GEO vs. ADT

Last updated Jun 3, 2026

GEO (The GEO Group, Inc.) and ADT (ADT Inc.) are both stocks. GEO operates in REIT - Healthcare Facilities (Real Estate), while ADT operates in Security & Protection Services (Industrials). Over the past 5 years, GEO returned 30.96%/yr vs -6.15%/yr for ADT. At a 0.28 correlation, their price movements are largely independent.

Performance

GEO vs. ADT - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) and ADT Inc. (ADT). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, GEO achieves a 45.04% return, which is significantly higher than ADT's -15.15% return.

GEO

• 1D: 0.17%
• 1M: 24.69%
• YTD: 45.04%
• 6M: 40.59%
• 1Y: -13.66%
• 3Y*: 46.02%
• 5Y*: 30.96%
• 10Y*: 5.09%

ADT

• 1D: 0.74%
• 1M: -10.07%
• YTD: -15.15%
• 6M: -15.10%
• 1Y: -18.30%
• 3Y*: 6.99%
• 5Y*: -6.15%
• 10Y*: —

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

GEO vs. ADT - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018
GEO The GEO Group, Inc.	45.04%	-42.39%	158.36%	-1.10%	41.29%	-9.92%	-39.13%	-6.80%	-3.72%
ADT ADT Inc.	-15.15%	20.02%	4.53%	-23.14%	9.80%	8.86%	1.02%	45.94%	-50.67%

Correlation

The correlation between GEO and ADT is 0.36, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.36
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period	0.26
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	0.31
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 22, 2018	0.28

The correlation between GEO and ADT shifts across timeframes, from 0.26 (3 years) to 0.36 (1 year), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

Fundamentals

EPS GEO : $1.83 ADT : $0.73
PE Ratio GEO : 12.80 ADT : 9.33
PEG Ratio GEO : 0.07 ADT : 0.25
PS Ratio GEO : 1.24 ADT : 1.13
Total Revenue (TTM) GEO : $2.63B ADT : $5.14B
Gross Profit (TTM) GEO : $1.59B ADT : $4.55B
EBITDA (TTM) GEO : $590.25M ADT : $2.46B

Return for Risk

GEO vs. ADT — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

GEO

GEO Risk / Return Rank: 30
GEO Sharpe Ratio Rank: 29
GEO Sortino Ratio Rank: 29
GEO Omega Ratio Rank: 29
GEO Calmar Ratio Rank: 31
GEO Martin Ratio Rank: 32

ADT

ADT Risk / Return Rank: 14
ADT Sharpe Ratio Rank: 12
ADT Sortino Ratio Rank: 14
ADT Omega Ratio Rank: 13
ADT Calmar Ratio Rank: 19
ADT Martin Ratio Rank: 10

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

GEO vs. ADT - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) and ADT Inc. (ADT). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

	GEO	ADT	Difference
Sharpe ratio Return per unit of total volatility	-0.27	-0.68	+0.42
Sortino ratio Return per unit of downside risk	-0.04	-0.76	+0.72
Omega ratio Gain probability vs. loss probability	0.99	0.89	+0.10
Calmar ratio Return relative to maximum drawdown	-0.27	-0.60	+0.33
Martin ratio Return relative to average drawdown	-0.44	-1.32	+0.88
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month.

GEO vs. ADT - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current GEO Sharpe Ratio is -0.27, which is higher than the ADT Sharpe Ratio of -0.68. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of GEO and ADT, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Sharpe Ratios by Period

	GEO	ADT	Difference
Sharpe Ratio (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	-0.27	-0.68	+0.42
Sharpe Ratio (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	0.56	-0.16	+0.72
Sharpe Ratio (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	0.10	—	—
Sharpe Ratio (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history	0.30	-0.08	+0.39

Drawdowns

GEO vs. ADT - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum GEO drawdown since its inception was -86.59%, which is greater than ADT's maximum drawdown of -67.19%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for GEO and ADT.

Drawdown Indicators

	GEO	ADT	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-86.59%	-67.19%	-19.40%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-50.82%	-26.80%	-24.02%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-62.49%	-26.80%	-35.69%
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	-62.49%	-54.36%	-8.13%
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	-77.82%	—	—
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-33.86%	-42.60%	+8.74%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-38.93%	-38.91%	-0.02%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	31.72%	12.18%	+19.54%

Volatility

GEO vs. ADT - Volatility Comparison

The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) has a higher volatility of 21.77% compared to ADT Inc. (ADT) at 8.03%. This indicates that GEO's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than ADT based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	GEO	ADT	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	21.77%	8.03%	+13.74%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	40.78%	21.20%	+19.58%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	51.55%	27.01%	+24.54%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	55.55%	37.84%	+17.71%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	51.78%	48.22%	+3.56%

Dividends

GEO vs. ADT - Dividend Comparison

GEO has not paid dividends to shareholders, while ADT's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.24%.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
ADT ADT Inc.	3.24%	2.73%	3.18%	2.05%	1.54%	1.66%	1.78%	10.59%	2.33%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
GEO The GEO Group, Inc.	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	3.23%	20.09%	11.56%	9.54%	7.95%	7.24%	8.68%

Financials

GEO vs. ADT - Profitability Comparison

The chart below illustrates the profitability comparison between The GEO Group, Inc. and ADT Inc. over time, highlighting three key metrics: Gross Profit Margin, Operating Margin, and Net Profit Margin.

GEO - Gross Margin

Gross margin is calculated as gross profit divided by revenue. For the three months ending on Jun 2026, The GEO Group, Inc. reported a gross profit of 177.79M and revenue of 707.70M. Therefore, the gross margin over that period was 25.1%.

ADT - Gross Margin

Gross margin is calculated as gross profit divided by revenue. For the three months ending on Jun 2026, ADT Inc. reported a gross profit of 1.04B and revenue of 1.28B. Therefore, the gross margin over that period was 81.0%.

GEO - Operating Margin

Operating margin is calculated as operating income divided by revenue. For the three months ending on Jun 2026, The GEO Group, Inc. reported an operating income of 83.83M and revenue of 707.70M, resulting in an operating margin of 11.9%.

ADT - Operating Margin

Operating margin is calculated as operating income divided by revenue. For the three months ending on Jun 2026, ADT Inc. reported an operating income of 325.00M and revenue of 1.28B, resulting in an operating margin of 25.4%.

GEO - Net Margin

Net margin is calculated as net income divided by revenue. For the three months ending on Jun 2026, The GEO Group, Inc. reported a net income of 31.77M and revenue of 707.70M, resulting in a net margin of 4.5%.

ADT - Net Margin

Net margin is calculated as net income divided by revenue. For the three months ending on Jun 2026, ADT Inc. reported a net income of 168.00M and revenue of 1.28B, resulting in a net margin of 13.1%.

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both GEO and ADT in my portfolio?

GEO and ADT have a correlation of 0.36, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, GEO or ADT?

GEO has higher volatility (21.77%) compared to ADT (8.03%). In terms of maximum drawdown, GEO dropped -86.59% vs ADT's -67.19%.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

GEO currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.27 vs -0.68), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.