NQ=F vs. TQQQ
NQ=F (E-Mini Nasdaq 100 Futures) is an asset, while TQQQ (ProShares UltraPro QQQ) is Leveraged Equities fund tracking the NASDAQ-100 Index (300%). Over the past 10 years, NQ=F returned 20.98%/yr vs 42.84%/yr for TQQQ. With a 0.98 correlation, they move nearly in lockstep.
Performance
NQ=F vs. TQQQ - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, NQ=F achieves a 19.42% return, which is significantly lower than TQQQ's 38.79% return. Over the past 10 years, NQ=F has underperformed TQQQ with an annualized return of 20.98%, while TQQQ has yielded a comparatively higher 42.84% annualized return.
NQ=F
- 1D
- -0.76%
- 1M
- 5.86%
- YTD
- 19.42%
- 6M
- 18.14%
- 1Y
- 40.85%
- 3Y*
- 27.73%
- 5Y*
- 17.17%
- 10Y*
- 20.98%
TQQQ
- 1D
- -14.28%
- 1M
- 2.07%
- YTD
- 38.79%
- 6M
- 30.51%
- 1Y
- 103.91%
- 3Y*
- 60.11%
- 5Y*
- 24.09%
- 10Y*
- 42.84%
NQ=F vs. TQQQ - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NQ=F E-Mini Nasdaq 100 Futures | 19.42% | 19.93% | 24.69% | 54.45% | -32.46% | 26.66% | 47.22% | 38.20% | -1.18% | 31.76% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 38.79% | 34.35% | 58.27% | 198.04% | -79.09% | 82.98% | 110.05% | 133.84% | -19.79% | 118.06% |
Correlation
The correlation between NQ=F and TQQQ is 0.94, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.94 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.98 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.99 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.98 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 12, 2010 | 0.98 |
The correlation between NQ=F and TQQQ has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.94 to 0.99 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
NQ=F vs. TQQQ — Risk / Return Rank
NQ=F
TQQQ
NQ=F vs. TQQQ - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for E-Mini Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ=F) and ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| NQ=F | TQQQ | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +0.34 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +0.85 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.43 | 1.33 | +0.10 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 3.20 | 2.83 | +0.37 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 11.68 | 9.20 | +2.47 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| NQ=F | TQQQ | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 2.44 | 2.10 | +0.34 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.76 | 0.36 | +0.40 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.94 | 0.65 | +0.29 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.97 | 0.71 | +0.26 |
Drawdowns
NQ=F vs. TQQQ - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum NQ=F drawdown since its inception was -35.28%, smaller than the maximum TQQQ drawdown of -81.66%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for NQ=F and TQQQ.
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Drawdown Indicators
| NQ=F | TQQQ | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -35.28% | -81.66% | +46.38% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -11.89% | -36.97% | +25.08% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -23.05% | -58.04% | +34.99% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -35.28% | -81.66% | +46.38% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -35.28% | -81.66% | +46.38% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -1.02% | -16.25% | +15.23% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -5.11% | -18.52% | +13.41% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 3.31% | 11.33% | -8.02% |
Volatility
NQ=F vs. TQQQ - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for E-Mini Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ=F) is 4.05%, while ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) has a volatility of 20.42%. This indicates that NQ=F experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than TQQQ based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| NQ=F | TQQQ | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 4.05% | 20.42% | -16.37% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 11.89% | 39.33% | -27.44% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 15.61% | 49.81% | -34.20% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 22.43% | 66.79% | -44.36% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 22.28% | 66.11% | -43.83% |
Frequently Asked Questions
With a correlation of 0.94, NQ=F and TQQQ move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.
TQQQ has higher volatility (20.42%) compared to NQ=F (4.05%). In terms of maximum drawdown, NQ=F dropped -35.28% vs TQQQ's -81.66%.
NQ=F currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.44 vs 2.10), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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