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UDN vs. TLT
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

UDN vs. TLT - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund (UDN) and iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, UDN achieves a -0.27% return, which is significantly lower than TLT's 0.13% return. Over the past 10 years, UDN has outperformed TLT with an annualized return of -0.44%, while TLT has yielded a comparatively lower -1.62% annualized return.


UDN

1D
-0.03%
1M
-0.82%
YTD
-0.27%
6M
0.84%
1Y
0.95%
3Y*
3.73%
5Y*
-0.62%
10Y*
-0.44%

TLT

1D
0.21%
1M
0.44%
YTD
0.13%
6M
-1.35%
1Y
5.16%
3Y*
-1.67%
5Y*
-5.98%
10Y*
-1.62%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

UDN vs. TLT - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
UDN
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund
-0.27%12.37%-4.53%4.88%-7.96%-7.03%6.20%-0.97%-5.02%9.50%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
0.13%4.25%-8.05%2.77%-31.23%-4.60%18.15%14.12%-1.61%9.18%

Correlation

The correlation between UDN and TLT is 0.39, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.39

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.31

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.23

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.18

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Mar 2, 2007

0.06

Over the past year, UDN and TLT have become more correlated (0.39) than their long-term average of 0.06, meaning their price movements have been converging.

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Return for Risk

UDN vs. TLT — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

UDN
UDN Risk / Return Rank: 1111
Overall Rank
UDN Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1111
Sharpe Ratio Rank
UDN Sortino Ratio Rank: 1010
Sortino Ratio Rank
UDN Omega Ratio Rank: 1010
Omega Ratio Rank
UDN Calmar Ratio Rank: 1313
Calmar Ratio Rank
UDN Martin Ratio Rank: 1212
Martin Ratio Rank

TLT
TLT Risk / Return Rank: 1616
Overall Rank
TLT Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1717
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TLT Sortino Ratio Rank: 1717
Sortino Ratio Rank
TLT Omega Ratio Rank: 1616
Omega Ratio Rank
TLT Calmar Ratio Rank: 1515
Calmar Ratio Rank
TLT Martin Ratio Rank: 1515
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

UDN vs. TLT - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund (UDN) and iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


UDNTLTDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

0.16

0.53

-0.37

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

0.27

0.83

-0.56

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.03

1.09

-0.06

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

0.38

0.55

-0.17

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

0.82

1.38

-0.57

UDN vs. TLT - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current UDN Sharpe Ratio is 0.16, which is lower than the TLT Sharpe Ratio of 0.53. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of UDN and TLT, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


UDNTLTDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.16

0.53

-0.37

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

-0.08

-0.38

+0.29

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

-0.06

-0.11

+0.04

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

-0.09

0.26

-0.35

Drawdowns

UDN vs. TLT - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum UDN drawdown since its inception was -41.67%, smaller than the maximum TLT drawdown of -48.35%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for UDN and TLT.


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Drawdown Indicators


UDNTLTDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-41.67%

-48.35%

+6.68%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-4.54%

-7.58%

+3.04%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-8.59%

-19.18%

+10.59%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-22.50%

-43.70%

+21.20%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-25.72%

-48.35%

+22.63%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-27.46%

-40.20%

+12.74%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-20.61%

-13.81%

-6.80%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

2.10%

3.02%

-0.92%

Volatility

UDN vs. TLT - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund (UDN) is 1.25%, while iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) has a volatility of 2.84%. This indicates that UDN experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than TLT based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


UDNTLTDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

1.25%

2.84%

-1.59%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

4.23%

6.60%

-2.37%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

6.13%

9.81%

-3.68%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

7.42%

15.87%

-8.45%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

6.92%

14.91%

-7.99%

UDN vs. TLT - Expense Ratio Comparison

UDN has a 0.77% expense ratio, which is higher than TLT's 0.15% expense ratio.


Dividends

UDN vs. TLT - Dividend Comparison

UDN's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.94%, less than TLT's 4.57% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
4.57%4.43%4.30%3.38%2.67%1.50%1.50%2.27%2.63%2.43%2.60%2.61%
UDN
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund
2.94%2.94%5.33%5.21%0.69%0.00%0.00%1.38%1.26%0.11%0.00%0.00%

Frequently Asked Questions


UDN and TLT have a correlation of 0.39, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

TLT has higher volatility (2.84%) compared to UDN (1.25%). In terms of maximum drawdown, UDN dropped -41.67% vs TLT's -48.35%.

On 10-year performance, UDN leads with -0.44% vs -1.62% for TLT. On fees, TLT is cheaper at 0.15% per year. On volatility, UDN has been the lower-risk option at 1.25%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 10-year period, UDN has performed better with a -0.44% return vs -1.62%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

TLT is cheaper with a 0.15% expense ratio, compared with 0.77% for UDN.

TLT has the higher dividend yield at 4.57%, compared with 2.94% for UDN.

UDN is categorized as Currency, while TLT is Government Bonds. UDN tracks Deutsche Bank Short USD Currency Portfolio Index, while TLT tracks ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. They also come from different issuers: Invesco and iShares. Their fees differ too: 0.77% for UDN and 0.15% for TLT.

TLT currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.53 vs 0.16), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right allocation for UDN and TLT

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