NEXT vs. QQQ

Last updated Jul 14, 2026

NEXT (NextDecade Corporation) is a stock, while QQQ (Invesco QQQ ETF) is Nasdaq-100 fund tracking the NASDAQ-100 Index. Over the past 10 years, NEXT returned -2.04%/yr vs 21.19%/yr for QQQ. At a 0.17 correlation, their price movements are largely independent.

Performance

NEXT vs. QQQ - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in NextDecade Corporation (NEXT) and Invesco QQQ ETF (QQQ). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, NEXT achieves a 54.84% return, which is significantly higher than QQQ's 16.13% return. Over the past 10 years, NEXT has underperformed QQQ with an annualized return of -2.04%, while QQQ has yielded a comparatively higher 21.19% annualized return.

NEXT

• 1D: 2.13%
• 1M: -2.86%
• 6M: 70.00%
• YTD: 54.84%
• 1Y: -24.23%
• 3Y*: 10.37%
• 5Y*: 18.11%
• 10Y*: -2.04%

QQQ

• 1D: -1.90%
• 1M: -1.22%
• 6M: 13.75%
• YTD: 16.13%
• 1Y: 29.05%
• 3Y*: 24.08%
• 5Y*: 15.10%
• 10Y*: 21.19%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

NEXT vs. QQQ - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
NEXT NextDecade Corporation	54.84%	-31.65%	61.64%	-3.44%	73.33%	36.36%	-65.96%	13.70%	-35.10%	-17.79%
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF	16.13%	20.77%	25.58%	54.86%	-32.58%	27.42%	48.62%	38.96%	-0.13%	32.66%

Correlation

The correlation between NEXT and QQQ is -0.12, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	-0.12
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period	0.09
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	0.18
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	0.18
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jun 4, 2015	0.17

The correlation between NEXT and QQQ shifts across timeframes, from -0.12 (1 year) to 0.18 (5 years), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

Return for Risk

NEXT vs. QQQ — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

NEXT

NEXT Risk / Return Rank: 30
NEXT Sharpe Ratio Rank: 27
NEXT Sortino Ratio Rank: 29
NEXT Omega Ratio Rank: 30
NEXT Calmar Ratio Rank: 31
NEXT Martin Ratio Rank: 34

QQQ

QQQ Risk / Return Rank: 58
QQQ Sharpe Ratio Rank: 58
QQQ Sortino Ratio Rank: 55
QQQ Omega Ratio Rank: 56
QQQ Calmar Ratio Rank: 61
QQQ Martin Ratio Rank: 62

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

NEXT vs. QQQ - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for NextDecade Corporation (NEXT) and Invesco QQQ ETF (QQQ). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.

	NEXT	QQQ	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	-0.39	1.57	-1.96
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	-0.18	2.13	-2.31
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	0.98	1.28	-0.30
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	-0.41	2.44	-2.84
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	-0.57	8.74	-9.31

NEXT vs. QQQ - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current NEXT Sharpe Ratio is -0.39, which is lower than the QQQ Sharpe Ratio of 1.57. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of NEXT and QQQ, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Drawdowns

NEXT vs. QQQ - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum NEXT drawdown since its inception was -88.79%, which is greater than QQQ's maximum drawdown of -82.97%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for NEXT and QQQ.

Drawdown Indicators

	NEXT	QQQ	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-88.79%	-82.97%	-5.82%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-60.00%	-11.96%	-48.04%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-60.00%	-22.77%	-37.23%
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	-60.00%	-35.12%	-24.88%
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	-88.79%	-35.12%	-53.67%
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-32.00%	-4.51%	-27.49%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-39.00%	-32.67%	-6.33%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	42.26%	3.33%	+38.93%

Volatility

NEXT vs. QQQ - Volatility Comparison

NextDecade Corporation (NEXT) has a higher volatility of 18.48% compared to Invesco QQQ ETF (QQQ) at 8.69%. This indicates that NEXT's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than QQQ based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	NEXT	QQQ	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	18.48%	8.69%	+9.79%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	47.54%	15.40%	+32.14%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	62.31%	18.61%	+43.70%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	75.80%	22.80%	+53.00%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	87.28%	22.44%	+64.84%

Dividends

NEXT vs. QQQ - Dividend Comparison

NEXT has not paid dividends to shareholders, while QQQ's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 0.43%.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
NEXT NextDecade Corporation	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF	0.43%	0.45%	0.56%	0.62%	0.80%	0.43%	0.55%	0.74%	0.91%	0.84%	1.06%	0.99%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both NEXT and QQQ in my portfolio?

NEXT and QQQ have a correlation of -0.12, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, NEXT or QQQ?

NEXT has higher volatility (18.48%) compared to QQQ (8.69%). In terms of maximum drawdown, NEXT dropped -88.79% vs QQQ's -82.97%.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

QQQ currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.57 vs -0.39), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.