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PLW vs. TMF
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

PLW vs. TMF - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Invesco 1-30 Laddered Treasury ETF (PLW) and Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, PLW achieves a -0.55% return, which is significantly higher than TMF's -6.13% return. Over the past 10 years, PLW has outperformed TMF with an annualized return of -0.10%, while TMF has yielded a comparatively lower -16.56% annualized return.


PLW

1D
-0.33%
1M
0.34%
YTD
-0.55%
6M
-1.32%
1Y
4.34%
3Y*
0.89%
5Y*
-2.77%
10Y*
-0.10%

TMF

1D
-1.14%
1M
1.22%
YTD
-6.13%
6M
-11.63%
1Y
0.90%
3Y*
-20.78%
5Y*
-30.52%
10Y*
-16.56%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

PLW vs. TMF - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
PLW
Invesco 1-30 Laddered Treasury ETF
-0.55%5.84%-2.95%3.31%-19.98%-3.76%12.55%10.00%-0.28%4.96%
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
-6.13%-2.94%-35.95%-13.01%-72.60%-19.80%39.02%34.75%-11.01%22.72%

Correlation

The correlation between PLW and TMF is 0.98 - these two move nearly in lockstep. At this level, holding both provides almost no diversification benefit. If you already own one, adding the other does little to reduce portfolio risk.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.98

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.98

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.98

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.97

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Apr 17, 2009

0.96

The correlation between PLW and TMF has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.96 to 0.98 - a consistent structural relationship.

PLW vs. TMF - Sectors Allocation Comparison


Sectors
PLW
TMF

Financial Services

0.0%
18.7%

Basic Materials

-

-

Communication Services

-

-

Consumer Cyclical

-

-

Consumer Defensive

-

-

Energy

-

-

Healthcare

-

-

Industrials

-

-

Real Estate

-

-

Technology

-

-

Utilities

-

-

Financial Services

PLW
0.0%
TMF
18.7%

Basic Materials

PLW

-

TMF

-

Communication Services

PLW

-

TMF

-

Consumer Cyclical

PLW

-

TMF

-

Consumer Defensive

PLW

-

TMF

-

Energy

PLW

-

TMF

-

Healthcare

PLW

-

TMF

-

Industrials

PLW

-

TMF

-

Real Estate

PLW

-

TMF

-

Technology

PLW

-

TMF

-

Utilities

PLW

-

TMF

-

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Return for Risk

PLW vs. TMF — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

PLW
PLW Risk / Return Rank: 1919
Overall Rank
PLW Sharpe Ratio Rank: 2020
Sharpe Ratio Rank
PLW Sortino Ratio Rank: 1919
Sortino Ratio Rank
PLW Omega Ratio Rank: 1818
Omega Ratio Rank
PLW Calmar Ratio Rank: 1919
Calmar Ratio Rank
PLW Martin Ratio Rank: 2020
Martin Ratio Rank

TMF
TMF Risk / Return Rank: 99
Overall Rank
TMF Sharpe Ratio Rank: 99
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TMF Sortino Ratio Rank: 99
Sortino Ratio Rank
TMF Omega Ratio Rank: 99
Omega Ratio Rank
TMF Calmar Ratio Rank: 99
Calmar Ratio Rank
TMF Martin Ratio Rank: 99
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

PLW vs. TMF - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Invesco 1-30 Laddered Treasury ETF (PLW) and Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


PLWTMFDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+0.63

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+0.75

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.11

1.03

+0.09

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

0.80

0.03

+0.77

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

2.24

0.08

+2.16

PLW vs. TMF - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current PLW Sharpe Ratio is 0.66, which is higher than the TMF Sharpe Ratio of 0.03. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of PLW and TMF, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


PLWTMFDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.66

0.03

+0.63

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

-0.28

-0.66

+0.37

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

-0.01

-0.38

+0.37

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.31

-0.14

+0.45

Drawdowns

PLW vs. TMF - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum PLW drawdown since its inception was -32.70%, smaller than the maximum TMF drawdown of -92.89%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for PLW and TMF.


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Drawdown Indicators


PLWTMFDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-32.70%

-92.89%

+60.19%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-5.45%

-26.51%

+21.06%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-11.58%

-56.31%

+44.73%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-28.30%

-88.81%

+60.51%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-32.70%

-92.89%

+60.19%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-22.38%

-92.23%

+69.85%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-9.65%

-43.63%

+33.98%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

1.94%

11.49%

-9.55%

Volatility

PLW vs. TMF - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Invesco 1-30 Laddered Treasury ETF (PLW) is 2.04%, while Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) has a volatility of 8.09%. This indicates that PLW experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than TMF based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


PLWTMFDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

2.04%

8.09%

-6.05%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

4.53%

19.01%

-14.48%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

6.58%

28.76%

-22.18%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

9.86%

46.75%

-36.89%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

9.10%

43.92%

-34.82%

PLW vs. TMF - Expense Ratio Comparison

PLW has a 0.25% expense ratio, which is lower than TMF's 1.01% expense ratio.


Dividends

PLW vs. TMF - Dividend Comparison

PLW's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.83%, less than TMF's 4.15% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
PLW
Invesco 1-30 Laddered Treasury ETF
3.83%3.75%3.56%2.87%1.97%1.15%1.00%1.96%2.14%2.02%2.00%2.14%
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
4.15%4.06%4.29%2.82%1.62%0.13%2.23%0.94%1.49%0.41%0.00%0.00%

Frequently Asked Questions


With a correlation of 0.98, PLW and TMF move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.

TMF has higher volatility (8.09%) compared to PLW (2.04%). In terms of maximum drawdown, PLW dropped -32.70% vs TMF's -92.89%.

On 10-year performance, PLW leads with -0.10% vs -16.56% for TMF. On fees, PLW is cheaper at 0.25% per year. On volatility, PLW has been the lower-risk option at 2.04%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 10-year period, PLW has performed better with a -0.10% return vs -16.56%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

PLW is cheaper with a 0.25% expense ratio, compared with 1.01% for TMF.

TMF has the higher dividend yield at 4.15%, compared with 3.83% for PLW.

PLW is categorized as Government Bonds, while TMF is Leveraged Bonds. PLW tracks Ryan/NASDAQ 1-30 Year Treasury Laddered Index, while TMF tracks ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). They also come from different issuers: Invesco and Direxion. Their fees differ too: 0.25% for PLW and 1.01% for TMF.

PLW currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.66 vs 0.03), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

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