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NQ=F vs. TQQQ
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility

Performance

NQ=F vs. TQQQ - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in E-Mini Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ=F) and ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, NQ=F achieves a 19.42% return, which is significantly lower than TQQQ's 38.79% return. Over the past 10 years, NQ=F has underperformed TQQQ with an annualized return of 20.98%, while TQQQ has yielded a comparatively higher 42.84% annualized return.


NQ=F

1D
-0.76%
1M
5.86%
YTD
19.42%
6M
18.14%
1Y
40.85%
3Y*
27.73%
5Y*
17.17%
10Y*
20.98%

TQQQ

1D
-14.28%
1M
2.07%
YTD
38.79%
6M
30.51%
1Y
103.91%
3Y*
60.11%
5Y*
24.09%
10Y*
42.84%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

NQ=F vs. TQQQ - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
NQ=F
E-Mini Nasdaq 100 Futures
19.42%19.93%24.69%54.45%-32.46%26.66%47.22%38.20%-1.18%31.76%
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
38.79%34.35%58.27%198.04%-79.09%82.98%110.05%133.84%-19.79%118.06%

Correlation

The correlation between NQ=F and TQQQ is 0.94, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.94

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.98

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.99

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.98

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 12, 2010

0.98

The correlation between NQ=F and TQQQ has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.94 to 0.99 - a consistent structural relationship.

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Return for Risk

NQ=F vs. TQQQ — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

NQ=F
NQ=F Risk / Return Rank: 9292
Overall Rank
NQ=F Sharpe Ratio Rank: 9393
Sharpe Ratio Rank
NQ=F Sortino Ratio Rank: 9393
Sortino Ratio Rank
NQ=F Omega Ratio Rank: 9393
Omega Ratio Rank
NQ=F Calmar Ratio Rank: 9393
Calmar Ratio Rank
NQ=F Martin Ratio Rank: 8888
Martin Ratio Rank

TQQQ
TQQQ Risk / Return Rank: 5656
Overall Rank
TQQQ Sharpe Ratio Rank: 6464
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TQQQ Sortino Ratio Rank: 5050
Sortino Ratio Rank
TQQQ Omega Ratio Rank: 5454
Omega Ratio Rank
TQQQ Calmar Ratio Rank: 5858
Calmar Ratio Rank
TQQQ Martin Ratio Rank: 5454
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

NQ=F vs. TQQQ - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for E-Mini Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ=F) and ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


NQ=FTQQQDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+0.34

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+0.85

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.43

1.33

+0.10

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

3.20

2.83

+0.37

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

11.68

9.20

+2.47

NQ=F vs. TQQQ - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current NQ=F Sharpe Ratio is 2.44, which is comparable to the TQQQ Sharpe Ratio of 2.10. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of NQ=F and TQQQ, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


NQ=FTQQQDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

2.44

2.10

+0.34

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.76

0.36

+0.40

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.94

0.65

+0.29

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.97

0.71

+0.26

Drawdowns

NQ=F vs. TQQQ - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum NQ=F drawdown since its inception was -35.28%, smaller than the maximum TQQQ drawdown of -81.66%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for NQ=F and TQQQ.


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Drawdown Indicators


NQ=FTQQQDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-35.28%

-81.66%

+46.38%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-11.89%

-36.97%

+25.08%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-23.05%

-58.04%

+34.99%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-35.28%

-81.66%

+46.38%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-35.28%

-81.66%

+46.38%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-1.02%

-16.25%

+15.23%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-5.11%

-18.52%

+13.41%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

3.31%

11.33%

-8.02%

Volatility

NQ=F vs. TQQQ - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for E-Mini Nasdaq 100 Futures (NQ=F) is 4.05%, while ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) has a volatility of 20.42%. This indicates that NQ=F experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than TQQQ based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


NQ=FTQQQDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

4.05%

20.42%

-16.37%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

11.89%

39.33%

-27.44%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

15.61%

49.81%

-34.20%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

22.43%

66.79%

-44.36%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

22.28%

66.11%

-43.83%

Frequently Asked Questions


With a correlation of 0.94, NQ=F and TQQQ move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.

TQQQ has higher volatility (20.42%) compared to NQ=F (4.05%). In terms of maximum drawdown, NQ=F dropped -35.28% vs TQQQ's -81.66%.

NQ=F currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.44 vs 2.10), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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