
- 5Y*
- -31.33%
- 10Y*
- -16.87%
UVIX vs. TMF - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UVIX 2x Long VIX Futures ETF | -36.43% | -83.21% | -75.24% | -95.28% | -61.86% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | -4.67% | -2.94% | -35.95% | -13.01% | -59.28% |
Correlation
The correlation between UVIX and TMF is -0.13, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.13 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | -0.11 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Mar 30, 2022 | -0.09 |
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Return for Risk
UVIX vs. TMF — Risk / Return Rank
UVIX
TMF
UVIX vs. TMF - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for 2x Long VIX Futures ETF (UVIX) and Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| UVIX | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.67 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -1.79 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.80 | 1.01 | -0.20 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -1.01 | -0.11 | -0.90 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.36 | -0.23 | -1.13 |
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Drawdowns
UVIX vs. TMF - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum UVIX drawdown since its inception was -99.98%, which is greater than TMF's maximum drawdown of -92.89%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for UVIX and TMF.
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Drawdown Indicators
| UVIX | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -99.98% | -92.89% | -7.09% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -86.20% | -26.51% | -59.69% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -99.36% | -56.09% | -43.27% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | — | -88.81% | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -92.89% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -99.97% | -92.11% | -7.86% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -88.58% | -43.76% | -44.82% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 67.73% | 12.26% | +55.47% |
Volatility
UVIX vs. TMF - Volatility Comparison
2x Long VIX Futures ETF (UVIX) has a higher volatility of 33.94% compared to Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) at 6.50%. This indicates that UVIX's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than TMF based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| UVIX | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 33.94% | 6.50% | +27.44% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 87.40% | 19.35% | +68.05% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 112.72% | 27.91% | +84.81% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 136.13% | 46.59% | +89.54% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 136.13% | 43.86% | +92.27% |
UVIX vs. TMF - Expense Ratio Comparison
UVIX has a 2.78% expense ratio, which is higher than TMF's 1.01% expense ratio.
Dividends
UVIX vs. TMF - Dividend Comparison
UVIX has not paid dividends to shareholders, while TMF's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.09%.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | 4.09% | 4.06% | 4.29% | 2.82% | 1.62% | 0.13% | 2.23% | 0.94% | 1.49% | 0.41% |
UVIX 2x Long VIX Futures ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
UVIX and TMF have a correlation of -0.13, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
UVIX has higher volatility (33.94%) compared to TMF (6.50%). In terms of maximum drawdown, UVIX dropped -99.98% vs TMF's -92.89%.
On 3-year performance, TMF leads with -21.07% vs -80.80% for UVIX. On fees, TMF is cheaper at 1.01% per year. On volatility, TMF has been the lower-risk option at 6.50%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 3-year period, TMF has performed better with a -21.07% return vs -80.80%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
TMF is cheaper with a 1.01% expense ratio, compared with 2.78% for UVIX.
TMF has the higher dividend yield at 4.09%, compared with 0.00% for UVIX.
UVIX is categorized as Volatility, while TMF is Leveraged Bonds. UVIX tracks Long VIX Futures Index (200% Daily), while TMF tracks ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). They also come from different issuers: Volatility Shares and Direxion. Their fees differ too: 2.78% for UVIX and 1.01% for TMF.
TMF currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.10 vs -0.77), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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