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MSTR vs. GBTC
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

MSTR vs. GBTC - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Strategy Inc (MSTR) and Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, MSTR achieves a -20.74% return, which is significantly higher than GBTC's -31.54% return. Over the past 10 years, MSTR has underperformed GBTC with an annualized return of 20.04%, while GBTC has yielded a comparatively higher 48.34% annualized return.


MSTR

1D
-6.90%
1M
-33.03%
YTD
-20.74%
6M
-32.71%
1Y
-67.84%
3Y*
59.14%
5Y*
19.97%
10Y*
20.04%

GBTC

1D
-5.15%
1M
-24.86%
YTD
-31.54%
6M
-33.05%
1Y
-43.09%
3Y*
47.89%
5Y*
8.66%
10Y*
48.34%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

MSTR vs. GBTC - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
MSTR
Strategy Inc
-20.74%-47.53%358.54%346.15%-74.00%40.13%172.42%11.65%-2.70%-33.49%
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
-31.54%-7.65%113.81%317.61%-75.80%7.03%290.72%106.56%-82.10%1,787.72%

Correlation

The correlation between MSTR and GBTC is 0.85, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.85

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.77

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.76

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.49

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since May 5, 2015

0.45

Over the past year, MSTR and GBTC have become more correlated (0.85) than their long-term average of 0.45, meaning their price movements have been converging.

Fundamentals

Total Revenue (TTM)

MSTR:

$490.47M

GBTC:

$0.00

Gross Profit (TTM)

MSTR:

$334.08M

GBTC:

$0.00

EBITDA (TTM)

MSTR:

$466.93M

GBTC:

$4.58B

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Return for Risk

MSTR vs. GBTC — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

MSTR
MSTR Risk / Return Rank: 77
Overall Rank
MSTR Sharpe Ratio Rank: 55
Sharpe Ratio Rank
MSTR Sortino Ratio Rank: 44
Sortino Ratio Rank
MSTR Omega Ratio Rank: 77
Omega Ratio Rank
MSTR Calmar Ratio Rank: 77
Calmar Ratio Rank
MSTR Martin Ratio Rank: 1212
Martin Ratio Rank

GBTC
GBTC Risk / Return Rank: 22
Overall Rank
GBTC Sharpe Ratio Rank: 22
Sharpe Ratio Rank
GBTC Sortino Ratio Rank: 22
Sortino Ratio Rank
GBTC Omega Ratio Rank: 22
Omega Ratio Rank
GBTC Calmar Ratio Rank: 22
Calmar Ratio Rank
GBTC Martin Ratio Rank: 11
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

MSTR vs. GBTC - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Strategy Inc (MSTR) and Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


MSTRGBTCDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-0.01

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-0.38

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

0.81

0.85

-0.03

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

-0.88

-0.80

-0.08

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

-1.30

-1.44

+0.14

MSTR vs. GBTC - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current MSTR Sharpe Ratio is -0.96, which is comparable to the GBTC Sharpe Ratio of -0.95. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of MSTR and GBTC, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


MSTRGBTCDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-0.96

-0.95

-0.01

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.22

0.14

+0.08

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.27

0.59

-0.32

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.12

0.64

-0.52

Drawdowns

MSTR vs. GBTC - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum MSTR drawdown since its inception was -99.86%, which is greater than GBTC's maximum drawdown of -89.91%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for MSTR and GBTC.


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Drawdown Indicators


MSTRGBTCDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-99.86%

-89.91%

-9.95%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-76.53%

-52.45%

-24.08%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-77.42%

-52.45%

-24.97%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-84.11%

-85.42%

+1.31%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-89.27%

-89.91%

+0.64%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-74.58%

-52.45%

-22.13%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-86.47%

-43.44%

-43.03%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

51.99%

28.99%

+23.00%

Volatility

MSTR vs. GBTC - Volatility Comparison

Strategy Inc (MSTR) has a higher volatility of 20.17% compared to Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC) at 9.88%. This indicates that MSTR's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than GBTC based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


MSTRGBTCDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

20.17%

9.88%

+10.29%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

56.51%

34.14%

+22.37%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

70.48%

43.96%

+26.52%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

90.82%

62.45%

+28.37%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

73.72%

82.20%

-8.48%

Dividends

MSTR vs. GBTC - Dividend Comparison

Neither MSTR nor GBTC has paid dividends to shareholders.


PositionTTM202520242023202220212020201920182017
GBTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%5.61%
MSTR
Strategy Inc
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Frequently Asked Questions


MSTR and GBTC have a correlation of 0.85, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

MSTR has higher volatility (20.17%) compared to GBTC (9.88%). In terms of maximum drawdown, MSTR dropped -99.86% vs GBTC's -89.91%.

GBTC currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.95 vs -0.96), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right allocation for MSTR and GBTC

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