UDN vs. TLT
UDN (Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund) and TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - UDN is a Currency fund tracking the Deutsche Bank Short USD Currency Portfolio Index, while TLT is a Government Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, UDN returned -0.44%/yr vs -1.62%/yr for TLT. At a 0.06 correlation, their price movements are largely independent. UDN charges 0.77%/yr vs 0.15%/yr for TLT.
Performance
UDN vs. TLT - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, UDN achieves a -0.27% return, which is significantly lower than TLT's 0.13% return. Over the past 10 years, UDN has outperformed TLT with an annualized return of -0.44%, while TLT has yielded a comparatively lower -1.62% annualized return.
UDN
- 1D
- -0.03%
- 1M
- -0.82%
- YTD
- -0.27%
- 6M
- 0.84%
- 1Y
- 0.95%
- 3Y*
- 3.73%
- 5Y*
- -0.62%
- 10Y*
- -0.44%
TLT
- 1D
- 0.21%
- 1M
- 0.44%
- YTD
- 0.13%
- 6M
- -1.35%
- 1Y
- 5.16%
- 3Y*
- -1.67%
- 5Y*
- -5.98%
- 10Y*
- -1.62%
UDN vs. TLT - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund | -0.27% | 12.37% | -4.53% | 4.88% | -7.96% | -7.03% | 6.20% | -0.97% | -5.02% | 9.50% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 0.13% | 4.25% | -8.05% | 2.77% | -31.23% | -4.60% | 18.15% | 14.12% | -1.61% | 9.18% |
Correlation
The correlation between UDN and TLT is 0.39, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.39 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.31 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.23 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.18 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Mar 2, 2007 | 0.06 |
Over the past year, UDN and TLT have become more correlated (0.39) than their long-term average of 0.06, meaning their price movements have been converging.
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Return for Risk
UDN vs. TLT — Risk / Return Rank
UDN
TLT
UDN vs. TLT - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund (UDN) and iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| UDN | TLT | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.16 | 0.53 | -0.37 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 0.27 | 0.83 | -0.56 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.03 | 1.09 | -0.06 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.38 | 0.55 | -0.17 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 0.82 | 1.38 | -0.57 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| UDN | TLT | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.16 | 0.53 | -0.37 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.08 | -0.38 | +0.29 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.06 | -0.11 | +0.04 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | -0.09 | 0.26 | -0.35 |
Drawdowns
UDN vs. TLT - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum UDN drawdown since its inception was -41.67%, smaller than the maximum TLT drawdown of -48.35%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for UDN and TLT.
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Drawdown Indicators
| UDN | TLT | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -41.67% | -48.35% | +6.68% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -4.54% | -7.58% | +3.04% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -8.59% | -19.18% | +10.59% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -22.50% | -43.70% | +21.20% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -25.72% | -48.35% | +22.63% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -27.46% | -40.20% | +12.74% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -20.61% | -13.81% | -6.80% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 2.10% | 3.02% | -0.92% |
Volatility
UDN vs. TLT - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund (UDN) is 1.25%, while iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) has a volatility of 2.84%. This indicates that UDN experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than TLT based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| UDN | TLT | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 1.25% | 2.84% | -1.59% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 4.23% | 6.60% | -2.37% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 6.13% | 9.81% | -3.68% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 7.42% | 15.87% | -8.45% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 6.92% | 14.91% | -7.99% |
UDN vs. TLT - Expense Ratio Comparison
UDN has a 0.77% expense ratio, which is higher than TLT's 0.15% expense ratio.
Dividends
UDN vs. TLT - Dividend Comparison
UDN's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.94%, less than TLT's 4.57% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.57% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.33% | 5.21% | 0.69% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.38% | 1.26% | 0.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
UDN and TLT have a correlation of 0.39, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
TLT has higher volatility (2.84%) compared to UDN (1.25%). In terms of maximum drawdown, UDN dropped -41.67% vs TLT's -48.35%.
On 10-year performance, UDN leads with -0.44% vs -1.62% for TLT. On fees, TLT is cheaper at 0.15% per year. On volatility, UDN has been the lower-risk option at 1.25%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, UDN has performed better with a -0.44% return vs -1.62%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
TLT is cheaper with a 0.15% expense ratio, compared with 0.77% for UDN.
TLT has the higher dividend yield at 4.57%, compared with 2.94% for UDN.
UDN is categorized as Currency, while TLT is Government Bonds. UDN tracks Deutsche Bank Short USD Currency Portfolio Index, while TLT tracks ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. They also come from different issuers: Invesco and iShares. Their fees differ too: 0.77% for UDN and 0.15% for TLT.
TLT currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.53 vs 0.16), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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