GC=F vs. GLL
GC=F (Gold Futures) is an asset, while GLL (ProShares UltraShort Gold) is Leveraged Commodities fund tracking the Bloomberg Gold (-200%). Over the past 10 years, GC=F returned 13.66%/yr vs -23.37%/yr for GLL. At a correlation of -0.85, they often move in opposite directions.
Performance
GC=F vs. GLL - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, GC=F achieves a 3.17% return, which is significantly higher than GLL's -14.49% return. Over the past 10 years, GC=F has outperformed GLL with an annualized return of 13.66%, while GLL has yielded a comparatively lower -23.37% annualized return.
GC=F
- 1D
- -0.59%
- 1M
- -1.26%
- YTD
- 3.17%
- 6M
- 6.27%
- 1Y
- 33.21%
- 3Y*
- 31.73%
- 5Y*
- 18.75%
- 10Y*
- 13.66%
GLL
- 1D
- 2.05%
- 1M
- 3.37%
- YTD
- -14.49%
- 6M
- -18.72%
- 1Y
- -48.24%
- 3Y*
- -41.46%
- 5Y*
- -28.82%
- 10Y*
- -23.37%
GC=F vs. GLL - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GC=F Gold Futures | 3.17% | 64.52% | 27.48% | 13.34% | -0.43% | -3.47% | 24.59% | 18.87% | -2.14% | 13.59% |
GLL ProShares UltraShort Gold | -14.49% | -62.81% | -33.33% | -14.91% | -2.12% | 1.66% | -41.47% | -26.95% | 5.39% | -23.67% |
Correlation
The correlation between GC=F and GLL is -0.86, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.86 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | -0.90 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.90 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.88 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Dec 4, 2008 | -0.85 |
The correlation between GC=F and GLL has been stable across timeframes, ranging from -0.90 to -0.85 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
GC=F vs. GLL — Risk / Return Rank
GC=F
GLL
GC=F vs. GLL - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Gold Futures (GC=F) and ProShares UltraShort Gold (GLL). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| GC=F | GLL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +2.14 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +3.10 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.25 | 0.83 | +0.42 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.82 | -0.74 | +2.56 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 4.60 | -1.16 | +5.76 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| GC=F | GLL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 1.22 | -0.92 | +2.14 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 1.03 | -0.81 | +1.83 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.83 | -0.73 | +1.56 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.62 | -0.67 | +1.29 |
Drawdowns
GC=F vs. GLL - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum GC=F drawdown since its inception was -44.36%, smaller than the maximum GLL drawdown of -99.24%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for GC=F and GLL.
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Drawdown Indicators
| GC=F | GLL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -44.36% | -99.24% | +54.88% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -17.73% | -65.10% | +47.37% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -17.73% | -87.95% | +70.22% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -20.43% | -89.76% | +69.33% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -20.87% | -95.76% | +74.89% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -16.09% | -98.94% | +82.85% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -13.03% | -85.13% | +72.10% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 7.09% | 41.74% | -34.65% |
Volatility
GC=F vs. GLL - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for Gold Futures (GC=F) is 5.24%, while ProShares UltraShort Gold (GLL) has a volatility of 11.07%. This indicates that GC=F experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than GLL based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| GC=F | GLL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 5.24% | 11.07% | -5.83% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 23.04% | 44.43% | -21.39% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 26.46% | 52.38% | -25.92% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 18.19% | 35.90% | -17.71% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 16.44% | 32.12% | -15.68% |
Frequently Asked Questions
GC=F and GLL have a correlation of -0.86, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
GLL has higher volatility (11.07%) compared to GC=F (5.24%). In terms of maximum drawdown, GC=F dropped -44.36% vs GLL's -99.24%.
GC=F currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.22 vs -0.92), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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