QID vs. SPY
QID (ProShares UltraShort QQQ) and SPY (State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - QID is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the NASDAQ-100 Index (-200%), while SPY is a S&P 500 fund tracking the S&P 500 Index. Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, QID returned -39.47%/yr vs 15.70%/yr for SPY. At a correlation of -0.89, they often move in opposite directions. QID charges 0.95%/yr vs 0.09%/yr for SPY.
Performance
QID vs. SPY - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, QID achieves a -31.93% return, which is significantly lower than SPY's 9.74% return. Over the past 10 years, QID has underperformed SPY with an annualized return of -39.47%, while SPY has yielded a comparatively higher 15.70% annualized return.
QID
- 1D
- 0.22%
- 1M
- -6.88%
- YTD
- -31.93%
- 6M
- -30.64%
- 1Y
- -49.05%
- 3Y*
- -38.43%
- 5Y*
- -31.45%
- 10Y*
- -39.47%
SPY
- 1D
- -0.31%
- 1M
- 0.09%
- YTD
- 9.74%
- 6M
- 9.27%
- 1Y
- 26.65%
- 3Y*
- 21.27%
- 5Y*
- 13.51%
- 10Y*
- 15.70%
QID vs. SPY - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QID ProShares UltraShort QQQ | -31.93% | -34.97% | -34.06% | -57.19% | 66.30% | -44.93% | -69.71% | -49.57% | -9.90% | -44.00% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 9.74% | 17.72% | 24.89% | 26.18% | -18.18% | 28.73% | 18.33% | 31.22% | -4.57% | 21.71% |
Correlation
The correlation between QID and SPY is -0.93, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.93 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | -0.93 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.94 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.91 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jul 13, 2006 | -0.89 |
The correlation between QID and SPY has been stable across timeframes, ranging from -0.94 to -0.89 - a consistent structural relationship.
QID vs. SPY - Sectors Allocation Comparison
Sectors
QID
SPY
Financial Services
Basic Materials
-
Communication Services
-
Consumer Cyclical
-
Consumer Defensive
-
Energy
-
Healthcare
-
Industrials
-
Real Estate
-
Technology
-
Utilities
-
Financial Services
QID
SPY
Basic Materials
QID
-
SPY
Communication Services
QID
-
SPY
Consumer Cyclical
QID
-
SPY
Consumer Defensive
QID
-
SPY
Energy
QID
-
SPY
Healthcare
QID
-
SPY
Industrials
QID
-
SPY
Real Estate
QID
-
SPY
Technology
QID
-
SPY
Utilities
QID
-
SPY
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Return for Risk
QID vs. SPY — Risk / Return Rank
QID
SPY
QID vs. SPY - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares UltraShort QQQ (QID) and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| QID | SPY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -3.56 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -5.28 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.75 | 1.39 | -0.65 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -1.01 | 3.01 | -4.03 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.94 | 13.54 | -15.48 |
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Drawdowns
QID vs. SPY - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum QID drawdown since its inception was -99.99%, which is greater than SPY's maximum drawdown of -55.19%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for QID and SPY.
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Drawdown Indicators
| QID | SPY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -99.99% | -55.19% | -44.80% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -48.52% | -8.88% | -39.64% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -79.50% | -18.76% | -60.74% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -88.72% | -24.50% | -64.22% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -99.37% | -33.72% | -65.65% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -99.99% | -1.75% | -98.24% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -87.02% | -9.04% | -77.98% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 26.66% | 1.97% | +24.69% |
Volatility
QID vs. SPY - Volatility Comparison
ProShares UltraShort QQQ (QID) has a higher volatility of 16.52% compared to State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) at 4.64%. This indicates that QID's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than SPY based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| QID | SPY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 16.52% | 4.64% | +11.88% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 28.23% | 9.75% | +18.48% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 35.23% | 12.43% | +22.80% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 45.26% | 17.14% | +28.12% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 44.81% | 17.99% | +26.82% |
QID vs. SPY - Expense Ratio Comparison
QID has a 0.95% expense ratio, which is higher than SPY's 0.09% expense ratio.
Dividends
QID vs. SPY - Dividend Comparison
QID's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 7.63%, more than SPY's 1.01% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QID ProShares UltraShort QQQ | 7.63% | 6.25% | 7.99% | 5.63% | 0.15% | 0.00% | 0.92% | 2.54% | 1.38% | 0.08% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 1.01% | 1.07% | 1.21% | 1.40% | 1.65% | 1.20% | 1.52% | 1.75% | 2.04% | 1.80% | 2.03% | 2.06% |
Frequently Asked Questions
QID and SPY have a correlation of -0.93, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
QID has higher volatility (16.52%) compared to SPY (4.64%). In terms of maximum drawdown, QID dropped -99.99% vs SPY's -55.19%.
On 10-year performance, SPY leads with 15.70% vs -39.47% for QID. On fees, SPY is cheaper at 0.09% per year. On volatility, SPY has been the lower-risk option at 4.64%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, SPY has performed better with a 15.70% return vs -39.47%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
SPY is cheaper with a 0.09% expense ratio, compared with 0.95% for QID.
QID has the higher dividend yield at 7.63%, compared with 1.01% for SPY.
QID is categorized as Leveraged Equities, while SPY is S&P 500. QID tracks NASDAQ-100 Index (-200%), while SPY tracks S&P 500 Index. They also come from different issuers: ProShares and State Street. Their fees differ too: 0.95% for QID and 0.09% for SPY.
SPY currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.16 vs -1.40), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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