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DDM vs. SPXL
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

DDM vs. SPXL - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in ProShares Ultra Dow30 (DDM) and Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X ETF (SPXL). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, DDM achieves a 11.91% return, which is significantly lower than SPXL's 30.87% return. Over the past 10 years, DDM has underperformed SPXL with an annualized return of 19.78%, while SPXL has yielded a comparatively higher 30.47% annualized return.


DDM

1D
0.92%
1M
7.36%
YTD
11.91%
6M
14.33%
1Y
41.13%
3Y*
25.91%
5Y*
12.69%
10Y*
19.78%

SPXL

1D
0.41%
1M
15.92%
YTD
30.87%
6M
30.90%
1Y
88.59%
3Y*
53.90%
5Y*
24.69%
10Y*
30.47%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

DDM vs. SPXL - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
DDM
ProShares Ultra Dow30
11.91%20.59%21.60%24.34%-19.48%41.97%2.14%47.98%-13.46%59.56%
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X ETF
30.87%31.94%63.61%69.49%-56.55%98.75%9.64%102.80%-25.11%71.03%

Correlation

The correlation between DDM and SPXL is 0.82, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.82

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.82

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.87

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.89

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Nov 6, 2008

0.92

The correlation between DDM and SPXL shifts across timeframes, from 0.82 (3 years) to 0.92 (all time), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

DDM vs. SPXL - Sectors Allocation Comparison


Sectors
DDM
SPXL

Financial Services

27.2%
2.6%

Industrials

18.4%
1.7%

Technology

17.1%
8.5%

Healthcare

13.1%
1.9%

Consumer Cyclical

11.6%
2.2%

Consumer Defensive

4.4%
1.1%

Basic Materials

4.0%
0.4%

Energy

2.4%
0.8%

Communication Services

1.9%
2.4%

Real Estate

-

0.4%

Utilities

-

0.6%

Financial Services

DDM
27.2%
SPXL
2.6%

Industrials

DDM
18.4%
SPXL
1.7%

Technology

DDM
17.1%
SPXL
8.5%

Healthcare

DDM
13.1%
SPXL
1.9%

Consumer Cyclical

DDM
11.6%
SPXL
2.2%

Consumer Defensive

DDM
4.4%
SPXL
1.1%

Basic Materials

DDM
4.0%
SPXL
0.4%

Energy

DDM
2.4%
SPXL
0.8%

Communication Services

DDM
1.9%
SPXL
2.4%

Real Estate

DDM

-

SPXL
0.4%

Utilities

DDM

-

SPXL
0.6%

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Return for Risk

DDM vs. SPXL — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

DDM
DDM Risk / Return Rank: 4646
Overall Rank
DDM Sharpe Ratio Rank: 4949
Sharpe Ratio Rank
DDM Sortino Ratio Rank: 4848
Sortino Ratio Rank
DDM Omega Ratio Rank: 4545
Omega Ratio Rank
DDM Calmar Ratio Rank: 4343
Calmar Ratio Rank
DDM Martin Ratio Rank: 4747
Martin Ratio Rank

SPXL
SPXL Risk / Return Rank: 6969
Overall Rank
SPXL Sharpe Ratio Rank: 7777
Sharpe Ratio Rank
SPXL Sortino Ratio Rank: 6363
Sortino Ratio Rank
SPXL Omega Ratio Rank: 6464
Omega Ratio Rank
SPXL Calmar Ratio Rank: 6868
Calmar Ratio Rank
SPXL Martin Ratio Rank: 7575
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

DDM vs. SPXL - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares Ultra Dow30 (DDM) and Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X ETF (SPXL). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


DDMSPXLDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

1.71

2.52

-0.81

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

2.40

2.95

-0.54

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.29

1.39

-0.10

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

2.16

3.43

-1.27

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

7.95

14.51

-6.56

DDM vs. SPXL - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current DDM Sharpe Ratio is 1.71, which is lower than the SPXL Sharpe Ratio of 2.52. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of DDM and SPXL, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


DDMSPXLDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

1.71

2.52

-0.81

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.43

0.49

-0.06

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.57

0.57

0.00

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.40

0.53

-0.13

Drawdowns

DDM vs. SPXL - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum DDM drawdown since its inception was -81.70%, which is greater than SPXL's maximum drawdown of -76.86%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for DDM and SPXL.


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Drawdown Indicators


DDMSPXLDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-81.70%

-76.86%

-4.84%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-19.31%

-26.77%

+7.46%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-31.62%

-48.95%

+17.33%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-40.18%

-63.80%

+23.62%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-63.13%

-76.86%

+13.73%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-17.33%

-15.73%

-1.60%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

5.25%

6.32%

-1.07%

Volatility

DDM vs. SPXL - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for ProShares Ultra Dow30 (DDM) is 5.91%, while Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X ETF (SPXL) has a volatility of 8.21%. This indicates that DDM experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than SPXL based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


DDMSPXLDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

5.91%

8.21%

-2.30%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

18.55%

26.62%

-8.07%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

24.12%

35.34%

-11.22%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

29.51%

50.23%

-20.72%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

34.76%

53.42%

-18.66%

DDM vs. SPXL - Expense Ratio Comparison

DDM has a 0.95% expense ratio, which is higher than SPXL's 0.84% expense ratio.


Dividends

DDM vs. SPXL - Dividend Comparison

DDM's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 0.89%, more than SPXL's 0.51% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DDM
ProShares Ultra Dow30
0.89%0.94%1.00%0.27%0.83%0.18%0.31%0.62%0.89%0.68%1.08%1.23%
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X ETF
0.51%0.69%0.74%0.98%0.32%0.11%0.22%0.84%1.02%3.88%0.00%0.00%

Frequently Asked Questions


DDM and SPXL have a correlation of 0.82, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

SPXL has higher volatility (8.21%) compared to DDM (5.91%). In terms of maximum drawdown, DDM dropped -81.70% vs SPXL's -76.86%.

On 10-year performance, SPXL leads with 30.47% vs 19.78% for DDM. On fees, SPXL is cheaper at 0.84% per year. On volatility, DDM has been the lower-risk option at 5.91%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 10-year period, SPXL has performed better with a 30.47% return vs 19.78%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

SPXL is cheaper with a 0.84% expense ratio, compared with 0.95% for DDM.

DDM has the higher dividend yield at 0.89%, compared with 0.51% for SPXL.

DDM tracks Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (200%), while SPXL tracks S&P 500. They also come from different issuers: ProShares and Direxion. Their fees differ too: 0.95% for DDM and 0.84% for SPXL.

SPXL currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.52 vs 1.71), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

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