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NQ=F vs. TQQQ
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility

Performance

NQ=F vs. TQQQ - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in E-Mini Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ=F) and ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, NQ=F achieves a 16.06% return, which is significantly lower than TQQQ's 38.71% return. Over the past 10 years, NQ=F has underperformed TQQQ with an annualized return of 19.97%, while TQQQ has yielded a comparatively higher 40.49% annualized return.


NQ=F

1D
-1.07%
1M
-1.32%
6M
18.18%
YTD
16.06%
1Y
27.72%
3Y*
24.38%
5Y*
14.37%
10Y*
19.97%
ALL TIME*
8.34%

TQQQ

1D
-2.65%
1M
-4.68%
6M
46.96%
YTD
38.71%
1Y
71.21%
3Y*
54.16%
5Y*
17.51%
10Y*
40.49%
ALL TIME*
43.32%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Liquidity Comparison


PositionAvg. Volume Value (2W)Avg. Volume Value (1M)Avg. Volume Value (3M)
$16.70B$15.74B$17.43B
$5.00B$4.56B$5.34B

NQ=F vs. TQQQ - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
NQ=F
E-Mini Nasdaq 100 Futures
16.06%19.93%24.69%54.45%-32.46%26.66%47.22%38.20%-1.18%31.76%
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
38.71%34.35%58.27%198.04%-79.09%82.98%110.05%133.84%-19.79%118.06%

Correlation

The correlation between NQ=F and TQQQ is 0.98 - they have historically moved very closely together. At this level, their price movements offset little of one another.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Focuses on recent behavior, but can change the most.

0.98

Correlation (3Y)
Balances recent behavior with more history.

0.98

Correlation (5Y)
Shows whether the relationship held over a longer period.

0.99

Correlation (10Y)
Provides a long-term view across more market conditions.

0.98

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 11, 2010

0.97

The correlation between NQ=F and TQQQ has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.97 to 0.99 - a consistent structural relationship.

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Return for Risk

NQ=F vs. TQQQ — Risk / Return Rank

Compare historical risk-adjusted metric ranks over the past 12 months.

NQ=F
NQ=F Risk / Return Rank: 6464
Overall Rank
NQ=F Sharpe Ratio Rank: 6464
Sharpe Ratio Rank
NQ=F Sortino Ratio Rank: 6363
Sortino Ratio Rank
NQ=F Omega Ratio Rank: 5757
Omega Ratio Rank
NQ=F Calmar Ratio Rank: 7171
Calmar Ratio Rank
NQ=F Martin Ratio Rank: 6565
Martin Ratio Rank

TQQQ
TQQQ Risk / Return Rank: 4343
Overall Rank
TQQQ Sharpe Ratio Rank: 4343
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TQQQ Sortino Ratio Rank: 4242
Sortino Ratio Rank
TQQQ Omega Ratio Rank: 4141
Omega Ratio Rank
TQQQ Calmar Ratio Rank: 4747
Calmar Ratio Rank
TQQQ Martin Ratio Rank: 4343
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) uses a weighted average of the Sharpe, Sortino, Omega, Calmar, and Martin percentile ranks for the trailing 12 months. Higher means stronger historical risk-adjusted performance within the peer group.

NQ=F vs. TQQQ - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for E-Mini Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ=F) and ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


NQ=FTQQQDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+0.20

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+0.23

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.25

1.22

+0.03

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

2.34

1.94

+0.41

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

7.29

5.34

+1.95

NQ=F vs. TQQQ - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current NQ=F Sharpe Ratio is 1.44, which is comparable to the TQQQ Sharpe Ratio of 1.23. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of NQ=F and TQQQ, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Drawdowns

NQ=F vs. TQQQ - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum NQ=F drawdown since its inception was -78.99%, roughly equal to the maximum TQQQ drawdown of -81.66%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for NQ=F and TQQQ.


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Drawdown Indicators


NQ=FTQQQDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-78.99%

-81.66%

+2.67%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-11.89%

-36.97%

+25.08%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-22.50%

-58.04%

+35.54%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-35.28%

-81.66%

+46.38%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-35.28%

-81.66%

+46.38%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-3.80%

-16.29%

+12.49%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-29.46%

-18.49%

-10.97%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

3.81%

13.38%

-9.57%

Volatility

NQ=F vs. TQQQ - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for E-Mini Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ=F) is 7.41%, while ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) has a volatility of 21.96%. This indicates that NQ=F experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than TQQQ based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


NQ=FTQQQDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

7.41%

21.96%

-14.55%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

15.98%

48.60%

-32.62%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

19.42%

58.14%

-38.72%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

23.17%

68.26%

-45.09%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

22.63%

66.67%

-44.04%

Frequently Asked Questions


With a correlation of 0.98, NQ=F and TQQQ move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.

TQQQ has higher volatility (21.96%) compared to NQ=F (7.41%). In terms of maximum drawdown, NQ=F dropped -78.99% vs TQQQ's -81.66%.

NQ=F currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.44 vs 1.23), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

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