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SWERX vs. SPY
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

SWERX vs. SPY - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Schwab Target 2040 Fund (SWERX) and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, SWERX achieves a 9.28% return, which is significantly lower than SPY's 10.91% return. Over the past 10 years, SWERX has underperformed SPY with an annualized return of 10.19%, while SPY has yielded a comparatively higher 15.49% annualized return.


SWERX

1D
0.19%
1M
3.86%
YTD
9.28%
6M
9.85%
1Y
22.49%
3Y*
16.60%
5Y*
8.20%
10Y*
10.19%

SPY

1D
-0.70%
1M
5.05%
YTD
10.91%
6M
10.91%
1Y
27.98%
3Y*
22.35%
5Y*
13.83%
10Y*
15.49%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

SWERX vs. SPY - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
SWERX
Schwab Target 2040 Fund
9.28%17.71%12.74%19.06%-18.57%15.65%14.44%23.01%-9.11%20.48%
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
10.91%17.72%24.89%26.18%-18.18%28.73%18.33%31.22%-4.57%21.71%

Correlation

The correlation between SWERX and SPY is 0.94, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.94

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.93

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.93

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.94

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jul 5, 2005

0.95

The correlation between SWERX and SPY has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.93 to 0.95 - a consistent structural relationship.

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Return for Risk

SWERX vs. SPY — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

SWERX
SWERX Risk / Return Rank: 5959
Overall Rank
SWERX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 6060
Sharpe Ratio Rank
SWERX Sortino Ratio Rank: 5858
Sortino Ratio Rank
SWERX Omega Ratio Rank: 5757
Omega Ratio Rank
SWERX Calmar Ratio Rank: 5454
Calmar Ratio Rank
SWERX Martin Ratio Rank: 6464
Martin Ratio Rank

SPY
SPY Risk / Return Rank: 7070
Overall Rank
SPY Sharpe Ratio Rank: 7171
Sharpe Ratio Rank
SPY Sortino Ratio Rank: 6969
Sortino Ratio Rank
SPY Omega Ratio Rank: 7070
Omega Ratio Rank
SPY Calmar Ratio Rank: 6262
Calmar Ratio Rank
SPY Martin Ratio Rank: 7575
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

SWERX vs. SPY - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Schwab Target 2040 Fund (SWERX) and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


SWERXSPYDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-0.10

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-0.03

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.42

1.43

-0.01

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

2.82

3.16

-0.34

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

12.49

14.72

-2.23

SWERX vs. SPY - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current SWERX Sharpe Ratio is 2.28, which is comparable to the SPY Sharpe Ratio of 2.38. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of SWERX and SPY, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


SWERXSPYDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

2.28

2.38

-0.10

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.55

0.82

-0.27

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.69

0.87

-0.18

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.53

0.59

-0.05

Drawdowns

SWERX vs. SPY - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum SWERX drawdown since its inception was -48.24%, smaller than the maximum SPY drawdown of -55.19%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for SWERX and SPY.


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Drawdown Indicators


SWERXSPYDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-48.24%

-55.19%

+6.95%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-8.08%

-8.88%

+0.80%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-13.05%

-18.76%

+5.71%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-30.40%

-24.50%

-5.90%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-30.40%

-33.72%

+3.32%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

0.00%

-0.70%

+0.70%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-7.15%

-9.05%

+1.90%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

1.82%

1.91%

-0.09%

Volatility

SWERX vs. SPY - Volatility Comparison

Schwab Target 2040 Fund (SWERX) and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) have volatilities of 2.93% and 2.84%, respectively, indicating that both stocks experience similar levels of price fluctuations. This suggests that the risk associated with both stocks, as measured by volatility, is nearly the same. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


SWERXSPYDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

2.93%

2.84%

+0.09%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

7.92%

8.90%

-0.98%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

10.00%

11.83%

-1.83%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

14.99%

17.05%

-2.06%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

14.84%

17.94%

-3.10%

SWERX vs. SPY - Expense Ratio Comparison

SWERX has a 0.00% expense ratio, which is lower than SPY's 0.09% expense ratio. Despite the difference, both funds are considered low-cost compared to the broader market, where average expense ratios usually range from 0.3% to 0.9%.


Dividends

SWERX vs. SPY - Dividend Comparison

SWERX's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 6.58%, more than SPY's 0.98% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
0.98%1.07%1.21%1.40%1.65%1.20%1.52%1.75%2.04%1.80%2.03%2.06%
SWERX
Schwab Target 2040 Fund
6.58%7.19%5.00%3.83%8.31%6.96%3.33%7.69%8.57%4.13%6.76%10.85%

Frequently Asked Questions


With a correlation of 0.94, SWERX and SPY move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.

SWERX has higher volatility (2.93%) compared to SPY (2.84%). In terms of maximum drawdown, SWERX dropped -48.24% vs SPY's -55.19%.

SPY currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.38 vs 2.28), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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