ES=F vs. CL=F
ES=F (S&P 500 E-Mini Futures) and CL=F (Crude Oil WTI) are both assets. Over the past 10 years, ES=F returned 13.66%/yr vs 6.46%/yr for CL=F. At a 0.13 correlation, their price movements are largely independent.
Performance
ES=F vs. CL=F - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, ES=F achieves a 10.09% return, which is significantly lower than CL=F's 61.81% return. Over the past 10 years, ES=F has outperformed CL=F with an annualized return of 13.66%, while CL=F has yielded a comparatively lower 6.46% annualized return.
ES=F
- 1D
- 0.21%
- 1M
- 2.68%
- YTD
- 10.09%
- 6M
- 10.32%
- 1Y
- 27.61%
- 3Y*
- 21.02%
- 5Y*
- 12.41%
- 10Y*
- 13.66%
CL=F
- 1D
- -3.24%
- 1M
- -2.28%
- YTD
- 61.81%
- 6M
- 54.64%
- 1Y
- 46.62%
- 3Y*
- 8.74%
- 5Y*
- 6.01%
- 10Y*
- 6.46%
ES=F vs. CL=F - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ES=F S&P 500 E-Mini Futures | 10.09% | 16.12% | 23.15% | 24.84% | -18.86% | 26.94% | 16.02% | 28.97% | -6.38% | 19.66% |
CL=F Crude Oil WTI | 61.81% | -19.41% | -0.82% | -10.70% | 7.44% | 53.98% | -19.98% | 32.92% | -24.35% | 12.51% |
Correlation
The correlation between ES=F and CL=F is -0.26, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.26 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | -0.07 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.06 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.15 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Sep 11, 1997 | 0.13 |
The correlation between ES=F and CL=F shifts across timeframes, from -0.26 (1 year) to 0.15 (10 years), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
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Return for Risk
ES=F vs. CL=F — Risk / Return Rank
ES=F
CL=F
ES=F vs. CL=F - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for S&P 500 E-Mini Futures (ES=F) and Crude Oil WTI (CL=F). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| ES=F | CL=F | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +1.28 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +1.63 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.39 | 1.20 | +0.19 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.68 | 1.57 | +1.11 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 12.02 | 2.56 | +9.46 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| ES=F | CL=F | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 2.14 | 0.86 | +1.28 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.72 | 0.15 | +0.57 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.74 | 0.12 | +0.62 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.38 | 0.06 | +0.32 |
Drawdowns
ES=F vs. CL=F - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum ES=F drawdown since its inception was -57.11%, smaller than the maximum CL=F drawdown of -92.04%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for ES=F and CL=F.
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Drawdown Indicators
| ES=F | CL=F | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -57.11% | -92.04% | +34.93% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -8.95% | -27.07% | +18.12% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -18.54% | -39.46% | +20.92% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -25.02% | -53.86% | +28.84% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -34.45% | -84.82% | +50.37% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -0.47% | -36.05% | +35.58% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -12.49% | -40.80% | +28.31% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 2.09% | 12.32% | -10.23% |
Volatility
ES=F vs. CL=F - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for S&P 500 E-Mini Futures (ES=F) is 2.46%, while Crude Oil WTI (CL=F) has a volatility of 15.67%. This indicates that ES=F experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than CL=F based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| ES=F | CL=F | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 2.46% | 15.67% | -13.21% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 8.67% | 46.59% | -37.92% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 11.22% | 49.35% | -38.13% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 16.49% | 38.92% | -22.43% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 17.62% | 49.55% | -31.93% |
Frequently Asked Questions
ES=F and CL=F have a correlation of -0.26, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
CL=F has higher volatility (15.67%) compared to ES=F (2.46%). In terms of maximum drawdown, ES=F dropped -57.11% vs CL=F's -92.04%.
ES=F currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.14 vs 0.86), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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