CAPE vs. QUAL
CAPE (iPath Shiller CAPE ETN) and QUAL (iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - CAPE is a Global Equities fund tracking the Shiller Barclays CAPE US Core Sector Index, while QUAL is a Large Cap Blend Equities fund tracking the MSCI USA Sector Neutral Quality Index. Both are passively managed. Over the past 3 years, CAPE returned 12.19%/yr vs 19.66%/yr for QUAL. Their correlation of 0.82 suggests significant overlap in exposure. CAPE charges 0.45%/yr vs 0.15%/yr for QUAL.
Performance
CAPE vs. QUAL - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, CAPE achieves a -1.70% return, which is significantly lower than QUAL's 8.80% return.
CAPE
- 1D
- -0.48%
- 1M
- -1.99%
- YTD
- -1.70%
- 6M
- -1.38%
- 1Y
- 3.29%
- 3Y*
- 12.19%
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
QUAL
- 1D
- -0.07%
- 1M
- 4.62%
- YTD
- 8.80%
- 6M
- 8.86%
- 1Y
- 21.68%
- 3Y*
- 19.66%
- 5Y*
- 11.96%
- 10Y*
- 14.27%
CAPE vs. QUAL - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CAPE iPath Shiller CAPE ETN | -1.70% | 9.10% | 14.40% | 27.65% | -15.28% |
QUAL iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF | 8.80% | 12.65% | 22.29% | 30.88% | -15.14% |
Correlation
The correlation between CAPE and QUAL is 0.68, which is moderate. They share some common price drivers but move independently often enough to provide real diversification benefit when combined.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.68 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.74 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Apr 5, 2022 | 0.82 |
The correlation between CAPE and QUAL shifts across timeframes, from 0.68 (1 year) to 0.82 (all time), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
CAPE vs. QUAL - Sectors Allocation Comparison
Sectors
CAPE
QUAL
Consumer Defensive
Communication Services
Healthcare
Consumer Cyclical
Real Estate
Financial Services
Basic Materials
Technology
Industrials
Energy
-
Utilities
-
Consumer Defensive
CAPE
QUAL
Communication Services
CAPE
QUAL
Healthcare
CAPE
QUAL
Consumer Cyclical
CAPE
QUAL
Real Estate
CAPE
QUAL
Financial Services
CAPE
QUAL
Basic Materials
CAPE
QUAL
Technology
CAPE
QUAL
Industrials
CAPE
QUAL
Energy
CAPE
-
QUAL
Utilities
CAPE
-
QUAL
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Return for Risk
CAPE vs. QUAL — Risk / Return Rank
CAPE
QUAL
CAPE vs. QUAL - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for iPath Shiller CAPE ETN (CAPE) and iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF (QUAL). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| CAPE | QUAL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -1.54 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -2.11 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.06 | 1.32 | -0.27 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.34 | 2.41 | -2.07 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 1.24 | 11.00 | -9.75 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| CAPE | QUAL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.30 | 1.84 | -1.54 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | — | 0.69 | — |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | — | 0.79 | — |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.42 | 0.80 | -0.38 |
Drawdowns
CAPE vs. QUAL - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum CAPE drawdown since its inception was -22.07%, smaller than the maximum QUAL drawdown of -34.06%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for CAPE and QUAL.
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Drawdown Indicators
| CAPE | QUAL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -22.07% | -34.06% | +11.99% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -9.68% | -9.03% | -0.65% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -14.32% | -18.00% | +3.68% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | — | -28.23% | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -34.06% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -4.83% | -0.16% | -4.67% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -4.93% | -4.11% | -0.82% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 2.65% | 1.98% | +0.67% |
Volatility
CAPE vs. QUAL - Volatility Comparison
iPath Shiller CAPE ETN (CAPE) and iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF (QUAL) have volatilities of 2.63% and 2.51%, respectively, indicating that both stocks experience similar levels of price fluctuations. This suggests that the risk associated with both stocks, as measured by volatility, is nearly the same. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| CAPE | QUAL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 2.63% | 2.51% | +0.12% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 8.04% | 9.03% | -0.99% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 10.89% | 11.83% | -0.94% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 16.93% | 17.33% | -0.40% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 16.93% | 18.10% | -1.17% |
CAPE vs. QUAL - Expense Ratio Comparison
CAPE has a 0.45% expense ratio, which is higher than QUAL's 0.15% expense ratio.
Dividends
CAPE vs. QUAL - Dividend Comparison
CAPE's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 1.41%, more than QUAL's 0.88% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CAPE iPath Shiller CAPE ETN | 1.41% | 1.39% | 1.23% | 1.01% | 0.80% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
QUAL iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF | 0.88% | 0.94% | 1.02% | 1.23% | 1.59% | 1.20% | 1.39% | 1.60% | 2.00% | 1.76% | 1.96% | 1.63% |
Frequently Asked Questions
CAPE and QUAL have a correlation of 0.68, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
CAPE has higher volatility (2.63%) compared to QUAL (2.51%). In terms of maximum drawdown, CAPE dropped -22.07% vs QUAL's -34.06%.
On 3-year performance, QUAL leads with 19.66% vs 12.19% for CAPE. On fees, QUAL is cheaper at 0.15% per year. On volatility, QUAL has been the lower-risk option at 2.51%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 3-year period, QUAL has performed better with a 19.66% return vs 12.19%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
QUAL is cheaper with a 0.15% expense ratio, compared with 0.45% for CAPE.
CAPE has the higher dividend yield at 1.41%, compared with 0.88% for QUAL.
CAPE is categorized as Global Equities, while QUAL is Large Cap Blend Equities. CAPE tracks Shiller Barclays CAPE US Core Sector Index, while QUAL tracks MSCI USA Sector Neutral Quality Index. They also come from different issuers: Barclays Capital and iShares. Their fees differ too: 0.45% for CAPE and 0.15% for QUAL.
QUAL currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.84 vs 0.30), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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