UPAR vs. TLT

Last updated Jun 3, 2026

UPAR (UPAR Ultra Risk Parity ETF) and TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - UPAR is a Diversified Portfolio fund tracking the NONE, while TLT is a Government Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. Both are passively managed. Over the past 3 years, UPAR returned 11.10%/yr vs -1.67%/yr for TLT. A 0.67 correlation means they provide meaningful diversification when combined. UPAR charges 0.65%/yr vs 0.15%/yr for TLT.

Performance

UPAR vs. TLT - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in UPAR Ultra Risk Parity ETF (UPAR) and iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, UPAR achieves a 11.14% return, which is significantly higher than TLT's 0.13% return.

UPAR

• 1D: 1.04%
• 1M: 2.43%
• YTD: 11.14%
• 6M: 11.62%
• 1Y: 30.32%
• 3Y*: 11.10%
• 5Y*: —
• 10Y*: —

TLT

• 1D: 0.21%
• 1M: 0.44%
• YTD: 0.13%
• 6M: -1.35%
• 1Y: 5.16%
• 3Y*: -1.67%
• 5Y*: -5.98%
• 10Y*: -1.62%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

UPAR vs. TLT - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023	2022
UPAR UPAR Ultra Risk Parity ETF	11.14%	23.87%	-2.26%	5.73%	-30.30%
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF	0.13%	4.25%	-8.05%	2.77%	-29.09%

Correlation

The correlation between UPAR and TLT is 0.64, which is moderate. They share some common price drivers but move independently often enough to provide real diversification benefit when combined.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.64
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period	0.73
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 5, 2022	0.67

The correlation between UPAR and TLT has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.64 to 0.73 - a consistent structural relationship.

Return for Risk

UPAR vs. TLT — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

UPAR

UPAR Risk / Return Rank: 60
UPAR Sharpe Ratio Rank: 67
UPAR Sortino Ratio Rank: 63
UPAR Omega Ratio Rank: 65
UPAR Calmar Ratio Rank: 53
UPAR Martin Ratio Rank: 52

TLT

TLT Risk / Return Rank: 16
TLT Sharpe Ratio Rank: 17
TLT Sortino Ratio Rank: 17
TLT Omega Ratio Rank: 16
TLT Calmar Ratio Rank: 15
TLT Martin Ratio Rank: 15

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

UPAR vs. TLT - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for UPAR Ultra Risk Parity ETF (UPAR) and iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

	UPAR	TLT	Difference
Sharpe ratio Return per unit of total volatility	2.25	0.53	+1.72
Sortino ratio Return per unit of downside risk	2.96	0.83	+2.12
Omega ratio Gain probability vs. loss probability	1.40	1.09	+0.31
Calmar ratio Return relative to maximum drawdown	2.69	0.55	+2.14
Martin ratio Return relative to average drawdown	8.94	1.38	+7.55
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month.

UPAR vs. TLT - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current UPAR Sharpe Ratio is 2.25, which is higher than the TLT Sharpe Ratio of 0.53. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of UPAR and TLT, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Sharpe Ratios by Period

	UPAR	TLT	Difference
Sharpe Ratio (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	2.25	0.53	+1.72
Sharpe Ratio (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	—	-0.38	—
Sharpe Ratio (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	—	-0.11	—
Sharpe Ratio (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history	-0.01	0.26	-0.27

Drawdowns

UPAR vs. TLT - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum UPAR drawdown since its inception was -39.00%, smaller than the maximum TLT drawdown of -48.35%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for UPAR and TLT.

Drawdown Indicators

	UPAR	TLT	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-39.00%	-48.35%	+9.35%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-11.13%	-7.58%	-3.55%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-18.73%	-19.18%	+0.45%
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	—	-43.70%	—
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	—	-48.35%	—
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-2.98%	-40.20%	+37.22%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-21.82%	-13.81%	-8.01%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	3.35%	3.02%	+0.33%

Volatility

UPAR vs. TLT - Volatility Comparison

UPAR Ultra Risk Parity ETF (UPAR) has a higher volatility of 4.62% compared to iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) at 2.84%. This indicates that UPAR's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than TLT based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	UPAR	TLT	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	4.62%	2.84%	+1.78%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	11.45%	6.60%	+4.85%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	13.56%	9.81%	+3.75%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	18.05%	15.87%	+2.18%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	18.05%	14.91%	+3.14%

UPAR vs. TLT - Expense Ratio Comparison

UPAR has a 0.65% expense ratio, which is higher than TLT's 0.15% expense ratio.

Dividends

UPAR vs. TLT - Dividend Comparison

UPAR's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.60%, less than TLT's 4.57% yield.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF	4.57%	4.43%	4.30%	3.38%	2.67%	1.50%	1.50%	2.27%	2.63%	2.43%	2.60%	2.61%
UPAR UPAR Ultra Risk Parity ETF	2.60%	3.28%	3.32%	3.04%	4.73%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both UPAR and TLT in my portfolio?

UPAR and TLT have a correlation of 0.64, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, UPAR or TLT?

UPAR has higher volatility (4.62%) compared to TLT (2.84%). In terms of maximum drawdown, UPAR dropped -39.00% vs TLT's -48.35%.

Which ETF is better, UPAR or TLT?

On 3-year performance, UPAR leads with 11.10% vs -1.67% for TLT. On fees, TLT is cheaper at 0.15% per year. On volatility, TLT has been the lower-risk option at 2.84%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Which ETF has performed better, UPAR or TLT?

Over the 3-year period, UPAR has performed better with a 11.10% return vs -1.67%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

Which ETF is cheaper, UPAR or TLT?

TLT is cheaper with a 0.15% expense ratio, compared with 0.65% for UPAR.

Which ETF pays a higher dividend yield, UPAR or TLT?

TLT has the higher dividend yield at 4.57%, compared with 2.60% for UPAR.

What is the main difference between UPAR and TLT?

UPAR is categorized as Diversified Portfolio, while TLT is Government Bonds. UPAR tracks NONE, while TLT tracks ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. They also come from different issuers: RPAR and iShares. Their fees differ too: 0.65% for UPAR and 0.15% for TLT.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

UPAR currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.25 vs 0.53), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.