GBTC vs. TQQQ
GBTC (Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF) and TQQQ (ProShares UltraPro QQQ) are both exchange-traded funds - GBTC is a Cryptocurrency fund tracking the CoinDesk Bitcoin Benchmark Rate Index, while TQQQ is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the NASDAQ-100 Index (300%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, GBTC returned 49.21%/yr vs 44.95%/yr for TQQQ. At a 0.26 correlation, their price movements are largely independent. GBTC charges 1.50%/yr vs 0.95%/yr for TQQQ.
Performance
GBTC vs. TQQQ - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, GBTC achieves a -27.82% return, which is significantly lower than TQQQ's 61.91% return. Over the past 10 years, GBTC has outperformed TQQQ with an annualized return of 49.21%, while TQQQ has yielded a comparatively lower 44.95% annualized return.
GBTC
- 1D
- -2.74%
- 1M
- -22.25%
- YTD
- -27.82%
- 6M
- -31.83%
- 1Y
- -40.35%
- 3Y*
- 53.36%
- 5Y*
- 9.81%
- 10Y*
- 49.21%
TQQQ
- 1D
- -1.55%
- 1M
- 26.46%
- YTD
- 61.91%
- 6M
- 54.01%
- 1Y
- 132.34%
- 3Y*
- 68.49%
- 5Y*
- 27.97%
- 10Y*
- 44.95%
GBTC vs. TQQQ - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GBTC Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF | -27.82% | -7.65% | 113.81% | 317.61% | -75.80% | 7.03% | 290.72% | 106.56% | -82.10% | 1,787.72% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 61.91% | 34.35% | 58.27% | 198.04% | -79.09% | 82.98% | 110.05% | 133.84% | -19.79% | 118.06% |
Correlation
The correlation between GBTC and TQQQ is 0.50, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.50 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.35 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.44 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.28 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since May 5, 2015 | 0.26 |
Over the past year, GBTC and TQQQ have become more correlated (0.50) than their long-term average of 0.26, meaning their price movements have been converging.
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Return for Risk
GBTC vs. TQQQ — Risk / Return Rank
GBTC
TQQQ
GBTC vs. TQQQ - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC) and ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| GBTC | TQQQ | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -3.72 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -4.32 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.85 | 1.39 | -0.54 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.81 | 3.60 | -4.41 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.40 | 11.77 | -13.18 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| GBTC | TQQQ | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.93 | 2.80 | -3.72 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.16 | 0.42 | -0.26 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.60 | 0.68 | -0.08 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.65 | 0.74 | -0.08 |
Drawdowns
GBTC vs. TQQQ - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum GBTC drawdown since its inception was -89.91%, which is greater than TQQQ's maximum drawdown of -81.66%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for GBTC and TQQQ.
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Drawdown Indicators
| GBTC | TQQQ | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -89.91% | -81.66% | -8.25% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -49.87% | -36.97% | -12.90% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -49.87% | -58.04% | +8.17% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -85.42% | -81.66% | -3.76% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -89.91% | -81.66% | -8.25% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -49.87% | -2.29% | -47.58% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -43.43% | -18.52% | -24.91% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 28.81% | 11.28% | +17.53% |
Volatility
GBTC vs. TQQQ - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC) is 9.07%, while ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) has a volatility of 13.35%. This indicates that GBTC experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than TQQQ based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| GBTC | TQQQ | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 9.07% | 13.35% | -4.28% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 33.86% | 36.04% | -2.18% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 43.69% | 47.60% | -3.91% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 62.44% | 66.50% | -4.06% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 82.20% | 65.95% | +16.25% |
GBTC vs. TQQQ - Expense Ratio Comparison
GBTC has a 1.50% expense ratio, which is higher than TQQQ's 0.95% expense ratio.
Dividends
GBTC vs. TQQQ - Dividend Comparison
GBTC has not paid dividends to shareholders, while TQQQ's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 0.37%.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GBTC Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.61% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 0.37% | 0.65% | 1.27% | 1.26% | 0.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% |
Frequently Asked Questions
GBTC and TQQQ have a correlation of 0.50, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
TQQQ has higher volatility (13.35%) compared to GBTC (9.07%). In terms of maximum drawdown, GBTC dropped -89.91% vs TQQQ's -81.66%.
On 10-year performance, GBTC leads with 49.21% vs 44.95% for TQQQ. On fees, TQQQ is cheaper at 0.95% per year. On volatility, GBTC has been the lower-risk option at 9.07%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, GBTC has performed better with a 49.21% return vs 44.95%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
TQQQ is cheaper with a 0.95% expense ratio, compared with 1.50% for GBTC.
TQQQ has the higher dividend yield at 0.37%, compared with 0.00% for GBTC.
GBTC is categorized as Cryptocurrency, while TQQQ is Leveraged Equities. GBTC tracks CoinDesk Bitcoin Benchmark Rate Index, while TQQQ tracks NASDAQ-100 Index (300%). They also come from different issuers: Grayscale and ProShares. Their fees differ too: 1.50% for GBTC and 0.95% for TQQQ.
TQQQ currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.80 vs -0.93), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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