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BTF vs. HODL
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

BTF vs. HODL - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Valkyrie Bitcoin and Ether Strategy ETF (BTF) and VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, BTF achieves a -37.72% return, which is significantly lower than HODL's -28.75% return.


BTF

1D
-3.72%
1M
-18.83%
YTD
-37.72%
6M
-37.84%
1Y
-36.03%
3Y*
5.96%
5Y*
10Y*

HODL

1D
-3.24%
1M
-17.82%
YTD
-28.75%
6M
-28.92%
1Y
-39.68%
3Y*
5Y*
10Y*
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

BTF vs. HODL - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)20252024
BTF
Valkyrie Bitcoin and Ether Strategy ETF
-37.72%-12.44%54.44%
HODL
VanEck Bitcoin Trust
-28.75%-6.42%91.50%

Correlation

The correlation between BTF and HODL is 0.95, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.95

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 11, 2024

0.92

The correlation between BTF and HODL has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.92 to 0.95 - a consistent structural relationship.

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Return for Risk

BTF vs. HODL — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

BTF
BTF Risk / Return Rank: 44
Overall Rank
BTF Sharpe Ratio Rank: 44
Sharpe Ratio Rank
BTF Sortino Ratio Rank: 44
Sortino Ratio Rank
BTF Omega Ratio Rank: 44
Omega Ratio Rank
BTF Calmar Ratio Rank: 44
Calmar Ratio Rank
BTF Martin Ratio Rank: 44
Martin Ratio Rank

HODL
HODL Risk / Return Rank: 22
Overall Rank
HODL Sharpe Ratio Rank: 22
Sharpe Ratio Rank
HODL Sortino Ratio Rank: 22
Sortino Ratio Rank
HODL Omega Ratio Rank: 22
Omega Ratio Rank
HODL Calmar Ratio Rank: 22
Calmar Ratio Rank
HODL Martin Ratio Rank: 22
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

BTF vs. HODL - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Valkyrie Bitcoin and Ether Strategy ETF (BTF) and VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


BTFHODLDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+0.25

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+0.51

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

0.92

0.86

+0.06

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

-0.59

-0.77

+0.17

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

-1.01

-1.30

+0.30

BTF vs. HODL - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current BTF Sharpe Ratio is -0.66, which is comparable to the HODL Sharpe Ratio of -0.90. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of BTF and HODL, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Drawdowns

BTF vs. HODL - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum BTF drawdown since its inception was -77.50%, which is greater than HODL's maximum drawdown of -51.96%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for BTF and HODL.


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Drawdown Indicators


BTFHODLDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-77.50%

-51.96%

-25.54%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-60.85%

-51.96%

-8.89%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-60.85%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-59.27%

-50.35%

-8.92%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-39.85%

-16.78%

-23.07%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

35.81%

30.49%

+5.32%

Volatility

BTF vs. HODL - Volatility Comparison

Valkyrie Bitcoin and Ether Strategy ETF (BTF) has a higher volatility of 15.71% compared to VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) at 13.07%. This indicates that BTF's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than HODL based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


BTFHODLDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

15.71%

13.07%

+2.64%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

39.94%

34.59%

+5.35%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

55.04%

44.11%

+10.93%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

58.48%

49.89%

+8.59%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

58.48%

49.89%

+8.59%

BTF vs. HODL - Expense Ratio Comparison

BTF has a 1.24% expense ratio, which is higher than HODL's 0.25% expense ratio.


Dividends

BTF vs. HODL - Dividend Comparison

BTF's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 233.68%, while HODL has not paid dividends to shareholders.


PositionTTM202520242023
BTF
Valkyrie Bitcoin and Ether Strategy ETF
233.68%146.05%52.96%15.98%
HODL
VanEck Bitcoin Trust
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Frequently Asked Questions


With a correlation of 0.95, BTF and HODL move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.

BTF has higher volatility (15.71%) compared to HODL (13.07%). In terms of maximum drawdown, BTF dropped -77.50% vs HODL's -51.96%.

On 1-year performance, BTF leads with -36.03% vs -39.68% for HODL. On fees, HODL is cheaper at 0.25% per year. On volatility, HODL has been the lower-risk option at 13.07%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 1-year period, BTF has performed better with a -36.03% return vs -39.68%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

HODL is cheaper with a 0.25% expense ratio, compared with 1.24% for BTF.

BTF has the higher dividend yield at 233.68%, compared with 0.00% for HODL.

They also come from different issuers: Valkyrie and VanEck. Their fees differ too: 1.24% for BTF and 0.25% for HODL.

BTF currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.66 vs -0.90), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right allocation for BTF and HODL

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